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Phoenix Hagen vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.1
GermanyBBLRound 13· Ischelandhalle
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Hagen v Bayern
26 Dec 2026
PHA v BAY
upcoming
26 Nov 2016
PHA77
BAY97
07 Oct 2015
PHA82
BAY97
11 Oct 2014
PHA74
BAY97
02 Mar 2014
PHA76
BAY82
22 Dec 2012
PHA97
BAY123
25 Feb 2012
PHA72
BAY82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Hagen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix HagenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHagen
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A04/06
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#5
L
92-102
92
102
-10
83avg 79
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 79
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
82avg 79
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
79avg 79
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 79
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 79
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#13
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 79
H30/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
L
72-102
72
102
-30
no box
A06/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
17-26
24-19
16-12
26-25
15-21
22-13
30-23
11-39
22-22
26-17
33-24
21-27
16-16
21-27
20-23
24-19
23-20
20-22
14-20
18-22
22-19
26-24
22-28
29-20
24-19
13-18
21-21
20-25
28-12
16-24
24-12
25-25
13-31
15-25
21-19
26-26
21-30
11-27
14-19
175.0Avg total
84.7Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.091.9175.9-7.925%
Season at home (4)82.089.8171.8-7.825%
Season away (4)86.094.0180.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)84.790.3175.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)81.889.2171.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)86.297.8184.0-11.50%
vs Similar (5)83.487.4170.8-4.040%
vs Weaker (21)91.283.4174.6+7.876%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 83
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#17
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#7
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
176.6Avg total
90.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.070.1166.1+25.988%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)90.086.6176.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)88.281.2169.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.294.5179.8-9.225%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.172.8162.9+17.280%
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Phoenix HagenBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix HagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#5
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A04/06
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#5
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#13
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H30/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A06/11
BBL
89.9Avg total
42.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.988.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)46.446.592.9-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.389.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.891.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.849.291.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (5)44.444.288.6+0.240%-
vs Weaker (21)45.442.988.3+2.662%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
88.3Avg total
43.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.384.9+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.138.884.9+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)42.842.284.9+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.288.3-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.048.288.2-8.250%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.636.282.8+10.490%-
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Hagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Hagen: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.6
55.1%
55.7%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.412.9
78.4%
73.2%12.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.2%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Hagen
LLWWLLLLWL
Bayern
WWWLLLWLLW
#16
League position
#1
-7.2
Net rating
+2.0
99.6
Offensive rating
101.7
106.9
Defensive rating
99.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
36.5%
64.7%
Assist %
66.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 101.7Defence106.9 · 99.7Shooting53.0% · 55.8%3-point %33.6% · 36.5%Ball care15.8% · 15.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Phoenix Hagen   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Phoenix Hagen wins
10
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
26/11/16Phoenix Hagen v Bayern77-97
03/04/16Bayern v Phoenix Hagen113-80
07/10/15Phoenix Hagen v Bayern82-97
31/01/15Bayern v Phoenix Hagen124-79
11/10/14Phoenix Hagen v Bayern74-97
02/03/14Phoenix Hagen v Bayern76-82
03/11/13Bayern v Phoenix Hagen91-73
13/04/13Bayern v Phoenix Hagen119-83
22/12/12Phoenix Hagen v Bayern97-123
25/02/12Phoenix Hagen v Bayern72-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AAlba Berlin72-102
30/10/26HVechta74-100
25/10/26HBasketball Braunschweig88-73
10/10/26AOldenburg87-78
04/10/26HFrankfurt88-93
27/09/26AChemnitz93-94 OT
25/09/26HUlm78-93
19/09/26ARostock92-102
07/06/26HKirchheim93-82
04/06/26AKirchheim82-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Hagen
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game84.082.086.0
Allowed / game91.989.894.0
Point differential-7.9-7.8-8.0
Avg total175.9171.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game96.0104.082.7
Allowed / game70.167.275.0
Point differential+25.9+36.8+7.7
Avg total166.1171.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg84450%85.286.0-0.8
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
17 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
18 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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