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Perth vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 79-84
9-20 27-22 16-26 27-16
Position#3
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game92.7
Perth
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game90.3
AustraliaNBLRound 5· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v Brisbane Bullets
12 Feb 2027
PERT v BRIS
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
PERT94
BRIS75
15 Oct 2025
PERT93
BRIS110
29 Nov 2024
PERT117
BRIS89
19 Jan 2024
PERT118
BRIS86
27 Oct 2023
PERT79
BRIS84
02 Oct 2022
PERT87
BRIS73
17 Dec 2021
PERT83
BRIS70
12 Dec 2021
PERT94
BRIS97
23 Apr 2021
PERT92
BRIS74
05 Mar 2021
PERT92
BRIS95
09 Feb 2020
PERT85
BRIS72
14 Dec 2019
PERT86
BRIS78
28 Feb 2019
PERT89
BRIS59
09 Nov 2018
PERT90
BRIS87
20 Oct 2018
PERT88
BRIS73
16 Dec 2017
PERT76
BRIS82
07 Oct 2017
PERT96
BRIS86
03 Feb 2017
PERT94
BRIS63
01 Dec 2016
PERT75
BRIS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 75
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
87avg 75
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
64avg 75
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
86-99
86
99
-13
69avg 75
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 75
A21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
21-19
19-15
15-20
16-21
24-15
29-21
27-27
18-22
29-29
18-25
41-23
19-25
24-27
16-19
19-20
25-26
25-19
27-21
24-29
28-24
21-22
12-38
38-26
28-17
16-14
20-29
18-15
17-22
18-17
17-21
29-28
26-28
16-22
20-20
24-29
20-23
20-16
25-28
13-22
179.2Avg total
87.8Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.892.7180.5-4.833%
Season at home (3)88.086.0174.0+2.067%
Season away (3)87.799.3187.0-11.70%
Last 10 (10)87.891.4179.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)85.292.2177.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar (17)90.993.5184.4-2.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.394.3188.6+0.043%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-86
103
86
+17
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
no box
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
72avg 75
H29/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 75
A05/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 75
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
102-113
102
113
-11
95avg 75
H13/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 75
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
73-96
73
96
-23
59avg 75
A21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-28
23-19
30-19
20-22
20-33
14-19
17-25
27-21
23-30
18-19
19-24
18-16
24-20
12-18
17-17
18-28
23-12
24-13
21-18
26-22
22-22
23-23
18-17
18-26
20-17
18-27
30-19
25-29
17-27
25-29
35-28
14-14
14-29
17-23
33-23
15-17
18-28
16-22
24-29
175.1Avg total
85.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.790.3176.0-4.733%
Season at home (3)91.391.0182.3+0.333%
Season away (3)80.089.7169.7-9.733%
Last 10 (10)85.090.1175.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)85.694.2179.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)84.396.5180.9-12.222%
vs Similar (6)88.774.5163.2+14.283%
vs Weaker (1)73.096.0169.0-23.00%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
PerthBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
NBL
86.5Avg total
42.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.346.192.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.842.987.8+1.962%-
Last 30 away (17)47.448.595.9-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.886.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar (17)46.247.293.4-0.935%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.043.391.3+4.771%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H13/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A15/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/10
NBL
87.3Avg total
41.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.746.288.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.846.989.7-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.488.1-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.187.3-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.284.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.448.190.6-5.726%-
vs Similar (6)45.539.084.5+6.583%-
vs Weaker (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.0
50.0%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.0
32.4%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.5
71.7%
73.8%13.5
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.0
49.8%
50.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.0
28.8%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
73.8%16.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LLLWLWLWWL
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
-5.5
Net rating
-5.2
106.2
Offensive rating
102.3
111.6
Defensive rating
107.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
28.8%
51.6%
Assist %
50.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 102.3Defence111.6 · 107.5Shooting49.4% · 47.6%3-point %32.4% · 28.8%Ball care14.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Perth   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
27/12/22Brisbane Bullets v Perth97-93 OT
01/12/22Brisbane Bullets v Perth106-95 OT
02/10/22Perth v Brisbane Bullets87-73
12/03/22Brisbane Bullets v Perth83-95
17/12/21Perth v Brisbane Bullets83-70
12/12/21Perth v Brisbane Bullets94-97 OT
19/05/21Brisbane Bullets v Perth91-88
15/05/21Brisbane Bullets v Perth90-102
23/04/21Perth v Brisbane Bullets92-74
05/03/21Perth v Brisbane Bullets92-95
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AAdelaide78-89
15/10/23ASydney86-99
13/10/23HMelbourne United81-88
06/10/23HAdelaide82-75
01/10/23ASouth East Melbourne99-110
29/09/23HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
12/02/23ACairns Taipans78-91
09/02/23ASouth East Melbourne106-99
05/02/23HSydney96-84
03/02/23HCairns Taipans71-84
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ASouth East Melbourne73-96
15/10/23AMelbourne United78-89
13/10/23HSydney102-113
07/10/23HCairns Taipans86-89
05/10/23ANew Zealand Breakers89-84
29/09/23HAdelaide86-71
04/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers75-80 OT
28/01/23ACairns Taipans87-94
26/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-99
21/01/23AIllawarra Hawks103-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game87.888.087.7
Allowed / game92.786.099.3
Point differential-4.8+2.0-11.7
Avg total180.5174.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game85.791.380.0
Allowed / game90.391.089.7
Point differential-4.7+0.3-9.7
Avg total176.0182.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United87188%88.080.1+7.9
2 Sydney64267%97.392.3+5.0
3 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%90.084.6+5.4
4 South East Melbourne74357%92.489.1+3.3
5 Cairns Taipans42250%86.587.0-0.5
6 Adelaide83538%85.088.0-3.0
7 Brisbane Bullets62433%85.790.3-4.7
8 Perth62433%87.892.7-4.8
9 Illawarra Hawks62433%87.096.3-9.3
10 New Zealand Breakers41325%88.892.5-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth927162779
Brisbane Bullets2022261684
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