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Phoenix Hagen vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#18
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.5
GermanyBBLRound 23· Ischelandhalle
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Hagen v Hamburg
05 Mar 2027
PHA v HAM
upcoming
24 Nov 2018
PHA84
HAM70
27 Dec 2017
PHA69
HAM62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Hagen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix HagenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#3
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H30/05
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A04/06
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#8
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#16
L
74-100
74
100
-26
H30/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
24-18
26-15
19-15
25-29
17-26
24-19
16-12
26-25
15-21
22-13
30-23
11-39
22-22
26-17
33-24
21-27
16-16
21-27
20-23
24-19
23-20
20-22
14-20
18-22
22-19
26-24
22-28
29-20
24-19
13-18
21-21
20-25
28-12
16-24
24-12
25-25
13-31
15-25
21-19
172.6Avg total
86.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.790.4176.1-4.729%
Season at home (4)82.089.8171.8-7.825%
Season away (3)90.791.3182.0-0.733%
Last 10 (10)86.086.6172.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)86.087.6173.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.097.5187.5-7.50%
vs Similar (6)85.088.5173.5-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.482.9174.3+8.577%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A25/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
12-13
19-19
21-20
15-29
27-18
17-22
12-16
14-22
21-26
21-20
17-22
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
166.2Avg total
76.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.889.5169.3-9.717%
Season at home (2)89.090.5179.5-1.550%
Season away (4)75.289.0164.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)76.689.6166.2-13.010%
Last 5 (5)81.488.2169.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.891.7174.5-8.929%
vs Similar (10)87.380.6167.9+6.760%
vs Weaker (3)87.791.0178.7-3.333%
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Phoenix HagenHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix HagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/05
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A04/06
Pro A
Kirchheim
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/06
Pro A
Rostock
#8
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A19/09
BBL
Ulm
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H25/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A10/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/10
BBL
Vechta
#16
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H30/10
BBL
87.1Avg total
41.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.388.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.084.6+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)46.445.992.2+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.287.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.487.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.551.087.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (6)44.843.388.2+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.742.588.2+3.164%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
81.3Avg total
38.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.586.5-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.146.089.1-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.843.183.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.381.3-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.945.685.6-5.729%-
vs Similar (10)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
vs Weaker (3)45.350.095.3-4.733%-
This opponent (Phoenix Hagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Hagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Hagen: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.2%
55.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.1
33.6%
33.3%30.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.9%
73.7%13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.9
48.4%
55.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.5
27.0%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
73.7%13.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Hagen
LWWLLLLWLW
Hamburg
LLLLWLLLLL
#15
League position
#18
-4.3
Net rating
-14.6
100.8
Offensive rating
83.5
105.1
Defensive rating
98.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
44.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
27.0%
64.6%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 83.5Defence105.1 · 98.1Shooting53.1% · 44.7%3-point %33.6% · 27.0%Ball care15.9% · 15.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Phoenix Hagen   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Hagen wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
16/02/19Hamburg v Phoenix Hagen64-77
24/11/18Phoenix Hagen v Hamburg84-70
27/12/17Phoenix Hagen v Hamburg69-62
05/11/17Hamburg v Phoenix Hagen111-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HVechta74-100
25/10/26HBasketball Braunschweig88-73
10/10/26AOldenburg87-78
04/10/26HFrankfurt88-93
27/09/26AChemnitz93-94 OT
25/09/26HUlm78-93
19/09/26ARostock92-102
07/06/26HKirchheim93-82
04/06/26AKirchheim82-86
30/05/26HBremerhaven85-65
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
07/05/26HWurzburg73-90
03/05/26ABamberg71-85
25/04/26AUlm72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Hagen
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game85.782.090.7
Allowed / game90.489.891.3
Point differential-4.7-7.8-0.7
Avg total176.1171.8182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game79.889.075.2
Allowed / game89.590.589.0
Point differential-9.7-1.5-13.8
Avg total169.3179.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern550100%99.870.6+29.2
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC64267%84.579.8+4.7
5 Ludwigsburg64267%88.786.7+2.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig53260%92.694.2-1.6
7 Wurzburg53260%80.281.8-1.6
8 Rostock63350%92.084.2+7.8
9 Bonn63350%85.380.8+4.5
10 Bamberg63350%88.086.0+2.0
11 Alba Berlin63350%83.389.2-5.8
12 Oldenburg63350%76.083.8-7.8
13 Ulm62433%82.088.2-6.2
14 Jena62433%76.388.3-12.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Chemnitz61517%85.590.5-5.0
18 Hamburg61517%79.889.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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