Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 76-67

19-12 12-15 24-27 21-13

Position#2

Record12-6

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game71.8

Perth Lynx W 🏆

Adelaide Lightning W

Position#7

Record6-11

FormLWLLW

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game80.4

NBL W

Women2015-16

Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

93-85

H20/11

NBL W

Townsville W

81-91

-10

A28/11

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

85-64

+21

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

63-65

-2

A04/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

84-73

+11

A05/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

85-67

+18

H11/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

88-68

+20

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

71-77

-6

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

73-83

-10

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

89-63

+26

A09/01

NBL W

20-22

20-15

29-29

24-19

17-18

25-16

24-25

15-32

23-24

21-9

16-17

25-14

15-19

13-13

14-20

21-13

25-21

15-20

21-13

23-19

22-13

19-19

21-16

21-14

26-18

21-12

20-24

16-20

14-18

24-24

17-15

22-22

16-22

12-19

23-20

32-17

18-12

19-22

20-12

154.8Avg total

81.2Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.9	71.8	150.7	+7.1	67%
Season at home (8)	81.4	72.5	153.9	+8.9	75%
Season away (10)	76.9	71.3	148.2	+5.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	73.6	154.8	+7.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	71.6	152.8	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	69.1	83.6	152.7	-14.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	72.2	70.0	142.2	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	78.4	71.0	149.4	+7.4	71%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

78-71

A14/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

85-93

-8

A20/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

73-89

-16

H29/11

NBL W

Sydney W

94-67

+27

A04/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

72-70

H06/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

61-72

-11

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

75-68

H19/12

NBL W

Townsville W

60-88

-28

H02/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

63-79

-16

H08/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

77-63

+14

A22/01

NBL W

23-21

17-19

17-15

21-16

22-20

15-20

29-29

19-24

20-25

22-22

17-24

14-18

20-21

23-15

25-14

26-17

21-26

14-15

18-21

19-8

10-30

16-13

14-14

21-15

18-8

14-25

19-24

24-11

19-29

19-18

15-20

7-21

18-16

21-19

11-21

13-23

19-11

22-25

20-20

16-7

149.8Avg total

73.8Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	70.8	80.4	151.2	-9.6	35%
Season at home (9)	67.0	76.3	143.3	-9.3	33%
Season away (8)	75.0	85.0	160.0	-10.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	76.0	149.8	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	74.0	141.2	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	69.2	80.1	149.4	-10.9	28%
vs Similar (3)	73.7	71.0	144.7	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (2)	76.5	69.5	146.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	21.5	41.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.1	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.2	39.7	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	21.9	39.1	-4.8	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	18.9	37.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.4	21.7	38.1	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	14.2	32.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-6.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	22.0	37.5	-6.5	0%	-

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

40-37

H20/11

NBL W

Townsville W

42-34

A28/11

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

44-33

+11

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

28-32

-4

A04/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

40-41

-1

A05/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

45-32

+13

H11/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

47-32

+15

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

30-38

-8

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-44

-6

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

50-29

+21

A09/01

NBL W

75.6Avg total

40.4Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.5	75.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	35.2	75.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.6	42.6	77.2	-8.0	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.9	35.6	75.6	+4.3	64%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

40-40

A14/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

37-40

-3

A20/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

42-47

-5

H29/11

NBL W

Sydney W

43-36

A04/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

35-41

-6

H06/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

26-43

-17

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

32-33

-1

H19/12

NBL W

Townsville W

38-47

-9

H02/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

39-35

H08/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

41-36

A22/01

NBL W

77.1Avg total

37.3Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	41.3	77.0	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	39.1	76.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.2	43.9	78.1	-9.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.8	77.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	38.8	74.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	35.2	42.1	77.3	-7.0	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	0%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.4	34.0	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	13.5	18.2	31.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.7	36.6	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.0	18.3	34.3	-2.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	13.7	30.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.7	16.2	35.9	+3.5	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.5	35.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.4	31.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	13.5	36.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	37.5	73.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	38.6	77.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	36.4	70.6	-2.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	38.4	79.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.6	75.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.0	34.2	68.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.5	35.4	73.9	+3.1	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	37.2	71.7	-2.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.9	34.7	67.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	40.0	76.4	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	36.2	72.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	35.2	67.2	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.1	38.0	72.1	-3.9	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	34.3	33.0	67.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	33.0	73.5	+7.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Lynx W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/15	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	93-85
08/11/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	52-65
01/02/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	71-58
04/01/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	78-61
18/10/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	92-68
08/02/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	57-70
03/11/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	93-41
05/10/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	65-69
22/12/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	64-77
08/12/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	85-48

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/16	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	89-63
07/01/16	A	Sydney W	73-83
31/12/15	H	Townsville W	71-77
18/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	88-68
11/12/15	H	SEQ Stars W	85-67
05/12/15	A	Geelong United W	84-73
04/12/15	A	Dandenong W	63-65
29/11/15	A	SEQ Stars W	85-64
28/11/15	A	Townsville W	81-91
20/11/15	H	Adelaide Lightning W	93-85

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/16	A	Dandenong W	77-63
08/01/16	H	Dandenong W	63-79
02/01/16	H	Townsville W	60-88
19/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	75-68
13/12/15	H	SEQ Stars W	61-72
06/12/15	H	Dandenong W	72-70
04/12/15	A	Sydney W	94-67
29/11/15	H	Bendigo W	73-89
20/11/15	A	Perth Lynx W	85-93
14/11/15	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	67%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	78.9	81.4	76.9
Allowed / game	71.8	72.5	71.3
Point differential	+7.1	+8.9	+5.6
Avg total	150.7	153.9	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	35%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	LWLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	35%	33%	38%
Points / game	70.8	67.0	75.0
Allowed / game	80.4	76.3	85.0
Point differential	-9.6	-9.3	-10.0
Avg total	151.2	143.3	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Townsville W	18	12	6	67%	82.3	73.1	+9.2
2	Perth Lynx W	18	12	6	67%	78.9	71.8	+7.1
3	Sydney W	19	12	7	63%	77.1	74.8	+2.3
4	Bendigo W	19	12	7	63%	74.1	72.3	+1.8
5	Dandenong W	18	11	7	61%	73.1	71.0	+2.1
6	SEQ Stars W	18	10	8	56%	83.5	77.4	+6.1
7	Geelong United W	18	7	11	39%	73.5	74.9	-1.4
8	Adelaide Lightning W	17	6	11	35%	70.8	80.4	-9.6
9	Canberra C. Acad. W	19	0	19	0%	67.6	84.9	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth Lynx W	19	12	24	21	76
Adelaide Lightning W	12	15	27	13	67

← all games of the day

Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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