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Podgorica vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-79
23-12 24-20 14-25 11-22
Position#7
Record15-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Tivat 🏆
Montenegro
Position#3
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.2
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 23· Bemax Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Podgorica v Tivat
07 Mar 2026
PODG82
TIVA73
30 Apr 2025
PODG87
TIVA75
07 Apr 2025
PODG72
TIVA79
27 Mar 2024
PODG81
TIVA69
14 Jan 2023
PODG93
TIVA73
22 Jan 2022
PODG65
TIVA55
14 Apr 2021
PODG87
TIVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
115-69
115
69
+46
111avg 79
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 79
A12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 79
A28/02
Prva A Liga
KK Bosna
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 79
A05/03
ABA League 2
KK Bosna
#1
W
91-78
91
78
+13
91avg 79
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 79
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 79
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
101avg 79
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
117-63
117
63
+54
122avg 79
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
84avg 79
A02/04
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
27-16
31-19
24-18
22-16
17-28
21-16
21-22
15-23
21-18
24-24
18-18
20-21
9-16
20-17
20-17
26-18
23-19
20-21
22-20
22-16
15-20
16-17
19-24
23-24
20-24
16-22
23-20
20-15
25-14
28-18
26-24
28-18
23-19
29-12
37-14
20-22
21-18
12-23
27-17
166.9Avg total
89.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.272.2159.4+15.075%
Season at home (9)90.373.6163.9+16.889%
Season away (11)84.671.0155.6+13.664%
Last 10 (10)89.377.6166.9+11.740%
Last 5 (5)91.878.6170.4+13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.180.0159.1-0.942%
vs Weaker (15)85.566.1151.5+19.487%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
89-74
89
74
+15
92avg 77
A01/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 77
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
100avg 77
H12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
L
56-104
56
104
-48
102avg 77
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
70avg 77
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 77
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
121avg 77
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
109-72
109
72
+37
113avg 77
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 77
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-13
19-14
23-27
13-21
24-16
15-24
22-14
28-22
21-24
22-18
24-21
19-28
15-31
15-22
7-23
28-15
13-20
15-18
17-9
18-26
22-23
12-30
23-16
24-28
28-21
25-19
21-20
30-24
28-22
29-17
28-21
26-14
26-24
31-5
26-29
26-26
16-27
15-11
26-13
168.3Avg total
86.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.075.2163.2+12.881%
Season at home (11)88.574.0162.5+14.582%
Season away (10)87.576.5164.0+11.080%
Last 10 (10)86.781.6168.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)96.083.2179.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.978.6144.4-12.722%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.581.5161.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (12)93.071.3164.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
PodgoricaTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/02
Prva A Liga
KK Bosna
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A05/03
ABA League 2
KK Bosna
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/04
ABA League 2
81.1Avg total
43.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.237.078.2+4.262%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.535.577.9+7.062%-
Last 30 away (16)40.238.278.5+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.181.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.081.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.737.875.4-0.158%-
vs Weaker (14)45.235.480.6+9.879%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A01/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H29/03
Prva A Liga
89.7Avg total
45.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.281.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.982.0+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.681.3+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.589.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.847.095.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.342.475.8-9.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.942.983.8-2.038%-
vs Weaker (12)47.236.383.6+10.983%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.8
53.4%
58.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.8
30.1%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
69.7%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 61.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.713.0
43.8%
58.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.86.5
22.5%
31.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.7
65.3%
69.7%15.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
LWWLLWLLLW
Tivat
WWWWLWLWLW
#7
League position
#3
-3.3
Net rating
-16.7
101.0
Offensive rating
85.0
104.3
Defensive rating
101.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
38.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.1%
3-point %
22.5%
49.7%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 85.0Defence104.3 · 101.6Shooting50.8% · 38.9%3-point %30.1% · 22.5%Ball care18.9% · 17.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Podgorica   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Podgorica wins
4
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Tivat v Podgorica84-87
27/03/24Podgorica v Tivat81-69
28/12/23Tivat v Podgorica78-73
14/01/23Podgorica v Tivat93-73
08/10/22Tivat v Podgorica76-71
22/01/22Podgorica v Tivat65-55
24/10/21Tivat v Podgorica77-73
14/04/21Podgorica v Tivat87-79
19/12/20Tivat v Podgorica87-59
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25AHelios Domzale89-92 OT
28/03/25ASusanj117-63
23/03/25HIbar Rozaje99-71
20/03/25AZlatibor82-90
17/03/25AJedinstvo72-77
13/03/25HKK Bosna91-78
05/03/25AKK Bosna69-71
28/02/25ASutjeska78-83
12/02/25AMornar Bar81-82
08/02/25HDanilovgrad115-69
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HVukovi Zeta83-77
22/03/25HSusanj109-72
15/03/25AIbar Rozaje115-84
09/03/25HJedinstvo98-88
26/02/25AStudentski Centar75-95
20/02/25HStudentski Centar73-62
13/02/25AStudentski Centar56-104
12/02/25HJedinstvo95-85
08/02/25HSutjeska74-75
01/02/25ADanilovgrad89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %75%89%64%
Points / game87.290.384.6
Allowed / game72.273.671.0
Point differential+15.1+16.8+13.6
Avg total159.3163.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game88.088.587.5
Allowed / game75.274.076.5
Point differential+12.8+14.5+11.0
Avg total163.2162.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2118386%91.272.6+18.6
2 Studentski Centar2117481%86.873.7+13.1
3 Tivat2117481%88.075.2+12.8
4 Primorje2116576%91.878.7+13.0
5 Podgorica2015575%87.272.2+15.1
6 Jedinstvo2214864%82.375.3+7.0
7 Decic22111150%89.691.2-1.6
8 Kotor2281436%76.576.2+0.3
9 Danilovgrad2271532%69.584.0-14.5
10 Lovcen Cetinje2261627%69.780.2-10.5
11 Ibar Rozaje2151624%74.283.5-9.3
12 Vukovi Zeta2251723%75.784.4-8.6
13 Susanj2131814%77.8102.4-24.6
14 Milenijum81712%75.998.6-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica2324141172
Tivat1220252279
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