Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 81-87

26-24 12-17 21-29 22-17

Position#4

Record19-14

FormWLLLW

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game81.6

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Rytas 🏆

Position#2

Record29-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.2

Allowed / game73.1

LKL

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

93-91

A14/02

LKL

Neptunas

97-89

A25/02

LKL

Juventus

76-65

+11

H02/03

Baltic League

Juventus

65-85

-20

A05/03

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

72-59

+13

H08/03

LKL

Mazeikiai

#11

82-77

A14/03

LKL

Rytas

76-84

-8

A22/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

83-92

-9

A24/03

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

56-74

-18

H28/03

LKL

Skycop

87-61

+26

H31/03

LKL

24-26

26-23

24-20

19-22

28-27

17-25

26-14

26-23

22-13

22-23

15-16

17-13

13-20

21-22

16-18

15-25

17-15

19-21

17-12

19-11

24-13

17-20

17-19

24-25

26-23

5-19

19-23

26-19

15-29

21-23

25-17

22-23

21-21

22-9

6-23

7-21

27-13

21-17

19-19

20-12

156.4Avg total

78.7Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	84.7	81.6	166.3	+3.1	58%
Season at home (17)	84.5	78.9	163.4	+5.5	59%
Season away (16)	85.0	84.4	169.4	+0.6	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	77.7	156.4	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	77.6	154.4	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	76.0	82.7	158.7	-6.7	17%
vs Similar (9)	82.6	78.1	160.7	+4.4	67%
vs Weaker (15)	89.9	76.0	165.9	+13.9	87%

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mazeikiai

#11

76-70

H28/02

LKL

Karsiyaka

81-81

H04/03

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

93-66

+27

H08/03

LKL

Karsiyaka

81-97

-16

A11/03

Eurocup

Neptunas

87-86

A15/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

119-76

119

+43

H18/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

84-76

H22/03

LKL

Skycop

99-71

+28

H25/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

118-76

118

+42

H28/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

101-79

101

+22

A31/03

LKL

18-17

25-13

15-23

18-17

30-21

19-19

18-27

14-14

27-17

25-8

25-20

16-21

13-20

21-33

25-27

22-17

22-19

18-24

20-20

27-23

37-13

29-27

21-15

32-21

23-26

19-5

23-19

19-26

21-19

29-17

26-17

23-18

31-16

25-15

37-18

25-27

25-21

32-16

24-22

20-20

171.7Avg total

93.9Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	90.2	73.1	163.2	+17.1	88%
Season at home (19)	91.7	75.9	167.6	+15.8	84%
Season away (14)	88.0	69.3	157.3	+18.7	93%
Last 10 (10)	93.9	77.8	171.7	+16.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	104.2	75.6	179.8	+28.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	85.0	78.5	163.5	+6.5	50%
vs Similar (5)	84.8	86.8	171.6	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	91.7	77.1	168.8	+14.6	83%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Pieno ZvaigzdesRytas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	22.2	42.8	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	18.8	42.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	24.8	19.4	44.2	+5.4	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	18.9	43.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	19.0	46.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	20.0	43.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.0	18.7	42.6	+5.3	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	17.2	39.1	+4.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.7	17.5	40.2	+5.2	74%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.7	41.9	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	16.0	42.8	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	14.5	36.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.3	70%	-

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skycop

50-49

A14/02

LKL

Neptunas

45-52

-7

A25/02

LKL

Juventus

44-36

H02/03

Baltic League

Juventus

34-42

-8

A05/03

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

36-36

H08/03

LKL

Mazeikiai

#11

41-33

A14/03

LKL

Rytas

31-42

-11

A22/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

36-52

-16

A24/03

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

43-30

+13

H28/03

LKL

Skycop

48-30

+18

H31/03

LKL

81.0Avg total

40.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.6	80.7	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	35.1	77.4	+7.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.9	43.2	85.1	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.4	77.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.5	43.2	81.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.5	36.8	80.3	+6.7	73%	-

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mazeikiai

#11

43-30

+13

H28/02

LKL

Karsiyaka

49-40

H04/03

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

52-25

+27

H08/03

LKL

Karsiyaka

34-53

-19

A11/03

Eurocup

Neptunas

40-43

-3

A15/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

66-40

+26

H18/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

42-31

+11

H22/03

LKL

Skycop

50-36

+14

H25/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

56-31

+25

H28/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

57-37

+20

A31/03

LKL

85.5Avg total

48.9Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	37.7	83.6	+8.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	47.5	36.9	84.4	+10.6	84%	-
Last 30 away (11)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	36.6	85.5	+12.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.2	35.0	89.2	+19.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	34.5	79.5	+10.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.2	43.2	86.4	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	46.5	36.8	83.3	+9.7	83%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.1	87%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.2	21.5	41.6	-1.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	18.2	44.4	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	21.5	45.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.7	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	16.7	35.2	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.1	41.8	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	22.5	38.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	37.9	79.0	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	35.6	75.3	+4.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	40.8	83.8	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	37.5	75.4	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.5	39.5	77.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.3	35.6	71.9	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.4	38.6	84.0	+6.8	87%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.7	84.6	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	45.9	40.0	85.9	+5.9	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.6	41.8	82.5	-1.2	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	41.2	86.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	40.6	90.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.6	43.6	85.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.8	39.7	84.6	+5.1	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Rytas wins

Date	Game	Score
22/03/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-76
15/11/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-87
30/09/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-87
15/04/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	75-68
25/01/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-73
30/03/13	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-85
02/03/12	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-67
12/11/11	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	75-85

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/15	H	Skycop	87-61
28/03/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	56-74
24/03/15	A	Nevezis	83-92
22/03/15	A	Rytas	76-84
14/03/15	A	Mazeikiai	82-77
08/03/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	72-59
05/03/15	A	Juventus	65-85
02/03/15	H	Juventus	76-65
25/02/15	A	Neptunas	97-89
14/02/15	A	Skycop	93-91

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/15	A	Lietkabelis	101-79
28/03/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	118-76
25/03/15	H	Skycop	99-71
22/03/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-76
18/03/15	H	Nevezis	119-76
15/03/15	A	Neptunas	87-86
11/03/15	A	Karsiyaka	81-97
08/03/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	93-66
04/03/15	H	Karsiyaka	81-81
28/02/15	H	Mazeikiai	76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	58%
Home	WWWLW	59%
Away	WWWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	58%	59%	56%
Points / game	84.7	84.5	85.0
Allowed / game	81.6	78.9	84.4
Point differential	+3.1	+5.5	+0.6
Avg total	166.3	163.4	169.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	53%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	9%	12%	6%

Rytas

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	84%
Away	LWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	19	14
Win %	88%	84%	93%
Points / game	90.2	91.7	88.0
Allowed / game	73.1	75.9	69.3
Point differential	+17.1	+15.8	+18.7
Avg total	163.2	167.6	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	53%	79%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	25% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rytas	33	29	4	88%	90.2	73.1	+17.1
2	Zalgiris Kaunas	33	29	4	88%	84.5	69.4	+15.1
3	Neptunas	34	28	6	82%	87.2	74.9	+12.3
4	Juventus	33	21	12	64%	75.6	73.4	+2.2
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	33	19	14	58%	84.7	81.6	+3.1
6	Alytaus Dzukija	33	18	15	55%	75.4	74.8	+0.6
7	Siauliai	32	15	17	47%	82.9	79.4	+3.5
8	Lietkabelis	34	10	24	29%	77.8	84.1	-6.3
9	Nevezis	34	6	28	18%	72.3	91.1	-18.8
10	Skycop	35	6	29	17%	69.7	83.7	-14.0
11	Mazeikiai	34	3	31	9%	68.6	81.6	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes	26	12	21	22	81
Rytas	24	17	29	17	87

← all games of the day

Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Rytas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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