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Philippines vs New Zealand Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 66-69
21-25 16-12 9-20 20-12
Position#45
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#15
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Philippines v New Zealand
26 Feb 2026
PHIL66
NEW 69
07 Aug 2025
PHIL86
NEW 94
21 Nov 2024
PHIL93
NEW 89
17 Jul 2022
PHIL75
NEW 92
30 Jun 2022
PHIL60
NEW 106
06 Jul 2016
PHIL80
NEW 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
93-54
93
54
+39
no box
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 71
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 71
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 71
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
93avg 71
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
46avg 71
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-19
22-8
26-11
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
159.0Avg total
82.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.058.5149.5+32.5100%
Season at home (1)95.071.0166.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)87.046.0133.0+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.376.7159.0+5.650%
Last 5 (5)80.669.2149.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.683.1157.7-8.536%
vs Similar (7)90.781.1171.9+9.657%
vs Weaker (12)86.559.0145.5+27.592%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZealand
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
92-51
92
51
+41
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
85avg 78
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 78
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 78
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 78
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 78
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 78
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
26-12
19-14
21-4
30-15
23-18
21-22
13-15
24-16
18-27
21-18
37-17
23-18
32-23
19-27
20-18
19-18
30-17
35-24
34-19
12-32
18-13
26-17
34-24
19-28
21-14
26-26
18-30
20-28
13-19
21-19
19-13
25-28
24-14
18-24
12-18
21-23
16-16
25-18
15-22
168.3Avg total
89.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.081.5159.5-3.50%
Season at home (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season away (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)89.478.9168.3+10.560%
Last 5 (5)80.685.2165.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.490.6169.0-12.20%
vs Similar (3)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.376.1166.4+14.173%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
PhilippinesNew Zealand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
80.5Avg total
38.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.579.4+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.938.182.0+5.846%-
Last 30 away (17)38.638.977.5-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.680.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.744.380.0-8.59%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.082.0+0.029%-
vs Weaker (12)45.631.877.4+13.883%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/12
World Cup
84.0Avg total
44.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.484.3+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.636.983.5+9.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.441.685.1+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.084.0+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.080.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.247.888.0-7.620%-
vs Similar (3)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.436.784.1+10.677%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
-41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
-15.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philippines
WWLWWLLLLW
New Zealand
LLLLWWWWWW
#45
League position
#15
+6.1
Net rating
+15.5
110.9
Offensive rating
113.7
104.8
Defensive rating
98.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.9%
3-point %
36.1%
64.5%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Philippines   ■ New Zealand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Philippines wins
6
New Zealand wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
24/11/24HHong Kong93-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HAustralia77-79
28/11/25AAustralia79-84
17/08/25AIran73-79
16/08/25AChina84-98
14/08/25HLebanon90-86
09/08/25AChinese Taipei118-78
07/08/25APhilippines94-86
05/08/25HIraq100-78
23/02/25HPhilippines87-70
20/02/25AHong Kong92-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.095.087.0
Allowed / game58.571.046.0
Point differential+32.5+24.0+41.0
Avg total149.5166.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.077.079.0
Allowed / game81.579.084.0
Point differential-3.5-2.0-5.0
Avg total159.5156.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
3 Philippines220100%91.058.5+32.5
4 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
5 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
6 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
7 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
8 Canada220100%102.581.5+21.0
9 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
10 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
11 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
12 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
13 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
14 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
15 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
16 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
17 Poland220100%87.580.5+7.0
18 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
19 Jamaica220100%94.591.0+3.5
20 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
21 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
22 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
23 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
24 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
25 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
26 Hungary64267%82.874.8+8.0
27 Netherlands64267%80.375.0+5.3
28 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
29 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
30 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
31 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
32 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Austria105550%86.078.6+7.4
35 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
36 Latvia21150%82.077.0+5.0
37 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
38 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
39 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
40 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
41 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
42 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
43 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
44 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
45 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
46 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
47 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Mexico21150%87.090.0-3.0
50 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
53 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
54 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
55 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
56 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
57 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
58 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
59 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
60 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
61 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
62 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
63 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
64 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
65 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
66 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
67 New Zealand2020%78.081.5-3.5
68 Puerto Rico2020%91.094.5-3.5
69 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
70 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
71 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
72 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
73 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
74 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
75 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
76 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
77 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
78 Bahamas2020%81.5102.5-21.0
79 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
80 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
81 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
82 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
83 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
84 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines211692066
New Zealand2512201269
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