Perth Lynx W vs SEQ Stars W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 71-87

18-17 19-29 12-15 22-26

Position#2

Record14-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game71.0

Perth Lynx W

SEQ Stars W 🏆

Position#3

Record12-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game77.4

NBL W

Women2015-16

Meetings · Perth Lynx W v SEQ Stars W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

SEQ Stars W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SEQ Stars W

85-64

+21

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

63-65

-2

A04/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

84-73

+11

A05/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

85-67

+18

H11/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

88-68

+20

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

71-77

-6

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

73-83

-10

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

89-63

+26

A09/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

76-67

H24/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

80-59

+21

H30/01

NBL W

23-24

21-9

16-17

25-14

15-19

13-13

14-20

21-13

25-21

15-20

21-13

23-19

22-13

19-19

21-16

21-14

26-18

21-12

20-24

16-20

14-18

24-24

17-15

22-22

16-22

12-19

23-20

32-17

18-12

19-22

20-12

19-12

12-15

24-27

21-13

18-11

18-23

22-14

22-11

148.0Avg total

79.4Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.8	71.0	149.8	+7.8	70%
Season at home (10)	80.7	70.6	151.3	+10.1	80%
Season away (10)	76.9	71.3	148.2	+5.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	68.6	148.0	+10.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	69.8	147.6	+8.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	68.2	83.4	151.6	-15.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	72.2	70.0	142.2	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker (16)	78.4	70.0	148.4	+8.4	75%

This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SEQ Stars W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

64-85

-21

H29/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

88-97

-9

H06/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

67-85

-18

A11/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

72-61

+11

A13/12

NBL W

Townsville W

95-75

+20

H18/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

66-72

-6

H02/01

NBL W

Townsville W

90-80

+10

A09/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

115-75

115

+40

H23/01

NBL W

Sydney W

92-73

+19

H31/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

89-81

A05/02

NBL W

24-23

9-21

17-16

14-25

17-26

26-33

23-18

22-20

19-23

13-22

19-19

16-21

30-10

13-16

14-14

15-21

26-23

29-17

18-21

22-14

17-12

12-26

17-17

20-17

19-23

24-19

20-21

27-17

18-29

33-15

30-12

34-19

27-14

14-23

20-23

31-13

21-22

20-20

16-22

32-17

162.2Avg total

83.8Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	84.2	77.4	161.6	+6.8	60%
Season at home (11)	87.6	77.5	165.2	+10.1	64%
Season away (9)	80.0	77.2	157.2	+2.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	78.4	162.2	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	76.2	166.6	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	80.2	82.6	162.8	-2.4	40%
vs Weaker (15)	85.5	75.7	161.2	+9.9	67%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth Lynx WSEQ Stars W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.2	21.5	41.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.8	20.5	42.2	+1.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.3	20.4	41.8	+0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.3	36.3	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.3	33.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	14.2	32.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.4	20.2	41.5	+1.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	19.5	40.5	+1.4	53%	-

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SEQ Stars W

44-33

+11

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

28-32

-4

A04/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

40-41

-1

A05/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

45-32

+13

H11/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

47-32

+15

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

30-38

-8

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-44

-6

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

50-29

+21

A09/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

31-27

H24/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

36-34

H30/01

NBL W

73.1Avg total

38.9Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	37.6	74.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.5	75.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	34.2	73.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	34.4	71.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.8	42.5	76.3	-8.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.1	35.0	74.1	+4.1	69%	-

This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SEQ Stars WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

33-44

-11

H29/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

43-59

-16

H06/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

32-45

-13

A11/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

43-26

+17

A13/12

NBL W

Townsville W

55-40

+15

H18/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

29-38

-9

H02/01

NBL W

Townsville W

43-42

A09/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

51-44

H23/01

NBL W

Sydney W

41-37

H31/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

41-42

-1

A05/02

NBL W

82.8Avg total

41.1Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	42.2	40.2	82.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.5	40.7	84.2	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (9)	40.7	39.6	80.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	41.7	82.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.6	42.8	84.4	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.1	60%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.4	34.0	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	13.5	18.2	31.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.7	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	15.7	35.1	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.2	34.8	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.9	15.7	35.6	+4.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.8	17.6	39.5	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.4	41.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	16.6	45.4	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	17.2	39.9	+5.5	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	36.9	73.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	36.4	70.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	34.4	74.9	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.4	76.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.4	40.9	75.3	-6.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	34.0	34.2	68.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.2	35.0	74.2	+4.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	41.4	37.0	78.3	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.0	36.4	79.4	+6.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.3	37.7	77.0	+1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	36.7	79.4	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	35.6	85.0	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	38.6	39.8	78.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	36.0	78.3	+6.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Lynx W wins

SEQ Stars W wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/15	Perth Lynx W v SEQ Stars W	85-67
29/11/15	SEQ Stars W v Perth Lynx W	64-85

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/16	H	Geelong United W	80-59
24/01/16	H	Adelaide Lightning W	76-67
09/01/16	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	89-63
07/01/16	A	Sydney W	73-83
31/12/15	H	Townsville W	71-77
18/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	88-68
11/12/15	H	SEQ Stars W	85-67
05/12/15	A	Geelong United W	84-73
04/12/15	A	Dandenong W	63-65
29/11/15	A	SEQ Stars W	85-64

SEQ Stars Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	89-81
31/01/16	H	Sydney W	92-73
23/01/16	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	115-75
09/01/16	A	Townsville W	90-80
02/01/16	H	Dandenong W	66-72
18/12/15	H	Townsville W	95-75
13/12/15	A	Adelaide Lightning W	72-61
11/12/15	A	Perth Lynx W	67-85
06/12/15	H	Bendigo W	88-97
29/11/15	H	Perth Lynx W	64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	70%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	78.8	80.7	76.9
Allowed / game	71.0	70.6	71.3
Point differential	+7.8	+10.1	+5.6
Avg total	149.8	151.3	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

SEQ Stars W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	60%
Home	LWLWW	64%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	60%	64%	56%
Points / game	84.2	87.6	80.0
Allowed / game	77.4	77.5	77.2
Point differential	+6.8	+10.1	+2.8
Avg total	161.6	165.2	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	55%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Townsville W	20	14	6	70%	82.8	72.8	+9.9
2	Perth Lynx W	20	14	6	70%	78.8	71.0	+7.8
3	Dandenong W	21	14	7	67%	73.7	71.0	+2.6
4	SEQ Stars W	20	12	8	60%	84.2	77.4	+6.8
5	Bendigo W	20	12	8	60%	74.1	72.8	+1.4
6	Sydney W	22	12	10	55%	76.8	76.3	+0.5
7	Adelaide Lightning W	21	8	13	38%	71.7	79.1	-7.4
8	Geelong United W	22	7	15	32%	70.7	75.2	-4.5
9	Canberra C. Acad. W	20	0	20	0%	68.3	85.0	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth Lynx W	18	19	12	22	71
SEQ Stars W	17	29	15	26	87

← all games of the day

Perth Lynx W vs SEQ Stars W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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