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Perth Redbacks vs Lakeside Lightning Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-83
31-15 13-23 14-19 31-26
Position#14
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#10
Record5-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game94.6
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2024
Meetings · Perth Redbacks v Lakeside Lightning
06 Jul 2024
PERT89
LAKE83
28 Jul 2023
PERT98
LAKE81
31 Mar 2023
PERT103
LAKE60
17 Jul 2021
PERT89
LAKE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Redbacks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H11/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A18/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A31/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A02/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H14/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
74-104
74
104
-30
H21/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
H29/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
16-24
33-25
16-19
12-21
16-18
30-23
15-19
26-27
15-27
17-20
22-19
22-21
26-35
33-26
17-27
20-28
22-20
17-26
19-16
24-26
21-24
15-17
25-24
15-27
23-29
27-26
22-27
22-30
18-9
31-29
16-22
20-27
17-35
21-23
16-19
19-28
23-33
15-25
27-13
178.5Avg total
83.6Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.196.7182.8-10.721%
Season at home (8)90.596.0186.5-5.538%
Season away (11)82.897.3180.1-14.59%
Last 10 (10)83.694.9178.5-11.310%
Last 5 (5)83.498.6182.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)85.698.8184.4-13.218%
vs Similar (7)88.991.0179.9-2.143%
vs Weaker (6)102.088.5190.5+13.567%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H18/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
A25/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H31/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A15/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A21/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
97-110
97
110
-13
A28/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
93-100
93
100
-7
H29/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H05/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
28-23
27-26
19-20
26-35
26-24
21-18
22-18
19-22
19-17
15-16
28-29
27-15
29-23
26-27
27-22
13-29
18-18
25-21
19-21
22-25
30-16
24-22
24-11
18-24
27-28
19-21
16-20
24-21
21-42
26-22
26-25
27-29
20-22
18-18
28-31
21-31
20-22
23-20
26-25
187.2Avg total
93.5Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.794.6185.3-3.828%
Season at home (10)91.493.1184.5-1.740%
Season away (8)89.996.4186.2-6.512%
Last 10 (10)93.593.7187.2-0.230%
Last 5 (5)92.095.0187.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)90.196.8186.9-6.822%
vs Similar (5)86.087.0173.0-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.783.4180.1+13.386%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Perth RedbacksLakeside Lightning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A18/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H21/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H29/06
NBL1 West
90.6Avg total
40.2Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.250.294.4-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.847.793.5-1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)42.852.495.2-9.612%-
Last 10 (10)40.250.490.6-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.453.694.0-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)43.752.996.6-9.229%-
vs Similar (7)40.448.388.7-7.914%-
vs Weaker (6)50.044.794.7+5.350%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A25/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A08/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A21/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A28/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H29/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H05/07
NBL1 West
94.6Avg total
46.2Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.993.9+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.746.495.1+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)45.247.592.7-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)46.248.494.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.052.098.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)46.349.695.9-3.339%-
vs Similar (5)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.443.092.4+6.471%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth Redbacks wins
3
Lakeside Lightning wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HJoondalup Wolves84-99
21/06/24HWarwick Senators74-104
14/06/24HRockingham Flames87-90
07/06/24ALakeside Lightning87-109
02/06/24AGeraldton Buccaneers85-91
31/05/24AEast Perth Eagles78-90
25/05/24AMandurah Magic98-109
18/05/24AKalamunda Eastern Suns80-93
11/05/24HSouth West Slammers73-81
10/05/24ABeeliar Boodjar90-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/24HBeeliar Boodjar90-98
29/06/24HGeraldton Buccaneers93-100
28/06/24AMandurah Magic97-110
21/06/24AEast Perth Eagles80-93
15/06/24ABeeliar Boodjar100-74
08/06/24ARockingham Flames75-89
07/06/24HPerth Redbacks109-87
31/05/24HPerry Lakes Hawks81-84
25/05/24AGoldfields Giants109-115 OT
18/05/24HRockingham Flames101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %21%38%9%
Points / game86.190.582.8
Allowed / game96.796.097.3
Point differential-10.7-5.5-14.5
Avg total182.8186.5180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%12%0%
Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL28%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%40%12%
Points / game90.791.489.9
Allowed / game94.693.196.4
Point differential-3.8-1.7-6.5
Avg total185.3184.5186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geraldton Buccaneers1918195%96.385.3+11.1
2 Joondalup Wolves1914574%92.982.4+10.5
3 Willetton Tigers1914574%98.292.4+5.8
4 Mandurah Magic1912763%100.895.0+5.8
5 East Perth Eagles1811761%91.689.9+1.7
6 Goldfields Giants1911858%92.589.5+3.0
7 Warwick Senators2011955%99.893.0+6.8
8 Rockingham Flames1910953%90.492.3-1.9
9 Perry Lakes Hawks1971237%88.994.2-5.2
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns1961332%84.791.3-6.6
11 Lakeside Lightning1851328%90.794.6-3.8
12 South West Slammers1951426%82.990.8-7.9
13 Beeliar Boodjar2051525%89.397.8-8.4
14 Perth Redbacks1941521%86.196.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Redbacks3113143189
Lakeside Lightning1523192683
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