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Lakeside Lightning vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 93-100
27-29 20-22 18-18 28-31
Position#10
Record5-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#1
Record16-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game85.6
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2024
Meetings · Lakeside Lightning v Geraldton Buccaneers
31 May 2025
LAKE87
GERA107
29 Jun 2024
LAKE93
GERA100
08 Jul 2023
LAKE90
GERA95
24 Apr 2022
LAKE64
GERA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
H11/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H18/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
A25/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H31/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A15/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A21/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
97-110
97
110
-13
A28/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-35
24-15
24-24
21-24
22-24
22-32
25-31
27-18
28-23
27-26
19-20
26-35
26-24
21-18
22-18
19-22
19-17
15-16
28-29
27-15
29-23
26-27
27-22
13-29
18-18
25-21
19-21
22-25
30-16
24-22
24-11
18-24
27-28
19-21
16-20
24-21
21-42
26-22
26-25
188.2Avg total
93.9Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.694.0184.6-3.431%
Season at home (8)91.491.6183.0-0.250%
Season away (8)89.996.4186.2-6.512%
Last 10 (10)93.994.3188.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)92.290.6182.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)89.396.1185.3-6.822%
vs Similar (5)86.087.0173.0-1.040%
vs Weaker (7)96.780.9177.6+15.9100%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H11/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H18/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A26/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H01/06
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H02/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H08/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
116-94
116
94
+22
A15/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
116-99
116
99
+17
A16/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-19
18-16
16-32
27-26
28-22
19-16
18-25
28-29
27-24
18-17
27-16
22-18
29-22
20-17
26-19
20-21
20-20
32-28
28-20
26-24
24-21
17-15
24-25
25-21
28-20
33-23
20-13
24-25
28-22
33-26
31-21
31-30
28-23
27-22
30-24
25-16
20-22
17-15
15-15
181.7Avg total
96.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.585.6182.1+10.994%
Season at home (9)91.783.8175.4+7.989%
Season away (8)102.087.6189.6+14.4100%
Last 10 (10)96.785.0181.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)101.284.6185.8+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)100.089.0189.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)98.086.5184.6+11.590%
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
Lakeside LightningGeraldton Buccaneers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A25/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H07/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A08/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A21/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A28/06
NBL1 West
94.8Avg total
46.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.293.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.444.994.3+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)44.547.491.9-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)46.648.294.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.848.294.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)45.649.394.9-3.739%-
vs Similar (5)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (7)50.740.691.3+10.186%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A26/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/06
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H08/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A15/06
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A16/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/06
NBL1 West
94.3Avg total
49.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.744.794.4+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.642.892.4+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)49.747.296.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)49.844.594.3+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)51.844.896.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)50.044.894.8+5.272%-
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lakeside Lightning wins
4
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/24AMandurah Magic97-110
21/06/24AEast Perth Eagles80-93
15/06/24ABeeliar Boodjar100-74
08/06/24ARockingham Flames75-89
07/06/24HPerth Redbacks109-87
31/05/24HPerry Lakes Hawks81-84
25/05/24AGoldfields Giants109-115 OT
18/05/24HRockingham Flames101-87
11/05/24HWilletton Tigers90-111
03/05/24HKalamunda Eastern Suns97-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24HKalamunda Eastern Suns77-68
16/06/24APerry Lakes Hawks116-99
15/06/24ARockingham Flames116-94
08/06/24HWarwick Senators106-77
02/06/24HPerth Redbacks91-85
01/06/24HJoondalup Wolves100-89
26/05/24AEast Perth Eagles97-76
25/05/24ABeeliar Boodjar100-86
18/05/24HPerry Lakes Hawks92-89
11/05/24HEast Perth Eagles72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game90.691.489.9
Allowed / game94.091.696.4
Point differential-3.4-0.2-6.5
Avg total184.6183.0186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game96.591.7102.0
Allowed / game85.683.887.6
Point differential+10.9+7.9+14.4
Avg total182.1175.4189.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%33%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geraldton Buccaneers1716194%96.585.6+10.9
2 Willetton Tigers1714382%99.991.0+8.9
3 Joondalup Wolves1713476%93.881.9+11.9
4 Mandurah Magic1811761%100.595.7+4.8
5 East Perth Eagles1811761%91.689.9+1.7
6 Goldfields Giants1710759%92.588.7+3.8
7 Rockingham Flames1810856%90.792.0-1.3
8 Warwick Senators189950%98.393.5+4.8
9 Perry Lakes Hawks1871139%89.394.1-4.8
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns1861233%84.890.5-5.7
11 Lakeside Lightning1651131%90.694.0-3.4
12 South West Slammers1841422%82.291.3-9.1
13 Perth Redbacks1841422%86.296.6-10.4
14 Beeliar Boodjar1831517%88.398.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lakeside Lightning2720182893
Geraldton Buccaneers29221831100
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