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Podgorica vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-99 (OT)
15-25 23-23 30-18 18-20 7-13
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 8· Bemax Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Podgorica v Helios Domzale
03 Mar 2026
PODG93
HDO99
04 Feb 2025
PODG59
HDO83
09 Mar 2023
PODG79
HDO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
63avg 73
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
55avg 73
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
69avg 73
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
54-67
54
67
-13
42avg 73
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 73
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
86-64
86
64
+22
91avg 73
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
81avg 73
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 73
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-26
13-13
19-25
15-16
20-15
14-15
14-23
23-21
13-29
29-15
27-25
20-17
13-8
25-22
18-20
20-12
22-18
12-21
15-18
11-15
9-19
13-20
21-13
23-24
26-17
19-18
23-13
38-16
21-14
6-17
21-17
17-17
18-24
22-13
24-13
17-21
25-16
16-19
28-23
150.8Avg total
77.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.980.6150.4-10.714%
Season at home (3)76.079.3155.3-3.333%
Season away (4)65.281.5146.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)77.373.5150.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)79.669.8149.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.787.2158.9-15.50%
vs Similar (8)75.175.2150.4-0.138%
vs Weaker (12)83.875.4159.2+8.475%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 75
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
63avg 75
H13/01
ABA League 2
Sencur
#4
W
101-88
101
88
+13
no box
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
72avg 75
H27/01
ABA League 2
Rogaska
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
A07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 75
A10/02
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H16/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 75
A19/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
18-27
16-30
22-17
11-15
12-21
20-10
29-23
20-21
26-25
29-24
26-18
27-20
22-27
20-21
22-19
20-26
21-31
17-25
22-20
21-13
24-22
25-30
11-17
18-17
28-20
23-19
19-17
19-24
19-27
18-15
20-19
14-17
23-24
20-21
27-18
14-23
24-28
17-25
20-22
168.9Avg total
83.1Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.378.0159.3+3.371%
Season at home (4)80.076.8156.8+3.275%
Season away (3)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)83.185.8168.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.685.1166.7-3.542%
vs Similar (7)81.379.1160.4+2.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.480.3168.6+8.173%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
PodgoricaHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A15/02
Prva A Liga
74.8Avg total
38.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.676.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.040.077.0-3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)38.137.575.5+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.344.979.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (8)37.836.974.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (12)40.234.474.7+5.867%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#14
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H13/01
ABA League 2
Sencur
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H27/01
ABA League 2
Rogaska
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A10/02
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/02
Slovenian Cup
85.6Avg total
40.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.484.8-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.980.5+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)43.145.989.1-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.885.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.445.385.8-4.917%-
vs Similar (7)41.039.080.0+2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.341.586.7+3.855%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
55.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.1
24.8%
33.1%15.3
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
72.6%13.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
33.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.819.5
81.9%
72.6%19.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WWWWLLWWLL
Helios Domzale
LWLWLLWWWL
#15
League position
#3
-10.3
Net rating
-1.6
95.3
Offensive rating
103.0
105.6
Defensive rating
104.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
24.8%
3-point %
31.8%
63.0%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 103.0Defence105.6 · 104.6Shooting48.7% · 52.0%3-point %24.8% · 31.8%Ball care11.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.5% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Podgorica   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Podgorica wins
3
Helios Domzale wins
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AVukovi Zeta86-79
11/02/26HIbar Rozaje81-67
07/02/26AUlcinj86-64
31/01/26HDanilovgrad91-72
28/01/26AMZT Skopje54-67
22/01/26HSutjeska77-79 OT
18/01/26AKotor76-67
16/01/26HRadnicki92-90
10/01/26HLovcen Cetinje63-69
05/01/26HMornar Bar67-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ACedevita Olimpija75-98
16/02/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-80
10/02/26AZlatorog Lasko76-85
07/02/26APolzela88-73
02/02/26HRogaska81-82
27/01/26HSiroki Brijeg80-102
23/01/26ATajfun Sentjur91-87
17/01/26HSencur101-88
13/01/26HMornar Bar72-69
07/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game69.976.065.2
Allowed / game80.679.381.5
Point differential-10.7-3.3-16.2
Avg total150.4155.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.380.083.0
Allowed / game78.076.879.7
Point differential+3.3+3.2+3.3
Avg total159.3156.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg76186%92.677.1+15.4
2 Sutjeska76186%90.776.3+14.4
3 Zlatibor75271%91.483.6+7.9
4 TFT Skopje75271%85.378.6+6.7
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad75271%81.677.3+4.3
6 Helios Domzale75271%81.378.0+3.3
7 Sloboda74357%86.675.4+11.1
8 Jahorina74357%89.687.6+2.0
9 MZT Skopje74357%78.177.0+1.1
10 Borac Banja Luka74357%73.376.1-2.9
11 Vrsac72529%79.789.0-9.3
12 Mornar Bar72529%73.683.1-9.6
13 Student Igokea72529%77.788.4-10.7
14 Podgorica71614%69.980.6-10.7
15 Primorje71614%74.185.0-10.9
16 Radnicki7070%81.994.1-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Podgorica15233018793
Helios Domzale252318201399
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