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Phoenix Fuelmasters vs Magnolia Hotshots Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 98-86
26-32 23-21 30-18 19-15
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PhilippinesGovernors Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Phoenix Fuelmasters v Magnolia Hotshots
11 Jul 2026
PHOE98
MAGN86
16 Jan 2025
PHOE104
MAGN110
14 Apr 2024
PHOE93
MAGN107
28 Jan 2024
PHOE103
MAGN85
24 Jan 2024
PHOE79
MAGN82
12 Nov 2023
PHOE92
MAGN107
12 Nov 2022
PHOE80
MAGN90
24 Jun 2022
PHOE77
MAGN95
14 Nov 2020
PHOE89
MAGN88
06 Nov 2019
PHOE81
MAGN97
10 Dec 2016
PHOE79
MAGN123
02 Sep 2016
PHOE106
MAGN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Fuelmasters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Magnolia Hotshots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
133-105
133
105
+28
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
102-120
102
120
-18
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
96-109
96
109
-13
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
125-108
125
108
+17
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
103-130
103
130
-27
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H09/05
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
81-112
81
112
-31
H15/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
31-23
40-27
37-32
17-33
25-19
30-27
30-41
24-26
32-22
19-29
21-32
34-26
33-30
30-23
28-29
16-18
13-26
32-20
26-19
16-29
30-32
25-33
32-36
26-20
22-31
27-22
16-18
23-34
28-21
24-20
23-30
30-22
21-34
31-29
22-31
29-30
15-34
10-26
27-22
211.4Avg total
102.9Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)102.9108.5211.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)97.2112.0209.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)93.4105.2198.6-11.919%
vs Similar (7)105.1103.7208.9+1.457%
vs Weaker (7)111.9101.1213.0+10.771%
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Magnolia HotshotsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A07/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
120-101
120
101
+19
A12/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H25/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
135-98
135
98
+37
H29/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
106-94
106
94
+12
A05/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A10/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H13/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A16/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-23
22-14
23-14
18-18
17-32
31-19
23-22
30-22
28-28
34-22
28-29
22-15
27-24
25-25
32-30
25-20
16-18
21-28
20-25
27-21
34-20
38-34
36-23
35-15
24-25
22-32
25-22
18-14
28-16
28-35
19-11
24-22
26-18
23-17
22-32
22-19
25-25
25-26
20-22
192.2Avg total
101.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.390.9192.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)106.292.4198.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)94.093.0187.0+1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)106.193.9200.0+12.267%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
Phoenix FuelmastersMagnolia Hotshots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/05
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H15/05
Commissioners Cup
102.3Avg total
49.0Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.750.9100.6-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.550.1101.6+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)47.252.199.3-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)49.053.3102.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.057.4105.4-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.852.698.3-6.825%-
vs Similar (7)51.147.798.9+3.443%-
vs Weaker (7)57.150.4107.6+6.771%-
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Magnolia HotshotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A12/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H29/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A05/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A10/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/05
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/05
Commissioners Cup
90.0Avg total
48.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.844.294.0+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.445.293.6+3.271%-
Last 30 away (16)50.943.494.3+7.675%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.490.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)52.639.091.6+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)44.042.386.3+1.778%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)52.245.097.3+7.271%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Magnolia Hotshotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Magnolia Hotshots: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.224.2
45.5%
-48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.4
31.4%
-19.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
-14.7
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LLLWLWWLLW
Magnolia Hotshots
LWWWWLWWLW
#10
League position
#5
-3.1
Net rating
-1.9
102.4
Offensive rating
100.3
105.5
Defensive rating
102.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
45.9%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.8%
3-point %
31.4%
60.9%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Phoenix Fuelmasters   ■ Magnolia Hotshots
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel81-112
09/05/26HSan Miguel Beermen104-116
06/05/26AMacau Black Bears98-105
01/05/26ATNT Tropang Giga100-97 OT
26/04/26HConverge FiberXers103-130
21/04/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters87-83
17/04/26HBlackwater Bossing125-108
12/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-109
05/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors102-120
25/03/26ATerrafirma Dyip133-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/26AMeralco Bolts102-105 OT
13/05/26HMeralco Bolts95-89
10/05/26AMeralco Bolts93-76
05/05/26ATNT Tropang Giga106-94
29/04/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers135-98
25/04/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters82-91
19/04/26HConverge FiberXers106-94
12/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen120-101
10/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel89-91
07/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Fuelmasters
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Magnolia Hotshots
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors110100%114.075.0+39.0
2 Blackwater Bossing110100%131.0108.0+23.0
3 Terrafirma Dyip110100%113.0100.0+13.0
4 Titan Ultra Giant Risers1010%100.0113.0-13.0
5 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters1010%108.0131.0-23.0
6 Macau Black Bears1010%75.0114.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Fuelmasters2623301998
Magnolia Hotshots3221181586
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