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Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-79
37-46 52-33
Position#266
Record10-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#146
Record17-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara
14 Feb 2026
CAL 89
UC S79
11 Jan 2025
CAL 72
UC S75
06 Jan 2024
CAL 52
UC S61
07 Jan 2023
CAL 57
UC S62
12 Feb 2022
CAL 64
UC S69
08 Jan 2020
CAL 45
UC S63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
104-79
104
79
+25
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-41
46-54
30-40
54-38
36-41
30-45
33-59
34-48
34-46
44-47
56-35
48-44
46-44
48-43
48-52
48-45
22-21
36-46
29-42
50-31
167.8Avg total
81.6Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.085.5166.6-4.538%
Season at home (12)80.882.5163.3-1.742%
Season away (14)81.288.1169.4-6.936%
Last 10 (10)81.686.2167.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)86.280.6166.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.186.7164.8-8.628%
vs Similar (8)83.685.0168.6-1.450%
vs Weaker (2)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H09/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H23/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A25/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A30/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H01/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A06/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H08/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-43
39-50
38-29
37-40
40-21
37-41
59-33
48-34
44-29
30-42
35-22
27-26
38-29
45-40
32-40
43-45
34-28
50-51
29-35
47-33
151.0Avg total
79.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.272.4151.6+6.868%
Season at home (13)86.371.5157.8+14.885%
Season away (12)71.573.3144.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.971.1151.0+8.880%
Last 5 (5)76.069.8145.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.675.0145.6-4.440%
vs Similar (11)74.778.6153.4-3.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.669.8153.4+13.893%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
Cal PolyUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H13/02
NCAA
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.578.7-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.039.875.8-3.833%-
Last 30 away (18)39.640.980.6-1.356%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.740.576.2-4.839%-
vs Similar (8)39.842.482.1-2.638%-
vs Weaker (2)51.538.089.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#139
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H09/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A16/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H18/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H23/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A25/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A30/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H01/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A06/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A13/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
39.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.770.4+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.929.771.6+12.393%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.869.3-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.630.970.5+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.864.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.828.460.2+3.480%-
vs Similar (11)36.336.372.5+0.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.931.572.4+9.479%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
10
UC Santa Barbara wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HUC Irvine79-73
07/02/26AUC Davis58-67
06/02/26HCS Northridge96-97
01/02/26AUC Riverside94-87
30/01/26ACSU Bakersfield104-79
25/01/26HCS Fullerton78-93
23/01/26AUC Santa Barbara67-107
16/01/26HHawaii66-86
10/01/26HUC Davis84-78
09/01/26ACS Northridge90-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AUC Riverside76-68
08/02/26HUC Irvine84-79
06/02/26AUC Davis75-85
01/02/26HCS Fullerton83-69
30/01/26AUC San Diego62-48
25/01/26ALong Beach State74-71
23/01/26HCal Poly107-67
18/01/26HHawaii77-62
16/01/26ACSU Bakersfield75-69
09/01/26HUC Davis86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeWLLLW42%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %38%42%36%
Points / game81.080.881.2
Allowed / game85.582.588.1
Point differential-4.5-1.7-6.9
Avg total166.6163.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%85%50%
Points / game79.286.371.5
Allowed / game72.471.573.3
Point differential+6.8+14.8-1.8
Avg total151.6157.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2318578%80.667.1+13.5
2 UC Santa Barbara2517868%79.272.4+6.8
3 UC San Diego2617965%76.570.5+6.0
4 UC Irvine2516964%77.368.1+9.2
5 UC Davis26161062%77.974.3+3.6
6 CS Northridge25151060%81.979.8+2.2
7 CS Fullerton26131350%83.982.2+1.7
8 Cal Poly26101638%81.085.5-4.5
9 Long Beach State2681831%74.277.0-2.8
10 UC Riverside2681831%72.178.1-6.0
11 CSU Bakersfield2681831%72.180.1-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly375289
UC Santa Barbara463379
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