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Phoenix Fuelmasters vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 105-101
20-27 22-25 32-24 31-25
Position#10
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game97.1
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game101.7
PhilippinesGovernors Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Phoenix Fuelmasters v Meralco Bolts
16 Oct 2026
PHOE105
MERA101
21 Mar 2026
PHOE86
MERA93
13 Apr 2025
PHOE109
MERA97
29 Nov 2024
PHOE109
MERA111
26 Apr 2024
PHOE76
MERA82
17 Jan 2024
PHOE107
MERA116
10 Jan 2024
PHOE93
MERA83
11 Mar 2022
PHOE90
MERA109
28 Jul 2021
PHOE80
MERA91
12 Oct 2020
PHOE116
MERA98
06 Oct 2019
PHOE94
MERA111
16 Jan 2019
PHOE93
MERA92
09 Nov 2018
PHOE103
MERA108
19 Sep 2018
PHOE96
MERA86
14 Feb 2018
PHOE90
MERA92
18 Aug 2017
PHOE104
MERA107
21 Dec 2016
PHOE94
MERA90
21 Feb 2016
PHOE87
MERA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Fuelmasters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Meralco Bolts winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H09/05
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
81-112
81
112
-31
H15/05
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H11/07
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
W
98-97
98
97
+1
A15/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A19/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
98-105
98
105
-7
H21/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H28/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A05/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
101-115
101
115
-14
A12/08
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
28-21
24-20
23-30
30-22
21-34
31-29
22-31
29-30
15-34
10-26
27-22
26-32
23-21
30-18
19-15
31-22
19-34
23-19
25-22
32-15
16-21
18-19
15-23
25-30
25-30
23-20
25-25
20-22
34-31
24-19
24-21
32-30
27-32
27-15
14-29
33-28
16-32
35-22
17-33
197.4Avg total
96.1Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.997.1194.0-0.357%
Season at home (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Season away (4)95.099.0194.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)96.1101.3197.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)96.499.4195.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)95.3102.6197.9-7.332%
vs Similar (6)107.3104.3211.7+3.067%
vs Weaker (5)114.8101.0215.8+13.880%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A31/05
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H15/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
122-114
122
114
+8
A18/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
116-114
116
114
+2
H21/07
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
98-112
98
112
-14
A24/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H31/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A02/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A07/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H14/08
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H13/10
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
19-22
27-28
23-18
22-31
34-19
19-23
22-25
32-34
22-26
41-23
27-31
26-29
35-28
37-24
18-33
20-31
35-29
22-24
21-28
10-18
19-26
21-21
25-19
18-25
29-23
28-20
8-17
29-22
19-25
22-24
18-34
21-20
28-21
20-20
28-27
32-36
36-22
29-28
23-29
200.2Avg total
99.0Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)99.6101.7201.2-2.144%
Season at home (5)101.099.8200.8+1.260%
Season away (4)97.8104.0201.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)99.0101.2200.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)92.695.4188.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.086.0172.0+0.050%
vs Similar (20)97.198.5195.6-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)105.694.0199.6+11.675%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
Phoenix FuelmastersMeralco Bolts
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/05
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H15/05
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/07
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A15/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H28/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A05/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A12/08
Governors Cup
106.0Avg total
50.5Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.552.3102.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.951.7104.6+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)47.753.0100.7-5.314%-
Last 10 (10)50.555.5106.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)52.054.2106.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)47.854.3102.1-6.521%-
vs Similar (6)51.547.298.7+4.350%-
vs Weaker (5)59.451.0110.4+8.480%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A31/05
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#10
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H15/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A18/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H21/07
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A24/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H31/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A02/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/08
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H13/10
Governors Cup
102.7Avg total
51.1Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.747.896.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.447.194.5+0.259%-
Last 30 away (13)50.448.899.2+1.638%-
Last 10 (10)51.151.6102.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.695.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.042.581.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (20)47.048.395.3-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)55.248.0103.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.0
50.1%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.14.9
27.1%
-14.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
-11.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LLWLWWWLLL
Meralco Bolts
WWLLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#9
-3.1
Net rating
+0.9
102.4
Offensive rating
102.7
105.5
Defensive rating
101.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
12.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
27.1%
60.9%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Phoenix Fuelmasters   ■ Meralco Bolts
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/08/26AMagnolia Hotshots101-115
05/08/26ABlackwater Bossing100-106
28/07/26HBlackwater Bossing102-93
21/07/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters98-105
19/07/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel81-78
15/07/26AMeralco Bolts98-97
11/07/26HMagnolia Hotshots98-86
15/05/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel81-112
09/05/26HSan Miguel Beermen104-116
06/05/26AMacau Black Bears98-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HBlackwater Bossing120-115
14/08/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel97-88
07/08/26AMagnolia Hotshots88-105
02/08/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters83-85
31/07/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel75-84
24/07/26AMagnolia Hotshots98-112
21/07/26HBlackwater Bossing116-114
18/07/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters122-114
15/07/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters97-98
31/05/26ATNT Tropang Giga94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Fuelmasters
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game96.999.395.0
Allowed / game97.194.799.0
Point differential-0.3+4.7-4.0
Avg total194.0194.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Meralco Bolts
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game99.6101.097.8
Allowed / game101.799.8104.0
Point differential-2.1+1.2-6.2
Avg total201.2200.8201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors119282%117.299.2+18.0
2 San Miguel Beermen118373%120.1106.4+13.7
3 Magnolia Hotshots96367%100.393.2+7.1
4 Converge FiberXers117464%123.2111.3+11.9
5 TNT Tropang Giga117464%107.697.8+9.8
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters74357%96.997.1-0.3
7 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters74357%104.4108.4-4.0
8 Meralco Bolts94544%99.6101.7-2.1
9 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel83538%94.994.9+0.0
10 Blackwater Bossing83538%104.2106.1-1.9
11 Terrafirma Dyip114736%107.5111.3-3.7
12 Titan Ultra Giant Risers112918%106.1127.2-21.1
13 Macau Black Bears1221017%103.8130.1-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Fuelmasters20223231105
Meralco Bolts27252425101
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