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Pesaro vs Brindisi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 13· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Brindisi
06 Dec 2026
PES v BRI
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
PES90
BRI82
12 Jan 2025
PES86
BRI79
28 Jan 2024
PES78
BRI86
05 Mar 2023
PES70
BRI100
13 Mar 2022
PES86
BRI84
14 Apr 2021
PES62
BRI86
12 Sep 2020
PES70
BRI84
09 Feb 2020
PES77
BRI103
26 Jan 2019
PES80
BRI101
12 Nov 2017
PES80
BRI75
11 Dec 2016
PES96
BRI102
15 Nov 2015
PES75
BRI70
25 Jan 2015
PES93
BRI101
05 Jan 2014
PES86
BRI91
10 Mar 2013
PES94
BRI90
23 Apr 2011
PES84
BRI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 75
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 75
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 75
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 75
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 75
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 75
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 75
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 69
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 69
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
35avg 69
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
96-78
96
78
+18
92avg 69
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 69
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
63-70
63
70
-7
66avg 69
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
85avg 69
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
14-24
23-21
10-17
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
18-19
31-16
28-18
19-25
27-20
24-22
18-20
12-23
17-18
20-18
15-13
11-21
27-19
24-18
17-23
15-10
24-18
15-18
16-13
8-21
23-20
15-9
29-23
13-22
22-19
19-18
20-14
20-27
150.8Avg total
76.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.473.9151.3+3.667%
Season at home (4)82.077.5159.5+4.575%
Season away (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)74.072.4146.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.877.8155.6-0.141%
vs Weaker (12)76.574.1150.6+2.458%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
PesaroBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/11
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
42.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.677.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.478.8+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.677.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.076.2+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.938.379.2+2.659%-
vs Weaker (12)39.236.875.9+2.450%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
71.0%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
71.0%13.0
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
Brindisi
WWLWLLWWWL
#10
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
-1.8
105.1
Offensive rating
93.5
106.5
Defensive rating
95.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
10.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.1%
3-point %
34.1%
53.1%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 93.5Defence106.5 · 95.3Shooting54.8% · 53.3%3-point %41.1% · 34.1%Ball care10.0% · 13.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pesaro wins
4
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Pesaro v Brindisi90-82
07/12/25Brindisi v Pesaro68-64
12/01/25Pesaro v Brindisi86-79
24/11/24Brindisi v Pesaro100-84
28/01/24Pesaro v Brindisi78-86
14/10/23Brindisi v Pesaro68-81
05/03/23Pesaro v Brindisi70-100
20/11/22Brindisi v Pesaro74-102
13/03/22Pesaro v Brindisi86-84
26/12/21Brindisi v Pesaro89-91
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALibertas Livorno81-78
07/11/26HForli80-74
31/10/26AMestre63-70
25/10/26HAvellino Basket83-70
21/10/26ASebastiani Rieti63-70
17/10/26HBasket Torino81-85
11/10/26AMontecatini96-78
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59
14/05/26HVerona69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game77.482.073.8
Allowed / game73.977.571.0
Point differential+3.6+4.5+2.8
Avg total151.3159.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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