Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 75-68

15-16 19-14 19-13 22-25

Position#5

Record18-12

FormWLLWW

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game70.9

Pieno Zvaigzdes 🏆

Rytas

Position#1

Record15-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game70.8

LKL

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rytas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

#15

92-79

+13

A26/02

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

#15

93-67

+26

H01/03

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

73-76

-3

A04/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

64-77

-13

A07/03

Baltic League

LSU Atletas

#11

91-65

+26

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

77-71

H18/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

50-52

-2

H21/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

77-85

-8

H23/03

LKL

Siauliai

78-77

H02/04

LKL

Juventus

87-83

H05/04

LKL

26-18

20-26

21-22

25-13

17-10

27-23

26-17

23-17

21-23

18-15

11-21

18-21

14-17

14-20

18-19

19-14

17-19

32-13

23-19

18-21

23-12

21-15

15-23

14-13

10-14

17-13

9-12

14-29

19-20

21-11

23-25

17-19

19-23

20-14

22-21

24-15

25-24

24-21

14-23

151.4Avg total

78.2Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	75.4	70.9	146.3	+4.4	60%
Season at home (14)	79.9	66.4	146.4	+13.5	93%
Season away (16)	71.4	74.9	146.2	-3.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	73.2	151.4	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	73.6	147.4	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	75.0	89.5	164.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	78.0	75.3	153.3	+2.7	57%
vs Weaker (21)	79.6	66.4	146.0	+13.1	71%

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

85-74

+11

H26/02

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

83-82

A28/02

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#13

82-88

-6

A05/03

Eurocup

Turow Zgorzelec

#15

101-79

101

+22

H09/03

VTB United League

Crvena zvezda

#13

82-80

H12/03

Eurocup

Enisey

103-97

103

H16/03

VTB United League

BC Kalev/Cramo

#20

87-85

H23/03

VTB United League

Siauliai

84-89

-5

A05/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

109-52

109

+57

H09/04

LKL

Juventus

115-83

115

+32

H12/04

LKL

28-14

18-24

21-17

18-19

21-27

14-17

28-19

20-19

27-23

14-22

19-25

22-18

28-22

25-19

27-18

21-20

17-22

25-27

16-12

24-19

29-28

25-21

21-22

28-26

21-23

28-19

16-21

22-22

16-19

24-20

19-20

25-30

34-19

24-10

25-12

26-11

28-27

28-18

21-20

38-18

174.0Avg total

93.1Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	89.2	70.8	159.9	+18.4	94%
Season at home (8)	93.1	69.8	162.9	+23.4	100%
Season away (8)	85.2	71.8	157.0	+13.5	88%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	80.9	174.0	+12.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	99.6	81.2	180.8	+18.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.7	86.3	161.0	-11.7	33%
vs Similar (6)	84.5	79.7	164.2	+4.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	90.2	74.8	165.0	+15.4	89%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Pieno ZvaigzdesRytas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.2	37.1	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	14.6	35.5	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.5	25.5	45.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.4	14.7	36.1	+6.8	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.8	21.7	44.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	23.2	48.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	17.9	37.1	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	17.6	43.4	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	23.7	41.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	67%	-

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

#15

46-44

A26/02

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

#15

44-33

+11

H01/03

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

44-40

A04/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

32-38

-6

A07/03

Baltic League

LSU Atletas

#11

36-33

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

41-33

H18/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

24-27

-3

H21/03

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

33-49

-16

H23/03

LKL

Siauliai

36-42

-6

H02/04

LKL

Juventus

49-39

+10

H05/04

LKL

76.3Avg total

38.5Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	34.1	74.5	+6.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	31.8	73.9	+10.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	36.7	75.1	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.8	76.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	38.0	74.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.1	32.5	73.6	+8.6	81%	-

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

46-38

H26/02

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

35-44

-9

A28/02

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#13

41-45

-4

A05/03

Eurocup

Turow Zgorzelec

#15

53-41

+12

H09/03

VTB United League

Crvena zvezda

#13

42-49

-7

H12/03

Eurocup

Enisey

54-49

H16/03

VTB United League

BC Kalev/Cramo

#20

49-42

H23/03

VTB United League

Siauliai

40-39

A05/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

58-29

+29

H09/04

LKL

Juventus

56-45

+11

H12/04

LKL

89.5Avg total

47.4Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	41.1	84.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	45.6	41.4	87.0	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.1	40.5	79.5	-1.4	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	42.1	89.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	40.8	92.2	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.7	47.5	85.2	-9.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	40.7	84.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.8	39.1	83.9	+5.8	72%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.0	36.7	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	15.2	36.3	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.1	37.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.8	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	21.2	37.3	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.0	17.2	36.1	+1.8	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	24.2	18.1	42.3	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	21.4	49.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.2	83%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.2	18.4	42.6	+5.7	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.0	74.5	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	33.2	73.2	+6.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	39.1	75.9	-2.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	35.4	75.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.6	72.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	37.0	45.5	82.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	38.5	34.0	72.4	+4.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	37.0	79.8	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	44.2	37.3	81.5	+6.9	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.3	36.5	76.7	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	38.8	84.5	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.4	88.6	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.4	35.7	81.1	+9.7	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Rytas wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-73
30/03/13	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-85
02/03/12	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-67
12/11/11	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	75-85

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/14	H	Juventus	87-83
02/04/14	H	Siauliai	78-77
23/03/14	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	77-85
21/03/14	H	Tartu Ulikool	50-52
18/03/14	H	Skycop	77-71
10/03/14	A	LSU Atletas	91-65
07/03/14	A	Tartu Ulikool	64-77
04/03/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	73-76
01/03/14	H	BK Liepaja	93-67
26/02/14	A	BK Liepaja	92-79

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/14	H	Juventus	115-83
09/04/14	H	Alytaus Dzukija	109-52
05/04/14	A	Siauliai	84-89
23/03/14	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	87-85
16/03/14	H	Enisey	103-97
12/03/14	H	Crvena zvezda	82-80
09/03/14	H	Turow Zgorzelec	101-79
05/03/14	A	Crvena zvezda	82-88
28/02/14	A	LSU Atletas	83-82
26/02/14	H	Lietkabelis	85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	60%
Home	WWLWW	93%
Away	WLLLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	60%	93%	31%
Points / game	75.4	79.9	71.4
Allowed / game	70.9	66.4	74.9
Point differential	+4.4	+13.5	-3.5
Avg total	146.3	146.4	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	57%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	100% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rytas

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	94%	100%	88%
Points / game	89.2	93.1	85.2
Allowed / game	70.8	69.8	71.8
Point differential	+18.4	+23.4	+13.5
Avg total	159.9	162.9	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	75%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rytas	16	15	1	94%	89.2	70.8	+18.4
2	Neptunas	16	13	3	81%	84.0	75.9	+8.1
3	Skycop	30	22	8	73%	78.2	73.4	+4.8
4	Zalgiris Kaunas	18	13	5	72%	82.4	70.8	+11.6
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	30	18	12	60%	75.4	70.9	+4.4
6	Siauliai	29	16	13	55%	79.4	74.3	+5.0
7	Lietkabelis	32	12	20	38%	71.5	78.1	-6.6
8	Juventus	30	11	19	37%	76.6	78.8	-2.1
9	Nevezis	30	11	19	37%	69.1	73.2	-4.0
10	Alytaus Dzukija	31	11	20	35%	68.2	75.5	-7.3
11	LSU Atletas	32	5	27	16%	72.1	85.7	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes	15	19	19	22	75
Rytas	16	14	13	25	68

← all games of the day

Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Rytas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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