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Helios Domzale vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-75
21-22 19-23 19-18 17-12
Position#9
Record5-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeABA League 2Round 13· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Podgorica
02 Apr 2025
HDO92
PODG89
23 Mar 2024
HDO76
PODG75
11 Oct 2021
HDO90
PODG95
03 Mar 2021
HDO85
PODG87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
88-68
88
68
+20
75avg 74
H30/01
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 74
A02/02
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
81avg 74
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
no box
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 74
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 74
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
53-74
53
74
-21
37avg 74
H18/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A20/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
29-16
23-13
19-12
26-24
11-20
26-20
18-19
21-11
11-18
27-21
29-21
22-16
17-23
21-25
29-25
17-21
23-30
19-17
22-27
24-22
22-15
30-24
28-28
16-23
19-13
24-19
22-12
30-26
22-16
15-18
16-17
6-18
19-19
13-20
15-17
–
–
–
–
150.8Avg total
78.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.871.5142.2-0.842%
Season at home (5)73.479.2152.6-5.820%
Season away (7)68.966.0134.9+2.957%
Last 10 (10)78.472.4150.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)68.261.4129.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.289.3174.5-4.250%
vs Similar ◀ (7)64.364.3128.6+0.043%
vs Weaker (17)83.274.1157.4+9.176%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
95-52
95
52
+43
no box
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 70
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 70
H21/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
29-15
25-24
27-15
20-16
27-9
22-10
26-17
19-18
30-15
15-21
30-38
20-23
19-28
16-29
20-14
26-23
23-20
33-33
18-15
12-24
20-18
22-15
17-15
22-15
21-25
27-15
22-12
22-24
25-17
16-32
19-14
21-26
22-17
20-16
22-20
19-21
17-20
22-25
28-15
168.1Avg total
88.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.277.9157.2+1.367%
Season at home (7)83.779.7163.4+4.071%
Season away (5)73.075.4148.4-2.460%
Last 10 (10)88.279.9168.1+8.370%
Last 5 (5)83.277.2160.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.5155.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.579.8157.2-2.250%
vs Weaker (21)87.975.0162.8+12.976%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.4+5.4
Helios DomzalePodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/01
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/02
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H18/03
ABA League 2
78.9Avg total
39.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.138.676.6-0.541%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.579.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (14)35.637.573.1-1.936%-
Last 10 (9)39.139.878.9-0.744%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.340.576.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker (17)37.836.474.2+1.447%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H21/03
ABA League 2
83.9Avg total
43.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.8+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.137.882.9+7.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.482.7-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.483.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.481.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.543.585.0-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.240.576.8-4.225%-
vs Weaker (21)44.738.983.6+5.962%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
31.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.715.5
82.9%
73.7%15.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.1
54.7%
53.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.8
29.4%
31.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
73.7%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WLWWWLWWLW
Podgorica
WWLWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#5
+9.8
Net rating
+3.5
109.9
Offensive rating
106.9
100.0
Defensive rating
103.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
29.4%
70.7%
Assist %
54.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 106.9Defence100.0 · 103.4Shooting52.5% · 50.9%3-point %32.4% · 29.4%Ball care16.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Helios Domzale wins
3
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Podgorica v Helios Domzale79-70
11/10/21Helios Domzale v Podgorica90-95
03/03/21Helios Domzale v Podgorica85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ABorac Banja Luka20-0
18/03/24HSutjeska53-74
15/03/24HPolzela83-77
09/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-67
02/03/24HTajfun Sentjur104-89
15/02/24HCedevita Olimpija81-95
12/02/24AKK Krka Novo mesto105-100 OT
04/02/24AGKK Sibenka88-71
02/02/24APelister81-83
30/01/24HCedevita Junior88-68
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HPelister86-81
19/03/24ACedevita Junior85-79
14/03/24ASutjeska82-87
09/03/24HJedinstvo92-67
06/03/24ALovcen Cetinje71-72
01/03/24HPrimorje100-91
14/02/24ABuducnost75-94
13/02/24HMornar Bar94-92
11/02/24HKotor95-52
08/02/24HDanilovgrad102-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%20%57%
Points / game70.873.468.9
Allowed / game71.579.266.0
Point differential-0.8-5.8+2.9
Avg total142.2152.6134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game79.283.773.0
Allowed / game77.979.775.4
Point differential+1.3+4.0-2.4
Avg total157.2163.4148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica1311285%86.176.5+9.6
2 Zlatibor1210283%89.878.6+11.2
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1613381%81.472.6+8.8
4 MZT Skopje128467%84.177.9+6.2
5 Siroki Brijeg128467%77.575.1+2.4
6 Podgorica128467%79.277.9+1.3
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka136746%66.667.2-0.5
9 Sutjeska136746%76.978.2-1.3
10 Helios Domzale125742%70.871.5-0.8
11 Pelister135838%77.280.2-3.0
12 Cedevita Junior124833%75.881.5-5.8
13 Sencur123925%73.679.9-6.3
14 TFT Skopje1221017%69.780.3-10.7
15 GKK Sibenka121118%73.484.2-10.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2119191776
Podgorica2223181275
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