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Penrith P. W vs Canberra W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-76
12-27 23-8 5-24 25-17
Position#15
Record5-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game81.2
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Penrith P. W v Canberra W
15 Jun 2025
PENR65
CANB76
04 May 2024
PENR56
CANB53
23 Apr 2023
PENR46
CANB61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
69-103
69
103
-34
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H30/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
13-24
18-26
18-16
10-18
15-17
16-14
17-17
15-15
15-16
14-24
18-12
20-27
14-19
25-23
18-25
23-21
23-20
15-14
20-21
15-23
21-28
13-27
20-25
12-23
17-18
20-10
14-12
20-18
28-33
12-21
16-18
21-16
16-11
19-18
17-13
17-13
10-17
17-22
19-16
146.4Avg total
69.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.874.3142.1-6.536%
Season at home (6)69.380.0149.3-10.733%
Season away (8)66.670.0136.6-3.438%
Last 10 (10)69.576.9146.4-7.430%
Last 5 (5)69.876.8146.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)65.380.4145.7-15.121%
vs Similar (9)74.169.7143.8+4.467%
vs Weaker (2)68.550.0118.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A17/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
64-96
64
96
-32
H24/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H31/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A05/06
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A14/06
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
17-12
8-27
24-25
18-10
17-15
14-16
17-17
25-27
20-18
21-18
22-24
22-16
24-24
12-15
10-20
13-35
12-18
16-17
19-17
17-17
22-20
19-25
18-6
22-19
20-31
10-21
12-25
13-19
15-28
14-16
27-19
15-22
19-22
23-16
20-14
19-26
15-19
6-26
17-11
148.5Avg total
69.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.281.2153.5-9.038%
Season at home (6)75.379.0154.3-3.750%
Season away (7)69.683.1152.7-13.629%
Last 10 (10)69.379.2148.5-9.940%
Last 5 (5)68.680.4149.0-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.390.5159.8-21.210%
vs Similar (10)79.682.9162.5-3.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.067.1151.1+16.980%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Penrith P. WCanberra W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
73.7Avg total
34.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.537.672.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.239.874.0-5.519%-
Last 30 away (14)34.835.270.0-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.373.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.075.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.441.473.8-9.016%-
vs Similar (9)38.633.371.9+5.244%-
vs Weaker (2)36.021.057.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE W
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H31/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/06
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A14/06
NBL1 East Women
78.1Avg total
36.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.780.8-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.682.3+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.679.4-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.778.1-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.680.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.048.684.6-12.620%-
vs Similar (10)39.441.380.7-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.835.277.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penrith P. W wins
3
Canberra W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HHornsby S. W63-68
31/05/25ACentral Coast W73-58
30/05/25HBankstown Bruins W76-90
24/05/25AMaitland Mustangs W68-65 OT
17/05/25HInner West Bulls W69-103
11/05/25HIllawarra Hawks W81-76
10/05/25ANorths Bears W77-94
03/05/25ASydney Comets W62-67
27/04/25ACanberra W58-66
26/04/25ABA CoE W68-82
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25AManly W. W57-82
05/06/25ABA CoE W77-74
31/05/25HSutherland Sharks W69-82
24/05/25HAlbury W64-96
17/05/25AIllawarra Hawks W76-68
11/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W60-87
10/05/25AMaitland Mustangs W68-75
03/05/25HHornsby S. W88-87
27/04/25HPenrith P. W66-58
25/04/25HBA CoE W68-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game67.869.366.6
Allowed / game74.380.070.0
Point differential-6.5-10.7-3.4
Avg total142.1149.3136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game72.275.369.6
Allowed / game81.279.083.1
Point differential-9.0-3.7-13.6
Avg total153.5154.3152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Falcons W1312192%83.366.3+17.0
2 Norths Bears W1311285%90.069.3+20.7
3 Manly W. W1311285%82.061.5+20.5
4 Albury W139469%86.879.2+7.5
5 BA CoE W1510567%81.172.3+8.8
6 Maitland Mustangs W137654%75.874.5+1.2
7 Hornsby S. W126650%77.979.0-1.1
8 Sydney Comets W136746%72.974.5-1.6
9 Inner West Bulls W136746%82.188.8-6.8
10 Bankstown Bruins W146843%75.877.3-1.5
11 Canberra W135838%72.281.2-9.0
12 Penrith P. W145936%67.874.3-6.5
13 Sutherland Sharks W134931%71.982.8-10.9
14 Illawarra Hawks W123925%67.077.8-10.8
15 Hills Hornets W1331023%70.680.5-9.8
16 Central Coast W131128%61.581.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P. W122352565
Canberra W278241776
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