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Platense vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López
Other2026-27
Meetings · Platense v Boca Juniors
28 Dec 2026
PLAT v BOCA
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
PLAT87
BOCA97
14 May 2025
PLAT84
BOCA93
23 Mar 2024
PLAT82
BOCA69
10 Jan 2023
PLAT78
BOCA67
18 Apr 2022
PLAT67
BOCA88
30 Sep 2021
PLAT46
BOCA68
07 Nov 2020
PLAT85
BOCA82
29 Jan 2020
PLAT57
BOCA48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Platense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlatenseArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlatense
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 72
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 72
H17/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 72
A02/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
58avg 72
A04/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
77avg 72
H06/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H16/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
81-86
81
86
-5
67avg 72
A21/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 72
A28/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
58-68
58
68
-10
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
19-21
22-13
24-26
15-14
22-18
17-27
23-20
18-8
21-26
12-16
31-24
14-22
14-25
13-31
26-16
19-28
19-29
22-20
26-13
21-17
20-24
24-25
21-14
20-30
17-20
14-19
30-17
16-18
28-18
22-16
14-6
17-19
24-29
15-16
19-15
17-17
19-18
12-12
10-21
158.2Avg total
77.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.978.6155.5-1.838%
Season at home (3)82.383.0165.3-0.733%
Season away (5)73.676.0149.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)77.980.3158.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)76.074.2150.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.286.5164.7-8.215%
vs Similar (15)82.183.3165.5-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.550%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 78
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 78
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 78
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 78
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 78
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 78
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 78
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 78
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
PlatenseBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlatenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H17/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A02/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A04/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H06/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H16/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A21/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A28/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/11
Liga A
81.8Avg total
38.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.882.9-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.545.985.4-6.523%-
Last 30 away (17)36.944.080.9-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.681.8-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.546.283.7-8.623%-
vs Similar (15)37.743.781.5-6.020%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Platensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Platense: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.5
52.4%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.7%14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Platense
LLWLWLLWLL
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
#11
League position
#6
-0.4
Net rating
-1.3
113.1
Offensive rating
115.8
113.6
Defensive rating
117.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
34.5%
50.0%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 115.8Defence113.6 · 117.2Shooting52.1% · 54.3%3-point %34.5% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Platense   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Platense wins
8
Boca Juniors wins
Platenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AGimnasia58-68
11/11/26HPenarol75-79
28/10/26ASan Lorenzo80-58
21/10/26AFerro81-86
16/10/26HObera TC86-80
06/10/26HLa Union86-90
04/10/26AQuimsa67-94
02/10/26AOlimpico82-74
17/04/26HSan Martin77-79
15/04/26HRegatas87-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Platense
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game76.982.373.6
Allowed / game78.683.076.0
Point differential-1.8-0.7-2.4
Avg total155.5165.3149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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