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Macau Black Bears vs Phoenix Fuelmasters Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 May 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 105-98
34-23 21-28 20-24 30-23
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game101.9
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macau Black Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Fuelmasters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Macau Black BearsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
94-110
94
110
-16
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
110-115
110
115
-5
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
119-107
119
107
+12
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
112-119
112
119
-7
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
123-119
123
119
+4
H28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A02/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
30-28
20-31
31-33
21-24
22-39
25-21
25-26
25-26
26-26
17-32
41-37
26-33
25-29
32-31
11-17
25-26
32-27
24-34
29-28
21-28
31-24
26-22
19-32
24-32
41-16
27-29
27-30
25-24
23-26
37-38
27-31
25-21
28-28
38-39
32-31
20-21
33-33
24-24
7-24
217.5Avg total
105.0Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)104.0111.5215.5-7.518%
Season at home (5)107.8110.6218.4-2.840%
Season away (6)100.8112.3213.2-11.50%
Last 10 (10)105.0112.5217.5-7.520%
Last 5 (5)107.0110.6217.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)95.1104.6199.8-9.512%
vs Similar (5)90.896.2187.0-5.420%
vs Weaker (8)101.894.8196.5+7.075%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
109-76
109
76
+33
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
133-105
133
105
+28
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
102-120
102
120
-18
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
96-109
96
109
-13
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
125-108
125
108
+17
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
103-130
103
130
-27
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-27
31-22
22-26
33-17
25-28
15-19
36-12
23-18
26-29
22-26
15-20
25-23
31-23
40-27
37-32
17-33
25-19
30-27
30-41
24-26
32-22
19-29
21-32
34-26
33-30
30-23
28-29
16-18
13-26
32-20
26-19
16-29
30-32
25-33
32-36
26-20
22-31
27-22
16-18
206.1Avg total
104.2Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)104.2101.9206.1+2.360%
Season at home (5)103.8103.2207.0+0.640%
Season away (5)104.6100.6205.2+4.080%
Last 10 (10)104.2101.9206.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)102.2105.4207.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)94.7105.1199.8-10.322%
vs Similar (6)105.3101.7207.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)114.2100.5214.7+13.783%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
Macau Black BearsPhoenix Fuelmasters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A02/05
Commissioners Cup
106.6Avg total
53.1Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.949.198.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.649.197.6-0.556%-
Last 30 away (12)49.449.198.5+0.333%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.5106.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)54.250.6104.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)48.551.299.6-2.735%-
vs Similar (5)49.447.697.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker (8)49.545.595.0+4.062%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
99.9Avg total
49.9Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.049.899.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.448.5100.8+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)47.051.598.5-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)49.950.099.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.252.0101.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)46.950.997.9-4.039%-
vs Similar (6)51.246.397.5+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)58.249.7107.8+8.583%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.8%
-40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.3%
-29.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
74.0%
-11.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Macau Black Bears
LWLWLLLLLL
Phoenix Fuelmasters
WLWWLLWLWW
#11
League position
#8
-16.2
Net rating
-3.1
100.6
Offensive rating
102.4
116.8
Defensive rating
105.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
31.8%
45.0%
Assist %
60.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Macau Black Bears   ■ Phoenix Fuelmasters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Macau Black Bears wins
0
Phoenix Fuelmasters wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ATerrafirma Dyip84-102
28/04/26HBlackwater Bossing123-119
24/04/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-119
21/04/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers119-107
14/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors97-106
11/04/26HMeralco Bolts110-115
31/03/26ASan Miguel Beermen94-110
28/03/26AMagnolia Hotshots109-121
20/03/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel93-110
14/03/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters109-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26ATNT Tropang Giga100-97 OT
26/04/26HConverge FiberXers103-130
21/04/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters87-83
17/04/26HBlackwater Bossing125-108
12/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-109
05/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors102-120
25/03/26ATerrafirma Dyip133-105
21/03/26HMeralco Bolts86-93
15/03/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers109-76
13/03/26AMagnolia Hotshots101-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Macau Black Bears
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL18%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game104.0107.8100.8
Allowed / game111.5110.6112.3
Point differential-7.5-2.8-11.5
Avg total215.5218.4213.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%40%80%
Points / game104.2103.8104.6
Allowed / game101.9103.2100.6
Point differential+2.3+0.6+4.0
Avg total206.1207.0205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors1210283%103.897.3+6.4
2 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters118373%109.3102.7+6.5
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel118373%104.999.5+5.5
4 Meralco Bolts107370%106.099.5+6.5
5 Phoenix Fuelmasters106460%104.2101.9+2.3
6 Magnolia Hotshots116555%103.596.2+7.3
7 TNT Tropang Giga116555%103.2100.1+3.1
8 San Miguel Beermen105550%103.6106.0-2.4
9 Terrafirma Dyip104640%99.3100.3-1.0
10 Converge FiberXers114736%99.8101.7-1.9
11 Macau Black Bears112918%104.0111.5-7.5
12 Blackwater Bossing112918%100.6110.6-10.0
13 Titan Ultra Giant Risers112918%98.4113.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Macau Black Bears34212030105
Phoenix Fuelmasters2328242398
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