Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 03:50

Final 90-102

24-21 25-24 27-22 14-35

Position#4

Record10-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game95.9

Allowed / game94.8

Adelaide

Brisbane Bullets 🏆

Position#5

Record10-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game88.4

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brisbane Bullets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

104-79

104

+25

H17/11

NBL

Cairns

109-95

109

+14

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

109-120

109

120

-11

A25/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-87

-1

H09/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-91

101

+10

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

87-82

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

103-101

103

101

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

109-98

109

+11

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-104

104

-8

H04/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-96

102

A10/01

NBL

21-30

27-16

31-16

25-17

23-29

31-20

32-23

23-23

32-25

21-40

22-20

34-35

25-26

29-22

20-19

12-20

28-22

24-30

18-18

31-21

21-26

24-16

17-16

25-24

30-22

26-31

19-29

28-19

26-29

28-19

26-23

29-27

27-26

22-15

18-29

29-34

22-32

29-21

21-25

30-18

195.9Avg total

100.6Scored

95.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	95.9	94.8	190.8	+1.1	53%
Season at home (10)	95.9	93.1	189.0	+2.8	50%
Season away (9)	96.0	96.8	192.8	-0.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	100.6	95.3	195.9	+5.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	99.4	96.2	195.6	+3.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	99.0	190.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	95.1	95.0	190.1	+0.1	50%
vs Weaker (9)	100.4	90.1	190.6	+10.3	78%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

94-102

102

-8

A18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

104-85

104

+19

H22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

97-94

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

90-74

+16

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

91-101

101

-10

H15/12

NBL

Perth

93-86

H21/12

NBL

Sydney

68-75

-7

A29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-74

100

+26

A31/12

NBL

Cairns

80-109

109

-29

A03/01

NBL

Melbourne United

95-86

H06/01

NBL

20-25

24-18

31-34

19-25

35-24

20-29

24-13

25-19

18-28

30-23

21-29

28-14

17-24

25-23

15-8

33-19

22-28

30-24

18-18

21-31

18-22

24-26

24-19

27-19

18-24

17-21

19-17

14-13

23-16

28-14

24-15

25-29

18-24

25-28

17-37

20-20

19-23

29-22

20-22

27-19

179.8Avg total

91.2Scored

88.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	89.0	88.4	177.4	+0.6	53%
Season at home (9)	93.6	91.0	184.6	+2.6	67%
Season away (10)	84.9	86.1	171.0	-1.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	91.2	88.6	179.8	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	86.0	173.2	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	85.0	90.3	175.3	-5.3	30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	88.0	89.2	177.2	-1.2	47%
vs Weaker (5)	86.4	88.4	174.8	-2.0	40%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.6	51.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	24.6	49.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	26.6	52.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	26.7	52.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	27.0	52.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	26.2	24.9	51.0	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	27.6	51.4	-3.7	22%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.6	45.3	-2.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	23.5	46.6	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.8	44.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.4	25.3	46.7	-3.9	13%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.8	21.0	45.8	+3.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.9	19.7	46.7	+7.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	25.2	50.3	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	23.0	49.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.4	46.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	25.9	23.7	49.6	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	27.1	19.4	46.6	+7.7	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.4	44.3	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	23.5	47.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.3	41.1	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	22.8	48.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.2	46.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	20%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

48-46

H17/11

NBL

Cairns

54-49

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-65

-12

A25/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-48

H09/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-52

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

45-42

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

56-53

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-48

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-41

H04/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-53

-2

A10/01

NBL

101.3Avg total

51.6Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.4	48.1	99.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.1	44.3	96.4	+7.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.7	51.8	102.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.6	49.7	101.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	47.4	98.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	52.1	48.5	100.7	+3.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (9)	51.0	47.0	98.0	+4.0	78%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

44-43

A18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-53

H22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

48-51

-3

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-47

-5

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

52-52

H15/12

NBL

Perth

42-48

-6

H21/12

NBL

Sydney

35-45

-10

A29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-30

+21

A31/12

NBL

Cairns

43-52

-9

A03/01

NBL

Melbourne United

48-45

H06/01

NBL

92.6Avg total

46.0Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	46.1	89.6	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.2	47.0	94.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	45.1	85.1	-5.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	46.6	92.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	44.0	87.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.4	43.9	85.3	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.3	47.8	92.1	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.6	45.2	90.8	+0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.4	44.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	26.0	58.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	23.8	44.3	-3.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.9	20.5	42.3	+1.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.6	46.1	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	21.9	46.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.6	23.8	50.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	24.4	52.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	26.6	22.1	48.7	+4.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.7	45.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.3	42.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	45.6	90.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	45.3	91.1	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	45.9	90.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	45.6	94.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	48.8	97.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	51.0	101.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	43.0	46.5	89.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.4	43.1	92.6	+6.3	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	42.8	85.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	43.2	86.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.5	84.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	42.0	87.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.0	85.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	43.1	44.8	87.9	-1.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	43.7	41.4	85.1	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	43.2	84.0	-2.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/18	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	91-101
04/11/18	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	90-93
01/11/18	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	108-98
17/02/18	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	105-82
27/01/18	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	95-90
07/01/18	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	84-95 OT
01/12/17	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	84-83
19/01/17	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	101-68
24/11/16	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	83-101
19/11/16	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	87-105

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-96
04/01/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-104
30/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	109-98
26/12/18	A	Melbourne United	103-101
22/12/18	H	Cairns	87-82
15/12/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-91
09/12/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-87
25/11/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	109-120
23/11/18	H	Cairns	109-95
17/11/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-79

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/19	H	Melbourne United	95-86
03/01/19	A	Cairns	80-109
31/12/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	100-74
29/12/18	A	Sydney	68-75
21/12/18	H	Perth	93-86
15/12/18	H	Adelaide	91-101
10/12/18	A	Melbourne United	90-74
08/12/18	H	Melbourne United	97-94
22/11/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-85
18/11/18	A	Melbourne United	94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	53%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	53%	50%	56%
Points / game	95.9	95.9	96.0
Allowed / game	94.8	93.1	96.8
Point differential	+1.1	+2.8	-0.8
Avg total	190.8	189.0	192.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	30%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	67%	40%
Points / game	89.0	93.6	84.9
Allowed / game	88.4	91.0	86.1
Point differential	+0.6	+2.6	-1.2
Avg total	177.4	184.6	171.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	22%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	19	13	6	68%	85.6	81.5	+4.1
2	Melbourne United	18	11	7	61%	90.2	88.6	+1.6
3	Perth	20	12	8	60%	89.0	84.4	+4.7
4	Adelaide	19	10	9	53%	95.9	94.8	+1.1
5	Brisbane Bullets	19	10	9	53%	89.0	88.4	+0.6
6	New Zealand Breakers	18	8	10	44%	90.7	90.7	+0.0
7	Illawarra Hawks	19	8	11	42%	87.1	93.0	-5.9
8	Cairns	18	3	15	17%	84.1	90.7	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	24	25	27	14	90
Brisbane Bullets	21	24	22	35	102

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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