PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Pepperdine hosts UC Santa Barbara on 19 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Pepperdine at 68% to 32% and projecting a 78-73 win; the projected total is 151.2 points. Pepperdine finished the season 2-2, averaging 96.0 points and allowing 70.0, while UC Santa Barbara is undefeated 3-0, averaging 83.7 points and conceding 61.7. Pepperdine has a perfect 2-0 home record, scoring 111.0 and allowing 54.5, and has won 2 of its last 5, with a recent loss to Sam Houston St. 77-85 away and two home victories over Bethesda 116-43 and La Sierra 106-66. UC Santa Barbara has won 3 of its last 5, with recent home wins over Nevada 76-63, Oakland 90-67 and San Francisco State 85-55. In the three meetings to date, UC Santa Barbara has won all, most recently 67-64 on 10 December 2022. The model predicts Pepperdine covers the spread with a 68% probability, and the over is 151.2 points with a 5% chance of overtime. Pepperdine's last home win was a 116-43 rout of Bethesda.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 96.0 | 70.0 | 166.0 | +26.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 111.0 | 54.5 | 165.5 | +56.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 81.0 | 85.5 | 166.5 | -4.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.8 | 78.2 | 166.0 | +9.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.4 | 71.4 | 161.8 | +19.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 68.3 | 81.1 | 149.4 | -12.8 | 15% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 75.2 | 77.3 | 152.5 | -2.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 92.7 | 71.3 | 164.0 | +21.3 | 33% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 83.7 | 61.7 | 145.3 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.7 | 61.7 | 145.3 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 75.4 | 70.3 | 145.7 | +5.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.4 | 65.6 | 143.0 | +11.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 69.8 | 70.2 | 140.0 | -0.4 | 40% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 74.8 | 76.3 | 151.1 | -1.5 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 81.4 | 68.6 | 150.0 | +12.7 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.2 | 37.4 | 72.6 | -2.2 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 34.1 | 34.0 | 68.1 | +0.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.1 | 40.4 | 76.5 | -4.2 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.8 | 38.0 | 79.8 | +3.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 35.6 | 78.4 | +7.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 33.1 | 38.5 | 71.7 | -5.4 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 36.2 | 36.2 | 72.3 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.0 | 35.0 | 76.0 | +6.0 | 33% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.9 | 31.5 | 67.5 | +4.4 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.1 | 28.9 | 68.0 | +10.1 | 81% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.4 | 34.5 | 66.9 | -2.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.6 | 30.0 | 64.6 | +4.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 28.4 | 64.2 | +7.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 28.8 | 29.6 | 58.4 | -0.8 | 60% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 33.7 | 34.7 | 68.4 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 39.7 | 30.4 | 70.1 | +9.4 | 79% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/12/22 | Pepperdine v UC Santa Barbara | 64-67 OT |
| 04/12/21 | UC Santa Barbara v Pepperdine | 86-74 |
| 19/12/20 | Pepperdine v UC Santa Barbara | 63-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 77-85 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Bethesda | 116-43 |
| 06/11/26 | H | La Sierra | 106-66 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Cornell | 85-86 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Portland | 68-77 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Washington State | 88-79 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Seattle | 80-87 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Oregon State | 73-83 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Portland | 95-87 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Loyola Marymount | 90-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Nevada | 76-63 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Oakland | 90-67 |
| 03/11/26 | H | San Francisco State | 85-55 |
| 12/03/26 | A | UC Davis | 73-79 |
| 08/03/26 | H | UC San Diego | 63-64 |
| 01/03/26 | A | UC Irvine | 60-64 |
| 27/02/26 | H | UC Riverside | 70-59 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Hawaii | 75-78 OT |
| 20/02/26 | H | CS Northridge | 83-85 OT |
| 15/02/26 | A | Cal Poly | 79-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWL | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 96.0 | 111.0 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.0 | 54.5 | 85.5 |
| Point differential | +26.0 | +56.5 | -4.5 |
| Avg total | 166.0 | 165.5 | 166.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 83.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 61.7 | 61.7 | - |
| Point differential | +22.0 | +22.0 | - |
| Avg total | 145.3 | 145.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oregon State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.2 | 69.5 | +23.8 |
| 2 |  Santa Clara | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 72.5 | +13.2 |
| 3 |  San Francisco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 63.3 | +9.3 |
| 4 |  St. Marys (CA) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.5 | 76.5 | +17.0 |
| 5 |  San Diego Toreros | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 75.5 | +8.8 |
| 6 |  Pacific | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.7 | 53.7 | +21.0 |
| 7 | Pepperdine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 96.0 | 70.0 | +26.0 |
| 8 |  Gonzaga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 90.5 | 73.0 | +17.5 |
| 9 |  Portland | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 87.0 | 93.6 | -6.6 |
| 10 |  Seattle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 73.3 | -3.0 |
| 11 |  Loyola Marymount | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.5 | 74.8 | +9.8 |
| 12 |  Washington State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.5 | 79.5 | +2.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UC Irvine | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 61.7 | +29.3 |
| 2 |  UC Riverside | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 60.7 | +24.0 |
| 3 | UC Santa Barbara | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.7 | 61.7 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  CSU Bakersfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 72.3 | +19.3 |
| 5 |  Hawaii | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.8 | 63.0 | +18.8 |
| 6 |  UC Davis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 66.7 | +7.0 |
| 7 |  CS Fullerton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 88.7 | 86.0 | +2.7 |
| 8 |  UC San Diego | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.7 | 86.7 | +1.0 |
| 9 |  Cal Poly | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 84.8 | -5.8 |
| 10 |  CS Northridge | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.3 | 81.0 | +3.3 |
| 11 |  Long Beach State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.0 | 69.3 | -4.3 |
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