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Pistoia vs Stella Azzurra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-76
27-29 28-15 17-19 22-13
Position#17
Record9-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game75.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#27
Record4-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game80.4
ItalySerie A2Round 25
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stella Azzurra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A27/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A28/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
21-20
24-15
21-22
23-28
18-16
12-21
15-16
15-21
14-17
13-22
22-19
20-15
14-28
17-20
16-23
10-20
10-16
17-12
14-17
22-19
19-17
25-28
25-14
16-7
17-13
16-13
19-17
21-20
11-15
7-24
22-17
15-17
18-29
14-24
25-11
17-22
18-23
18-11
27-26
147.8Avg total
70.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.675.8148.4-3.241%
Season at home (11)71.373.2144.5-1.955%
Season away (11)73.978.4152.3-4.527%
Last 10 (10)70.877.0147.8-6.220%
Last 5 (5)74.473.4147.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.481.5150.8-12.115%
vs Similar (14)76.477.6154.1-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)69.365.3134.7+4.067%
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A31/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H03/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H28/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H23/03
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H28/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H31/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A03/04
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A07/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
14-35
24-25
18-11
16-13
23-17
21-17
26-23
19-23
19-29
17-17
19-18
19-23
11-24
16-14
11-22
13-20
22-19
14-13
23-16
17-20
10-26
16-19
28-21
21-14
8-21
15-18
27-12
27-25
14-18
28-23
15-23
17-24
18-24
11-14
24-23
22-15
18-22
12-18
21-29
152.5Avg total
72.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.680.4151.0-9.818%
Season at home (12)74.380.2154.5-5.833%
Season away (10)66.180.7146.8-14.60%
Last 10 (10)72.380.2152.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.184.3155.4-13.17%
vs Similar (7)69.472.1141.6-2.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
PistoiaStella Azzurra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A27/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
33.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.939.474.3-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.637.171.7-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)35.341.676.9-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.873.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.471.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.241.874.0-9.78%-
vs Similar (14)37.739.677.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.027.361.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#3
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A31/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H28/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H23/03
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H31/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/04
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/04
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
33.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)34.043.677.5-9.614%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.743.579.2-7.817%-
Last 30 away (10)31.943.775.6-11.810%-
Last 10 (10)33.742.676.3-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.876.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.446.380.7-11.97%-
vs Similar (7)33.037.970.9-4.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stella Azzurratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
0
Stella Azzurra wins
DateGameScore
10/01/21Stella Azzurra v Pistoia72-80
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21AFerrara80-82
17/03/21AForli72-81
14/03/21HRavenna61-76
03/03/21HSan Severo68-50
28/02/21ABaltur Cento91-78
24/02/21HBasket Napoli51-65
21/02/21HScafati67-86
10/02/21ABasket Napoli64-79
31/01/21HNPC Rieti68-81
27/01/21AEurobasket Roma86-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/21ANPC Rieti73-84
03/04/21ARavenna70-85
31/03/21HBaltur Cento84-89
28/03/21HSan Severo71-65
23/03/21HForli71-86
14/03/21HLatina72-68
03/03/21ABaltur Cento57-83
28/02/21HEurobasket Roma74-87
03/02/21HFerrara86-70
31/01/21AScafati65-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game72.671.373.9
Allowed / game75.873.278.4
Point differential-3.2-1.9-4.5
Avg total148.4144.5152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Stella Azzurra
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game70.674.366.1
Allowed / game80.480.280.7
Point differential-9.8-5.8-14.6
Avg total151.0154.5146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forli2319483%79.471.9+7.6
2 Basket Napoli2318578%78.767.8+11.0
3 Scafati2418675%81.774.0+7.7
4 Basket Torino2317674%82.570.8+11.7
5 Tortona2517868%77.669.2+8.4
6 Eurobasket Roma24141058%78.976.3+2.6
7 Udine24141058%77.978.1-0.2
8 Verona25141156%80.878.2+2.6
9 Ferrara2011955%76.077.5-1.5
10 Urania Milano25131252%75.276.8-1.6
11 Trapani25131252%77.079.8-2.8
12 Assigeco Piacenza26131350%82.182.4-0.3
13 Baltur Cento22111150%72.773.9-1.2
14 Chieti Basket20101050%75.376.7-1.4
15 Treviglio26131350%82.083.5-1.5
16 Ravenna23111248%75.974.5+1.4
17 Mantova25111444%74.376.4-2.2
18 Monferrato25111444%74.080.3-6.3
19 Orzinuovi23101343%83.783.1+0.5
20 Capo d'Orlando26111542%83.087.6-4.7
21 Pistoia2291341%72.675.8-3.2
22 NPC Rieti2281436%75.077.8-2.8
23 Biella2691735%82.484.9-2.5
24 Bergamo2481633%76.676.5+0.2
25 Latina2271532%70.073.5-3.5
26 San Severo2141719%65.074.4-9.5
27 Stella Azzurra2241818%70.680.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2728172294
Stella Azzurra2915191376
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