Perth Redbacks vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Aug 2025

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 85-105

24-30 15-27 20-26 26-22

Position#13

Record6-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game95.6

Perth Redbacks

Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆

Position#1

Record16-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game105.4

Allowed / game86.3

NBL1 West

Other2025

Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Redbacks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East Perth Eagles

100-88

100

+12

H30/05

NBL1 West

South West Slammers

#14

92-75

+17

A07/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

91-106

106

-15

H13/06

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

77-105

105

-28

A20/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

97-98

-1

H21/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

76-104

104

-28

A28/06

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

79-87

-8

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

96-103

103

-7

H11/07

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

108-119

108

119

-11

A19/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

91-89

A26/07

NBL1 West

26-23

24-15

20-18

30-32

20-23

29-17

20-17

23-18

28-26

17-30

25-20

21-30

25-26

9-23

20-30

23-26

35-24

20-27

20-23

22-24

21-33

21-25

21-26

13-20

16-24

27-30

21-20

15-13

22-15

26-31

29-32

19-25

26-17

28-40

16-28

38-34

26-26

24-26

20-16

21-21

188.1Avg total

90.7Scored

97.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.3	95.6	180.9	-10.3	29%
Season at home (10)	86.2	93.2	179.4	-7.0	20%
Season away (11)	84.5	97.7	182.2	-13.3	36%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	97.4	188.1	-6.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	100.4	190.4	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	84.8	98.6	183.4	-13.7	19%
vs Similar (3)	81.7	81.3	163.0	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker (1)	92.0	75.0	167.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geraldton Buccaneers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Willetton Tigers

99-103 OT

103

-4

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

103-83

103

+20

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

103-70

103

+33

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

135-88

135

+47

A21/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

117-97

117

+20

H28/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

108-88

108

+20

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

115-75

115

+40

A12/07

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

118-98

118

+20

A13/07

NBL1 West

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

107-95

107

+12

H19/07

NBL1 West

South West Slammers

#14

119-96

119

+23

H26/07

NBL1 West

20-22

29-27

20-13

19-26

22-14

25-35

24-15

32-19

26-16

24-20

30-23

23-11

37-18

39-23

31-22

28-25

19-26

25-26

33-19

40-26

24-23

30-20

24-23

30-22

29-18

37-14

28-14

21-29

26-23

32-22

32-30

28-23

24-23

27-26

29-27

27-19

37-21

22-20

32-22

28-33

201.7Avg total

112.4Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	105.4	86.3	191.7	+19.1	80%
Season at home (11)	105.5	84.3	189.7	+21.2	91%
Season away (9)	105.3	88.8	194.1	+16.6	67%
Last 10 (10)	112.4	89.3	201.7	+23.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	113.4	90.4	203.8	+23.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	102.3	85.7	188.0	+16.7	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	104.0	87.5	191.6	+16.5	78%

This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth RedbacksGeraldton Buccaneers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	25.2	47.6	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	25.3	48.6	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	25.1	46.4	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.7	48.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	23.0	25.8	48.7	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	22.8	49.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.2	21.4	47.7	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.8	24.4	51.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	20.4	46.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	21.6	49.6	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.3	24.7	49.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	26.7	22.6	49.3	+4.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	25.4	45.9	-4.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	25.9	47.2	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	26.4	48.9	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	30.4	55.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	20.0	26.3	46.3	-6.3	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	17.0	46.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.9	22.0	47.9	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.9	46.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.0	20.9	49.9	+8.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	23.3	52.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	20.4	50.0	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	33.0	18.3	51.3	+14.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.1	22.4	47.5	+2.8	67%	-

Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East Perth Eagles

50-38

+12

H30/05

NBL1 West

South West Slammers

#14

49-40

A07/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

45-56

-11

H13/06

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

34-49

-15

A20/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

55-51

H21/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

42-58

-16

A28/06

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

43-54

-11

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

48-46

H11/07

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

54-57

-3

A19/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

50-52

-2

A26/07

NBL1 West

97.1Avg total

47.0Scored

50.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	50.7	93.5	-7.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	50.3	93.4	-7.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	51.1	93.6	-8.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	50.1	97.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	53.4	100.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	43.0	52.1	95.1	-9.1	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	42.0	81.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	40.0	89.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Willetton Tigers

49-49

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

47-49

-2

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

50-36

+14

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

76-41

+35

A21/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

44-52

-8

H28/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

54-43

+11

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

66-32

+34

A12/07

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

58-45

+13

A13/07

NBL1 West

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

51-49

H19/07

NBL1 West

South West Slammers

#14

59-41

+18

H26/07

NBL1 West

99.1Avg total

55.4Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.4	44.8	97.2	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.5	44.4	93.9	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	55.8	45.2	101.0	+10.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.4	43.7	99.1	+11.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.6	42.0	99.6	+15.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	57.3	43.0	100.3	+14.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	51.9	45.0	96.9	+6.9	70%	-

This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	22.6	41.4	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.4	45.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.3	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.5	20.3	45.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.9	20.8	47.7	+6.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.3	20.8	49.1	+7.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	23.2	52.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.7	22.0	45.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.7	20.1	45.8	+5.6	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.6	43.2	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	23.9	46.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.3	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	21.3	46.6	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.1	21.5	47.6	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.3	21.1	45.4	+3.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	23.3	50.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.2	52.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.7	21.4	47.1	+4.3	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	45.0	86.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	43.8	85.4	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	46.4	88.1	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	47.3	91.0	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	47.0	89.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	41.8	46.5	88.3	-4.7	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	35.3	74.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.8	41.6	92.4	+9.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	53.0	42.3	95.3	+10.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.2	40.9	89.1	+7.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.9	44.1	100.0	+11.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.8	48.4	104.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.0	42.7	87.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	51.4	41.5	92.9	+9.9	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Redbacks wins

Geraldton Buccaneers wins

Date	Game	Score
12/04/25	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	107-69
20/07/24	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	76-107
02/06/24	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	91-85
05/08/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	119-83
09/07/23	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	97-88
08/04/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	80-96
09/07/22	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	88-81
25/06/22	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	94-69
24/07/21	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	68-67
27/06/21	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	105-83

Perth Redbackslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/07/25	A	Mandurah Magic	91-89
19/07/25	A	Goldfields Giants	108-119
11/07/25	H	Mandurah Magic	96-103
05/07/25	H	Perry Lakes Hawks	79-87
28/06/25	A	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	76-104
21/06/25	H	Rockingham Flames	97-98
20/06/25	A	East Perth Eagles	77-105
13/06/25	H	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	91-106
07/06/25	A	South West Slammers	92-75
30/05/25	H	East Perth Eagles	100-88

Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/07/25	H	South West Slammers	119-96
19/07/25	H	Beeliar Boodjar	107-95
13/07/25	A	Warwick Senators	118-98
12/07/25	A	Mandurah Magic	115-75
05/07/25	H	Lakeside Lightning	108-88
28/06/25	H	Willetton Tigers	117-97
21/06/25	A	Goldfields Giants	135-88
14/06/25	H	Mandurah Magic	103-70
07/06/25	H	Joondalup Wolves	103-83
01/06/25	A	Willetton Tigers	99-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	29%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	WLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	29%	20%	36%
Points / game	85.3	86.2	84.5
Allowed / game	95.6	93.2	97.7
Point differential	-10.3	-7.0	-13.3
Avg total	180.9	179.4	182.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	10%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Geraldton Buccaneers

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	80%	91%	67%
Points / game	105.4	105.5	105.3
Allowed / game	86.3	84.3	88.8
Point differential	+19.1	+21.2	+16.6
Avg total	191.7	189.7	194.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	91%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rockingham Flames	21	18	3	86%	104.5	94.1	+10.4
2	Warwick Senators	21	17	4	81%	109.4	92.9	+16.5
3	Geraldton Buccaneers	20	16	4	80%	105.4	86.3	+19.1
4	Willetton Tigers	21	15	6	71%	97.5	93.0	+4.4
5	Joondalup Wolves	21	13	8	62%	96.1	90.7	+5.4
6	Goldfields Giants	21	11	10	52%	93.2	92.0	+1.2
7	Mandurah Magic	21	10	11	48%	93.3	98.0	-4.8
8	East Perth Eagles	20	9	11	45%	92.2	95.2	-3.0
9	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	21	9	12	43%	88.5	89.8	-1.3
10	Lakeside Lightning	21	8	13	38%	90.8	93.7	-2.9
11	Perry Lakes Hawks	21	7	14	33%	85.8	93.5	-7.7
12	Beeliar Boodjar	21	6	15	29%	90.7	97.6	-6.9
13	Perth Redbacks	21	6	15	29%	85.3	95.6	-10.3
14	South West Slammers	21	1	20	5%	82.2	101.7	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth Redbacks	24	15	20	26	85
Geraldton Buccaneers	30	27	26	22	105

← all games of the day

Perth Redbacks vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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