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Plunges Olimpas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 91-88
Projected total 178.2
Final 101-78
20-20 29-19 23-22 29-17
Position#10
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.9
Plunges Olimpas 🏆
Lithuania
Vs
61%
39%
■ PLUN 61%■ ZALG 39%
Pythia win probability
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record5-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game96.5
LithuaniaNKLRound 12· Plunges Sporto Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plunges Olimpas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
07 Nov 2026
PLUN101
ZALG78
11 Dec 2025
PLUN83
ZALG86
23 Nov 2024
PLUN70
ZALG86
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Plunges Olimpas will host Zalgiris Kaunas 2 on 7 November 2026 in the NKL, with the Pythia model naming Plunges Olimpas as the favourite and predicting a 61% chance of a home win. Plunges Olimpas have gone 6-5 this season, scoring 80.9 points per game and allowing 78.9, while Zalgiris Kaunas 2 are 5-6, averaging 95.6 points and conceding 96.5. At home Plunges Olimpas are 3-1, averaging 90.8 points and 78.5 allowed, and have won 3 of their last 5 games, with a recent loss to Alytaus Patriotai 76-87 away, a win over Vilkaviskis 91-73 at home, and a loss to Neptunas 2 57-59 away. Zalgiris Kaunas 2 on the road are 2-3, averaging 97.6 points and 98.4 allowed, and have won 2 of their last 5, with a recent win over Rytas 2 95-90 at home, a loss to BC Olimpas Palanga 100-112 away, and a loss to Omega-Tauras 82-93 at home. In previous encounters the teams have met four times, all won by Zalgiris Kaunas 2, most recently 86-83 on 11 December 2025. Pythia projects a final score of 91-88 for Plunges Olimpas, a total of 178.2 points, and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plunges Olimpas winWon
60.7%fair 1.65
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
39.3%fair 2.55
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Plunges OlimpasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
64avg 75
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
98-85
98
85
+13
96avg 75
H08/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
77avg 75
A10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
62avg 75
A15/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
89-64
89
64
+25
89avg 75
H17/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
79avg 75
A22/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
75-62
75
62
+13
49avg 75
A24/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
57-59
57
59
-2
49avg 75
A29/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
91-73
91
73
+18
92avg 75
H31/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
29-14
10-24
13-27
22-20
21-19
27-28
28-18
23-16
26-18
21-21
23-27
17-25
16-25
21-26
22-26
29-22
15-14
24-11
21-17
22-21
17-16
24-10
17-25
16-12
19-15
18-15
22-20
17-13
19-19
11-10
10-17
21-20
22-23
21-15
27-15
12-17
18-23
24-27
22-20
158.1Avg total
80.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.978.9159.8+2.055%
Season at home (4)90.878.5169.2+12.275%
Season away (7)75.379.1154.4-3.943%
Last 10 (10)80.577.6158.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)75.870.6146.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.591.6171.2-12.118%
vs Similar (12)84.681.8166.4+2.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.474.6162.0+12.986%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 80
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 80
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 80
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 80
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 80
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 80
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 80
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 80
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 80
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H05/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
30-17
18-29
23-22
24-22
192.2Avg total
94.4Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.696.5192.1-0.845%
Season at home (6)94.094.8188.8-0.850%
Season away (5)97.698.4196.0-0.840%
Last 10 (10)94.497.8192.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)91.494.6186.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.197.6184.7-10.414%
vs Similar (13)87.583.4170.9+4.254%
vs Weaker (10)94.088.5182.5+5.570%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5
Over 162.5
82.3%
Under 162.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Over 167.5
Over 167.5
73.3%
Under 167.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5
Over 172.5
62.4%
Under 172.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Plunges Olimpas total 80.5Actual: Plunges Olimpas over 80.5
Over 80.5
83.6%
Under 80.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plunges Olimpas total 84.5Actual: Plunges Olimpas over 84.5
Over 84.5
72.2%
Under 84.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plunges Olimpas total 88.5Actual: Plunges Olimpas over 88.5
Over 88.5
57.9%
Under 88.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 79Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 under 79
Over 79
80.0%
Under 79
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 83Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 under 83
Over 83
67.0%
Under 83
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 87Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 under 87
Over 87
51.5%
Under 87
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Plunges Olimpas -3Actual: Plunges Olimpas -3
PLUN -3
51.9%
ZALG +3
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
PLUN
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread Plunges Olimpas 0Actual: Plunges Olimpas 0
PLUN 0
60.7%
ZALG 0
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
PLUN
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.
Spread Plunges Olimpas +3Actual: Plunges Olimpas +3
PLUN +3
69.4%
ZALG -3
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
PLUN
No market prices yet.
ZALG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
Plunges OlimpasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Plunges OlimpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A15/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H17/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A22/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A24/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H31/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A05/11
NKL
77.6Avg total
39.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.582.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.841.683.4+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.181.0+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.777.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.872.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.445.384.6-5.918%-
vs Similar (12)43.838.282.0+5.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.437.079.4+5.486%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/11
NKL
96.8Avg total
46.4Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.689.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.646.592.1-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)46.450.496.8-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.492.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.949.992.7-7.014%-
vs Similar (13)44.344.288.5+0.246%-
vs Weaker (10)45.444.489.8+1.060%-
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plunges Olimpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plunges Olimpas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.4
53.2%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.2
32.6%
31.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
67.1%14.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plunges Olimpas
LWLWWWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLWLLWLLW
#10
League position
#12
+1.7
Net rating
-2.9
90.5
Offensive rating
98.6
88.7
Defensive rating
101.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.6%
3-point %
33.8%
62.9%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 98.6Defence88.7 · 101.5Shooting51.9% · 53.3%3-point %32.6% · 33.8%Ball care18.9% · 15.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Plunges Olimpas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plunges Olimpas wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Plunges Olimpas v Zalgiris Kaunas 283-86
09/10/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Plunges Olimpas86-70
23/11/24Plunges Olimpas v Zalgiris Kaunas 270-86
21/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Plunges Olimpas89-82
Plunges Olimpaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AAlytaus Patriotai76-87
31/10/26HVilkaviskis91-73
29/10/26ANeptunas 257-59
24/10/26AKedainiai BC75-62
22/10/26AMazeikiai80-72
17/10/26HRytas 289-64
15/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga76-102
10/10/26AOmega-Tauras93-82
08/10/26HKretinga98-85
03/10/26ATelsiai70-90
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HRytas 295-90
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plunges Olimpas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game80.990.875.3
Allowed / game78.978.579.1
Point differential+2.0+12.2-3.9
Avg total159.8169.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%75%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game95.694.097.6
Allowed / game96.594.898.4
Point differential-0.8-0.8-0.8
Avg total192.1188.8196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1211192%90.574.2+16.3
2 Jurbarkas1110191%90.277.6+12.5
3 BC Olimpas Palanga119282%93.681.1+12.5
4 Suduva-Mantinga107370%92.979.4+13.5
5 Silute107370%82.280.5+1.7
6 Vytis VDU96367%96.289.6+6.7
7 Neptunas 2117464%77.775.1+2.6
8 Omega-Tauras116555%86.983.7+3.2
9 Plunges Olimpas116555%80.978.9+2.0
10 Alytaus Patriotai116555%86.287.1-0.9
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2115645%95.696.5-0.8
12 Vilkaviskis115645%82.885.7-2.9
13 Kedainiai BC114736%75.883.5-7.6
14 Ukmerges Stekas113827%79.591.0-11.5
15 Kretinga112918%80.389.2-8.9
16 Mazeikiai112918%76.587.8-11.3
17 Kauno Atletas101910%77.693.6-16.0
18 Rytas 2110110%76.588.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Plunges Olimpas20292329101
Zalgiris Kaunas 22019221778
← all games of the day
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