PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Fuelmasters vs San Miguel Beermen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 104-116
30-22 21-34 31-29 22-31
Position#8
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.6
Allowed / game106.4
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Phoenix Fuelmasters v San Miguel Beermen
09 May 2026
PHOE104
SAN 116
21 Aug 2024
PHOE107
SAN 111
31 Mar 2024
PHOE102
SAN 116
08 Jun 2022
PHOE100
SAN 108
23 Apr 2019
PHOE91
SAN 114
15 Apr 2019
PHOE82
SAN 92
30 May 2018
PHOE94
SAN 106
20 Sep 2017
PHOE107
SAN 109
30 Nov 2016
PHOE92
SAN 85
17 Jul 2016
PHOE113
SAN 124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Fuelmasters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Miguel Beermen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
109-76
109
76
+33
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
133-105
133
105
+28
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
102-120
102
120
-18
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
96-109
96
109
-13
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
125-108
125
108
+17
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
103-130
103
130
-27
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
25-28
15-19
36-12
23-18
26-29
22-26
15-20
25-23
31-23
40-27
37-32
17-33
25-19
30-27
30-41
24-26
32-22
19-29
21-32
34-26
33-30
30-23
28-29
16-18
13-26
32-20
26-19
16-29
30-32
25-33
32-36
26-20
22-31
27-22
16-18
23-34
28-21
24-20
23-30
206.5Avg total
103.9Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)103.6102.2205.8+1.555%
Season at home (5)103.8103.2207.0+0.640%
Season away (6)103.5101.3204.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)103.9102.6206.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)102.6104.6207.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)96.1105.7201.8-9.624%
vs Similar ◀ (6)105.3101.7207.0+3.767%
vs Weaker (7)111.9101.1213.0+10.771%
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Miguel BeermenPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H25/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
92-118
92
118
-26
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
112-116
112
116
-4
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
101-120
101
120
-19
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A19/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
120-126
120
126
-6
H22/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
126-110
126
110
+16
H06/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-25
31-21
30-28
16-35
16-22
28-28
32-33
33-26
29-25
31-32
17-11
12-26
23-10
23-30
27-16
27-26
25-36
21-33
39-21
22-30
28-28
22-34
29-28
25-35
25-17
27-16
21-26
23-36
27-29
44-27
26-34
24-28
24-27
29-18
26-19
23-16
35-30
34-32
34-32
210.1Avg total
105.0Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)105.6106.4212.0-0.755%
Season at home (6)112.0110.8222.8+1.250%
Season away (5)98.0101.0199.0-3.060%
Last 10 (10)105.0105.1210.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)109.6108.4218.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.8100.8200.6-1.060%
vs Similar ◀ (2)97.5108.5206.0-11.050%
vs Weaker (23)104.994.7199.6+10.265%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
Phoenix FuelmastersSan Miguel Beermen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H17/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A21/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H26/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/05
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A06/05
Commissioners Cup
100.7Avg total
50.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.150.0100.2+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.448.5100.8+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)47.252.199.3-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.5100.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.253.4101.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)46.951.298.1-4.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)51.246.397.5+4.850%-
vs Weaker (7)57.150.4107.6+6.771%-
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A19/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H22/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/05
Commissioners Cup
101.1Avg total
47.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.047.496.5+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.447.797.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)48.747.195.8+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)47.953.2101.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.2106.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)47.052.699.6-5.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.053.590.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker (23)50.545.896.3+4.774%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Miguel Beermentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Miguel Beermen: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.427.1
48.9%
-54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.217.7
70.2%
-17.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LWLWWLLWLW
San Miguel Beermen
WWLWLLWWLW
#8
League position
#7
-3.1
Net rating
+3.4
102.4
Offensive rating
106.9
105.5
Defensive rating
103.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
31.8%
60.9%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Phoenix Fuelmasters   ■ San Miguel Beermen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26AMacau Black Bears98-105
01/05/26ATNT Tropang Giga100-97 OT
26/04/26HConverge FiberXers103-130
21/04/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters87-83
17/04/26HBlackwater Bossing125-108
12/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel96-109
05/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors102-120
25/03/26ATerrafirma Dyip133-105
21/03/26HMeralco Bolts86-93
15/03/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers109-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HTerrafirma Dyip126-110
28/04/26AMeralco Bolts103-92
22/04/26HBlackwater Bossing120-126
19/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors98-94
12/04/26HMagnolia Hotshots101-120
08/04/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters112-116
05/04/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel85-82
31/03/26HMacau Black Bears110-94
28/03/26ATNT Tropang Giga92-118
25/03/26HConverge FiberXers103-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Fuelmasters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game103.6103.8103.5
Allowed / game102.2103.2101.3
Point differential+1.5+0.6+2.2
Avg total205.8207.0204.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
San Miguel Beermen
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game105.6112.098.0
Allowed / game106.4110.8101.0
Point differential-0.7+1.2-3.0
Avg total212.0222.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors1210283%103.897.3+6.4
2 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters129375%112.0105.1+6.9
3 Meralco Bolts118373%106.696.7+9.9
4 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel118373%104.999.5+5.5
5 Magnolia Hotshots116555%103.596.2+7.3
6 TNT Tropang Giga116555%103.2100.1+3.1
7 Phoenix Fuelmasters116555%103.6102.2+1.5
8 San Miguel Beermen116555%105.6106.4-0.7
9 Converge FiberXers125742%102.8103.4-0.6
10 Terrafirma Dyip124833%97.7103.5-5.8
11 Macau Black Bears123925%104.1110.4-6.3
12 Blackwater Bossing1221017%102.4112.8-10.3
13 Titan Ultra Giant Risers1221017%101.1115.6-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Fuelmasters30213122104
San Miguel Beermen22342931116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.