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Perth Lynx W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-108 (OT)
26-20 19-30 26-24 21-18 13-16
Position#2
Record20-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.3
Perth Lynx W
Australia
vs
Townsville W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record22-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game73.0
AustraliaNBL WWNBL Women - Final· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Townsville W
01 Mar 2026
PERT105
TOWN108
20 Jan 2026
PERT76
TOWN82
04 Nov 2025
PERT70
TOWN79
22 Feb 2025
PERT87
TOWN92
27 Nov 2024
PERT106
TOWN80
06 Nov 2024
PERT80
TOWN84
03 Mar 2024
PERT108
TOWN102
25 Nov 2023
PERT76
TOWN92
12 Mar 2023
PERT84
TOWN91
04 Feb 2023
PERT91
TOWN95
01 Feb 2023
PERT81
TOWN91
16 Jan 2022
PERT v TOWN
upcoming
11 Nov 2020
PERT48
TOWN73
19 Jan 2020
PERT95
TOWN62
02 Nov 2019
PERT88
TOWN93
21 Oct 2018
PERT98
TOWN88
26 Nov 2017
PERT84
TOWN79
02 Nov 2017
PERT87
TOWN68
02 Dec 2016
PERT80
TOWN73
12 Mar 2016
PERT57
TOWN73
19 Feb 2016
PERT82
TOWN69
31 Dec 2015
PERT71
TOWN77
18 Jan 2015
PERT72
TOWN92
20 Dec 2013
PERT56
TOWN88
17 Nov 2013
PERT61
TOWN95
01 Dec 2012
PERT65
TOWN78
04 Nov 2011
PERT74
TOWN98
26 Nov 2010
PERT66
TOWN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 77
H10/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H15/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 77
H20/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
76-57
76
57
+19
66avg 77
A25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 77
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 77
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
108-93
108
93
+15
113avg 77
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 77
H14/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 77
A17/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
61avg 77
A26/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
18-18
21-15
21-20
22-30
18-22
26-17
19-12
26-29
16-22
19-9
15-22
15-21
15-12
24-8
22-16
22-19
34-13
33-16
22-31
23-26
22-22
28-10
15-6
22-16
30-18
26-33
30-26
29-22
19-20
19-10
19-24
20-21
23-17
21-24
17-13
22-20
23-22
10-24
24-22
163.0Avg total
87.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.375.3159.7+9.077%
Season at home (13)85.274.3159.5+10.985%
Season away (13)83.576.4159.8+7.169%
Last 10 (10)87.076.0163.0+11.080%
Last 5 (5)88.479.2167.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.787.7169.4-6.029%
vs Weaker (23)85.574.2159.7+11.387%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
77avg 76
A11/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
H18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 76
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
69avg 76
H24/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
78-62
78
62
+16
66avg 76
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
84-66
84
66
+18
76avg 76
H08/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
88-60
88
60
+28
84avg 76
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 76
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
84avg 76
H22/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-79
88
79
+9
74avg 76
H26/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-15
18-20
22-26
22-19
17-17
24-28
15-5
29-26
22-16
9-19
22-15
25-16
18-20
12-16
23-23
26-22
17-11
20-15
15-14
31-20
19-18
19-14
15-14
23-6
20-13
21-25
24-16
20-26
23-23
22-33
24-27
21-25
32-21
17-15
14-13
20-22
22-23
24-10
22-24
159.3Avg total
83.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.373.0158.3+12.281%
Season at home (15)83.471.3154.7+12.180%
Season away (12)87.675.2162.8+12.483%
Last 10 (10)83.975.4159.3+8.590%
Last 5 (5)86.677.6164.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.775.9154.6+2.957%
vs Weaker (23)85.771.7157.5+14.083%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
Perth Lynx WTownsville W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H10/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H15/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H20/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A26/02
NBL W
84.1Avg total
43.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.783.6+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.183.8+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.240.283.4+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.284.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.887.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.746.488.1-4.714%-
vs Weaker (23)44.637.682.2+7.070%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H24/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H22/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H26/02
NBL W
83.9Avg total
45.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.582.6+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.182.2+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)46.436.783.1+9.792%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.283.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.485.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.940.083.9+3.971%-
vs Weaker (23)45.536.782.2+8.783%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.9
49.5%
47.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.1
30.6%
32.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.9
81.9%
73.3%14.9
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Townsville Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Townsville W: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.1
50.2%
47.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.1
35.8%
32.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
73.3%15.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
LWWWWWWLWW
Townsville W
WWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+10.6
Net rating
+11.9
92.1
Offensive rating
95.4
81.5
Defensive rating
83.5
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.6%
3-point %
35.8%
61.0%
Assist %
56.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 95.4Defence81.5 · 83.5Shooting47.9% · 51.4%3-point %30.6% · 35.8%Ball care12.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · -Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Townsville W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth Lynx W wins
6
Townsville W wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Townsville W v Perth Lynx W88-79
20/01/26Perth Lynx W v Townsville W76-82
14/12/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W81-97
04/11/25Perth Lynx W v Townsville W70-79
26/02/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W106-76
22/02/25Perth Lynx W v Townsville W87-92
16/02/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W86-87 OT
27/11/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W106-80
06/11/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W80-84
03/03/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W108-102
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ATownsville W79-88
17/02/26ABendigo W81-75
14/02/26HBendigo W86-76
07/02/26HSydney W108-93
01/02/26ABendigo W88-64
27/01/26ASouthside W111-79
25/01/26ASydney W76-57
20/01/26HTownsville W76-82
15/01/26HBendigo W85-81
10/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W80-65
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HPerth Lynx W88-79
22/02/26HSouthside W84-74
18/02/26ASouthside W89-109
15/02/26HSouthside W88-60
08/02/26HBendigo W84-66
31/01/26HCanberra Capitals W78-62
24/01/26HSouthside W78-75
20/01/26APerth Lynx W82-76
18/01/26HCanberra Capitals W78-69
11/01/26ASouthside W90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%85%69%
Points / game84.385.283.5
Allowed / game75.374.376.4
Point differential+9.0+10.9+7.1
Avg total159.7159.5159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %81%80%83%
Points / game85.383.487.6
Allowed / game73.071.375.2
Point differential+12.2+12.1+12.4
Avg total158.3154.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%53%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2722581%85.373.0+12.2
2 Perth Lynx W2620677%84.375.3+9.0
3 Bendigo W2516964%76.573.0+3.5
4 Southside W26121446%79.879.7+0.2
5 Canberra Capitals W2391439%71.977.8-5.9
6 Geelong Venom W2371630%76.581.0-4.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W2361726%73.782.0-8.3
8 Sydney W2361726%76.286.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Perth Lynx W2619262113105
Townsville W2030241816108
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