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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Perth Redbacks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 91-85
26-24 24-21 17-15 24-25
Position#1
Record11-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#14
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game96.1
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2024
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks
12 Apr 2025
GERA107
PERT69
02 Jun 2024
GERA91
PERT85
05 Aug 2023
GERA119
PERT83
08 Apr 2023
GERA80
PERT96
25 Jun 2022
GERA94
PERT69
24 Jul 2021
GERA68
PERT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Redbacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A14/04
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H20/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
H27/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A04/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
W
93-70
93
70
+23
A05/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H11/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H18/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A26/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H01/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
26-24
28-29
29-25
29-19
18-22
16-17
26-12
28-21
27-29
19-19
16-21
19-17
25-22
26-27
26-21
19-24
15-16
24-16
35-14
18-20
20-19
18-16
16-32
27-26
28-22
19-16
18-25
28-29
27-24
18-17
27-16
22-18
29-22
20-17
26-19
20-21
20-20
32-28
28-20
179.0Avg total
93.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.686.0180.6+8.692%
Season at home (6)91.887.3179.2+4.583%
Season away (6)97.384.7182.0+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.985.1179.0+8.890%
Last 5 (5)92.285.4177.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (1)100.089.0189.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.886.3183.1+10.589%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A19/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
W
117-108 OT
117
108
+9
H20/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
78-124
78
124
-46
A27/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H28/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A04/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H11/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A18/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A31/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-31
21-24
29-18
16-33
24-14
21-17
19-16
27-35
17-28
18-38
16-23
29-22
32-29
11-25
27-18
22-26
27-17
18-19
16-28
25-15
16-24
33-25
16-19
12-21
16-18
30-23
15-19
26-27
15-27
17-20
22-19
22-21
26-35
33-26
17-27
20-28
22-20
17-26
19-16
185.5Avg total
88.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.096.1183.1-9.129%
Season at home (5)95.895.0190.8+0.860%
Season away (9)82.196.7178.8-14.611%
Last 10 (10)88.696.9185.5-8.330%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)86.598.9185.4-12.425%
vs Similar (9)89.190.6179.7-1.444%
vs Weaker (9)98.486.9185.3+11.678%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Geraldton BuccaneersPerth Redbacks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A14/04
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H20/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A05/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A26/05
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/06
NBL1 West
90.6Avg total
46.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.744.594.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.243.193.3+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)49.246.495.5+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.644.090.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.292.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)50.044.394.4+5.771%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H20/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A27/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H28/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A04/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A10/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/05
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#11
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A18/05
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A25/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/05
NBL1 West
92.9Avg total
43.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.448.093.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.644.592.1+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.451.194.6-7.719%-
Last 10 (10)43.449.592.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.287.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)45.152.797.8-7.633%-
vs Similar (9)41.847.188.9-5.322%-
vs Weaker (9)49.442.892.2+6.767%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/24HJoondalup Wolves100-89
26/05/24AEast Perth Eagles97-76
25/05/24ABeeliar Boodjar100-86
18/05/24HPerry Lakes Hawks92-89
11/05/24HEast Perth Eagles72-87
05/05/24AKalamunda Eastern Suns93-70
04/05/24AWarwick Senators96-87
27/04/24HGoldfields Giants96-94 OT
20/04/24HLakeside Lightning89-70
14/04/24AMandurah Magic104-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/24AEast Perth Eagles78-90
25/05/24AMandurah Magic98-109
18/05/24AKalamunda Eastern Suns80-93
11/05/24HSouth West Slammers73-81
10/05/24ABeeliar Boodjar90-83
04/05/24AGoldfields Giants83-90
28/04/24HGoldfields Giants99-94
27/04/24AWarwick Senators78-124
20/04/24HKalamunda Eastern Suns117-108 OT
19/04/24APerry Lakes Hawks90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game94.691.897.3
Allowed / game86.087.384.7
Point differential+8.6+4.5+12.7
Avg total180.6179.2182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%60%11%
Points / game87.095.882.1
Allowed / game96.195.096.7
Point differential-9.1+0.8-14.6
Avg total183.1190.8178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %7%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geraldton Buccaneers1211192%94.686.0+8.6
2 Willetton Tigers1311285%101.691.5+10.2
3 Joondalup Wolves118373%92.582.5+10.1
4 Mandurah Magic149564%101.695.9+5.6
5 East Perth Eagles127558%91.988.5+3.4
6 Rockingham Flames137654%92.292.4-0.2
7 Perry Lakes Hawks137654%90.492.1-1.7
8 Warwick Senators147750%99.194.4+4.8
9 Goldfields Giants126650%90.889.5+1.3
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns1441029%86.293.1-6.9
11 Perth Redbacks1441029%87.096.1-9.1
12 Lakeside Lightning113827%89.995.5-5.6
13 South West Slammers1331023%81.490.9-9.5
14 Beeliar Boodjar1431121%89.998.2-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers2624172491
Perth Redbacks2421152585
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