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Hamburg vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-90
14-22 21-26 21-20 17-22
Position#14
Record13-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#5
Record18-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.1
GermanyBBLRound 33· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Hamburg v Wurzburg
14 Nov 2026
HAM v WUR
upcoming
07 May 2026
HAM73
WUR90
26 Jan 2025
HAM68
WUR66
01 Oct 2023
HAM58
WUR88
30 Dec 2022
HAM96
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
90-72
90
72
+18
78avg 74
H22/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 74
A26/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 74
H29/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 74
A01/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 74
H05/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
94-99
94
99
-5
84avg 74
A10/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
76avg 74
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
86avg 74
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 74
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 74
A03/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-22
24-15
18-16
20-33
21-28
28-23
26-22
24-22
24-20
21-17
27-22
26-13
32-22
13-27
25-15
17-24
25-19
29-13
26-19
20-31
21-19
32-16
21-33
10-33
18-20
24-16
31-23
19-18
24-18
13-20
24-24
20-29
12-13
19-19
21-20
15-29
27-18
17-22
12-16
173.9Avg total
88.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.587.8173.4-2.341%
Season at home (16)85.484.4169.8+0.956%
Season away (16)85.791.2176.9-5.625%
Last 10 (10)88.585.4173.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)82.288.6170.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)86.291.9178.1-5.738%
vs Similar (10)86.882.5169.3+4.360%
vs Weaker (4)93.595.2188.8-1.850%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 73
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 73
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 73
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
90-102
90
102
-12
79avg 73
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 73
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 73
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 73
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 73
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 73
A26/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 73
H02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-24
27-21
19-24
26-19
21-26
17-19
20-17
18-20
21-25
23-18
23-16
17-21
22-24
25-37
26-20
17-27
30-21
14-26
25-29
24-16
19-12
24-20
20-21
17-26
20-9
23-14
20-17
14-21
32-16
20-29
15-24
11-27
8-17
19-21
14-18
23-26
26-22
30-15
19-21
166.8Avg total
82.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.781.1162.8+0.656%
Season at home (16)85.681.4167.0+4.169%
Season away (16)77.980.8158.7-2.944%
Last 10 (10)82.484.4166.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)79.678.4158.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.787.3168.0-6.711%
vs Similar (13)83.480.8164.2+2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.478.4160.8+4.075%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
HamburgWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A26/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H29/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A01/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
BBL
87.3Avg total
42.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.287.7-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.444.689.1-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.445.886.2-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.087.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.682.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.946.087.9-4.138%-
vs Similar (10)43.142.785.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)43.848.091.8-4.225%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A26/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/05
BBL
81.8Avg total
40.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.180.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.181.9+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.079.9-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.781.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.743.984.6-3.233%-
vs Similar (13)39.841.281.0-1.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.037.876.8+1.262%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.6
56.0%
53.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.3
36.9%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.614.2
65.7%
73.5%14.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.2
72.7%
73.5%15.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLLWWWLW
Wurzburg
WLLWWLLWWL
#14
League position
#5
+3.2
Net rating
-2.8
97.3
Offensive rating
97.0
94.1
Defensive rating
99.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.9%
3-point %
35.6%
53.0%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 97.0Defence94.1 · 99.8Shooting55.7% · 54.0%3-point %36.9% · 35.6%Ball care15.8% · 16.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
5
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Wurzburg v Hamburg91-88
26/01/25Hamburg v Wurzburg68-66
18/10/24Wurzburg v Hamburg91-85
17/03/24Wurzburg v Hamburg96-76
01/10/23Hamburg v Wurzburg58-88
06/02/23Wurzburg v Hamburg90-56
30/12/22Hamburg v Wurzburg96-73
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26ABamberg71-85
25/04/26AUlm72-81
22/04/26HRostock91-86 OT
19/04/26HVechta83-92
10/04/26ASyntainics MBC94-99
05/04/26HFrankfurt97-75
01/04/26AOldenburg96-77
29/03/26HBayern96-81
26/03/26AJena95-106
22/03/26HTrier90-72
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HUlm98-84
26/04/26ASyntainics MBC52-83
23/04/26HBayern81-90
17/04/26HFrankfurt80-66
11/04/26AJena87-69
04/04/26HVechta86-103
01/04/26ATrier90-102
22/03/26AOldenburg85-79
17/03/26HChalon/Saone84-81
14/03/26HBonn81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game85.585.485.7
Allowed / game87.884.491.2
Point differential-2.3+0.9-5.6
Avg total173.4169.8176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLLWLW69%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%69%44%
Points / game81.785.677.9
Allowed / game81.181.480.8
Point differential+0.6+4.1-2.9
Avg total162.8167.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3328585%88.074.6+13.3
2 Alba Berlin33231070%85.978.3+7.6
3 Bamberg32221069%89.281.6+7.6
4 Bonn32201262%83.479.8+3.6
5 Wurzburg32181456%81.781.1+0.6
6 Ulm33181555%82.278.8+3.4
7 Ludwigsburg33171652%83.184.0-0.9
8 Vechta32161650%90.188.4+1.7
9 Trier32161650%91.093.5-2.5
10 Chemnitz33161748%83.385.1-1.8
11 Rostock32151747%83.082.7+0.3
12 Oldenburg32151747%83.384.5-1.2
13 Syntainics MBC32131941%84.886.9-2.1
14 Hamburg32131941%85.587.8-2.3
15 Frankfurt33122136%81.485.6-4.2
16 Jena32112134%81.689.4-7.8
17 Heidelberg3292328%78.486.2-7.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig3292328%82.390.2-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1421211773
Wurzburg2226202290
← all games of the day
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