Perth vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 11:20

Final 89-59

23-16 18-24 30-15 18-4

Position#1

Record18-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game84.1

Perth 🏆

Brisbane Bullets

Position#5

Record14-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game88.6

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Perth v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brisbane Bullets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

84-97

-13

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

79-81

-2

H11/01

NBL

Adelaide

84-97

-13

A17/01

NBL

Melbourne United

84-79

H20/01

NBL

Adelaide

100-81

100

+19

H25/01

NBL

Sydney

88-68

+20

A27/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

104-90

104

+14

H01/02

NBL

Sydney

95-86 OT

H10/02

NBL

Adelaide

93-85

H15/02

NBL

Melbourne United

70-81 OT

-11

A17/02

NBL

27-20

24-27

13-26

20-24

17-20

15-24

23-22

24-15

19-23

28-26

14-23

23-25

27-14

19-25

19-23

19-17

25-32

23-13

29-11

23-25

20-23

27-8

21-14

20-23

36-27

24-25

22-23

22-15

12-26

16-12

23-17

26-22

17-25

23-24

25-20

28-16

16-12

18-17

18-16

16-23

172.6Avg total

88.1Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	89.2	84.1	173.4	+5.1	64%
Season at home (14)	93.5	82.4	175.9	+11.1	86%
Season away (14)	85.0	85.9	170.9	-0.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	84.5	172.6	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	82.0	172.0	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	80.3	89.3	169.7	-9.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	90.8	84.0	174.8	+6.8	67%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

95-86

H06/01

NBL

Adelaide

102-90

102

+12

A12/01

NBL

Cairns

99-68

+31

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

81-87

-6

H25/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-109

109

-13

A27/01

NBL

Sydney

93-95

-2

H01/02

NBL

Sydney

91-107

107

-16

A03/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-87 OT

+11

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

68-79

-11

A09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-78

H16/02

NBL

19-23

29-22

20-22

27-19

21-24

24-25

22-27

35-14

31-19

19-15

23-11

26-23

24-23

22-24

19-22

16-18

18-26

33-30

22-23

23-30

26-27

17-25

31-24

19-19

18-34

27-23

16-22

30-28

27-22

19-25

24-19

14-18

11-18

21-21

13-13

23-27

26-25

21-17

15-18

22-18

179.3Avg total

90.7Scored

88.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	89.4	88.6	178.0	+0.8	50%
Season at home (14)	92.6	88.1	180.8	+4.5	64%
Season away (14)	86.1	89.0	175.1	-2.9	36%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	88.6	179.3	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	89.2	176.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	87.0	93.0	180.0	-6.0	40%
vs Similar (17)	89.8	90.2	180.0	-0.5	47%
vs Weaker (8)	87.1	84.5	171.6	+2.6	50%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.7	44.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.7	22.8	46.5	+0.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	24.6	47.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	24.4	49.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.1	46.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.2	46.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.0	26.2	50.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.1	26.1	47.1	-5.0	18%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.1	20.5	44.6	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.1	45.0	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	23.9	46.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	23.9	23.4	47.3	+0.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	22.8	43.1	-2.4	25%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

51-47

A06/01

NBL

Cairns

32-44

-12

H11/01

NBL

Adelaide

47-49

-2

A17/01

NBL

Melbourne United

46-39

H20/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-45

H25/01

NBL

Sydney

47-31

+16

A27/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

60-52

H01/02

NBL

Sydney

28-38

-10

H10/02

NBL

Adelaide

40-49

-9

H15/02

NBL

Melbourne United

34-29

A17/02

NBL

85.6Avg total

43.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	41.9	87.0	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	42.2	87.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.0	41.7	86.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	42.3	85.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.8	42.5	88.3	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

48-45

H06/01

NBL

Adelaide

45-49

-4

A12/01

NBL

Cairns

50-34

+16

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

46-47

-1

H25/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-56

-5

A27/01

NBL

Sydney

43-52

-9

H01/02

NBL

Sydney

45-57

-12

A03/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-47

-1

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

32-39

-7

A09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-42

H16/02

NBL

92.1Avg total

45.3Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	47.7	92.0	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.0	48.3	95.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	47.1	88.7	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	46.8	92.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	47.4	90.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.6	48.8	90.4	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	45.0	49.4	94.4	-4.4	18%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.5	43.2	87.8	+1.2	38%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.3	22.8	40.2	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.4	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	18.4	38.1	+1.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	19.1	42.7	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	22.3	46.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.8	24.8	49.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (17)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.5	83.0	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	39.2	84.9	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	43.7	81.1	-6.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.8	82.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	35.3	45.5	80.8	-10.2	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.1	40.5	83.5	+2.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	41.4	85.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	39.8	83.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	43.0	87.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	41.5	85.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.2	82.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	44.8	40.8	85.6	+3.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.0	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/18	Brisbane Bullets v Perth	93-86
09/11/18	Perth v Brisbane Bullets	90-87
25/10/18	Brisbane Bullets v Perth	100-96
20/10/18	Perth v Brisbane Bullets	88-73
14/01/18	Brisbane Bullets v Perth	80-81
16/12/17	Perth v Brisbane Bullets	76-82
17/11/17	Brisbane Bullets v Perth	85-90
07/10/17	Perth v Brisbane Bullets	96-86
03/02/17	Perth v Brisbane Bullets	94-63
09/01/17	Brisbane Bullets v Perth	68-72

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/19	A	Melbourne United	70-81 OT
15/02/19	H	Adelaide	93-85
10/02/19	H	Sydney	95-86 OT
01/02/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-90
27/01/19	A	Sydney	88-68
25/01/19	H	Adelaide	100-81
20/01/19	H	Melbourne United	84-79
17/01/19	A	Adelaide	84-97
11/01/19	H	Cairns	79-81
06/01/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-97

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-78
09/02/19	A	Cairns	68-79
07/02/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-87 OT
03/02/19	A	Sydney	91-107
01/02/19	H	Sydney	93-95
27/01/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	96-109
25/01/19	H	Sydney	81-87
19/01/19	H	Cairns	99-68
12/01/19	A	Adelaide	102-90
06/01/19	H	Melbourne United	95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	64%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	64%	86%	43%
Points / game	89.2	93.5	85.0
Allowed / game	84.1	82.4	85.9
Point differential	+5.1	+11.1	-0.9
Avg total	173.4	175.9	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	18%	14%	21%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	WLLWW	64%
Away	LWLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	50%	64%	36%
Points / game	89.4	92.6	86.1
Allowed / game	88.6	88.1	89.0
Point differential	+0.8	+4.5	-2.9
Avg total	178.0	180.8	175.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	29%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	29	19	10	66%	92.4	88.0	+4.5
2	Perth	28	18	10	64%	89.2	84.1	+5.1
3	Sydney	29	18	11	62%	86.6	85.3	+1.2
4	Brisbane Bullets	28	14	14	50%	89.4	88.6	+0.8
5	Adelaide	28	14	14	50%	96.0	95.8	+0.2
6	New Zealand Breakers	28	12	16	43%	94.6	94.3	+0.3
7	Illawarra Hawks	28	12	16	43%	89.0	95.1	-6.1
8	Cairns	28	6	22	21%	85.7	92.0	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	23	18	30	18	89
Brisbane Bullets	16	24	15	4	59

← all games of the day

Perth vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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