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Podgorica vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-75
22-17 22-16 22-22 21-20
Position#7
Record16-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game73.6
Podgorica 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Tivat
Montenegro
Position#3
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game75.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaPrva A Liga - Quarter-finals· Bemax Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Podgorica v Tivat
07 Mar 2026
PODG82
TIVA73
30 Apr 2025
PODG87
TIVA75
07 Apr 2025
PODG72
TIVA79
27 Mar 2024
PODG81
TIVA69
14 Jan 2023
PODG93
TIVA73
22 Jan 2022
PODG65
TIVA55
14 Apr 2021
PODG87
TIVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#1
W
91-78
91
78
+13
91avg 75
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 75
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 75
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
101avg 75
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
117-63
117
63
+54
122avg 75
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
84avg 75
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 75
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
60avg 75
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
54avg 75
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 75
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-19
20-21
22-20
22-16
15-20
16-17
19-24
23-24
20-24
16-22
23-20
20-15
25-14
28-18
26-24
28-18
23-19
29-12
37-14
20-22
21-18
12-23
27-17
23-12
24-20
14-25
11-22
20-17
23-23
23-27
16-21
23-14
17-20
16-17
10-21
18-19
22-20
17-21
29-25
165.1Avg total
85.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.473.6159.0+11.867%
Season at home (12)86.474.8161.2+11.675%
Season away (12)84.472.4156.8+12.058%
Last 10 (10)85.679.5165.1+6.140%
Last 5 (5)79.083.2162.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.978.6154.5-2.725%
vs Weaker (15)84.968.6153.5+16.380%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
L
56-104
56
104
-48
102avg 78
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
70avg 78
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 78
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
121avg 78
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
109-72
109
72
+37
113avg 78
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 78
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 78
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
86-68
86
68
+18
88avg 78
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
15-31
15-22
7-23
28-15
13-20
15-18
17-9
18-26
22-23
12-30
23-16
24-28
28-21
25-19
21-20
30-24
28-22
29-17
28-21
26-14
26-24
31-5
26-29
26-26
16-27
15-11
26-13
12-23
20-24
25-14
22-11
20-20
22-19
27-23
25-19
27-17
22-13
19-17
18-21
167.1Avg total
86.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.875.0162.8+12.883%
Season at home (12)88.273.5161.8+14.883%
Season away (12)87.376.5163.8+10.883%
Last 10 (10)86.880.3167.1+6.580%
Last 5 (5)90.274.0164.2+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.979.9147.8-12.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.979.6160.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (13)93.974.0167.9+19.9100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
PodgoricaTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/04
Prva A Liga
80.8Avg total
43.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.636.778.3+4.969%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.934.477.3+8.679%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.979.2+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.280.8+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.079.2+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.536.575.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (14)45.235.981.1+9.486%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H25/04
Prva A Liga
88.7Avg total
44.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.983.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.584.2+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.382.6-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.588.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.484.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.543.477.9-8.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.843.884.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker (13)48.037.285.2+10.885%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.8
53.4%
58.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.8
30.1%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
69.7%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 61.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.713.0
43.8%
58.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.86.5
22.5%
31.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.7
65.3%
69.7%15.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WLLLLWWLLW
Tivat
WWWWWWWLWL
#7
League position
#3
-3.3
Net rating
-16.7
101.0
Offensive rating
85.0
104.3
Defensive rating
101.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
38.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.1%
3-point %
22.5%
49.7%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 85.0Defence104.3 · 101.6Shooting50.8% · 38.9%3-point %30.1% · 22.5%Ball care18.9% · 17.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Podgorica   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Podgorica wins
5
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
07/04/25Podgorica v Tivat72-79
11/12/24Tivat v Podgorica84-87
27/03/24Podgorica v Tivat81-69
28/12/23Tivat v Podgorica78-73
14/01/23Podgorica v Tivat93-73
08/10/22Tivat v Podgorica76-71
22/01/22Podgorica v Tivat65-55
24/10/21Tivat v Podgorica77-73
14/04/21Podgorica v Tivat87-79
19/12/20Tivat v Podgorica87-59
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HDecic86-85
21/04/25HStudentski Centar66-72
12/04/25AVukovi Zeta82-88
07/04/25HTivat72-79
02/04/25AHelios Domzale89-92 OT
28/03/25ASusanj117-63
23/03/25HIbar Rozaje99-71
20/03/25AZlatibor82-90
17/03/25AJedinstvo72-77
13/03/25HKK Bosna91-78
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HKotor86-68
19/04/25ADecic94-81
07/04/25APodgorica79-72
29/03/25HVukovi Zeta83-77
22/03/25HSusanj109-72
15/03/25AIbar Rozaje115-84
09/03/25HJedinstvo98-88
26/02/25AStudentski Centar75-95
20/02/25HStudentski Centar73-62
13/02/25AStudentski Centar56-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game85.486.484.4
Allowed / game73.674.872.4
Point differential+11.8+11.6+12.0
Avg total159.0161.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game87.888.287.3
Allowed / game75.073.576.5
Point differential+12.8+14.8+10.8
Avg total162.8161.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2521484%92.373.8+18.5
2 Studentski Centar2521484%86.474.0+12.4
3 Tivat2420483%87.875.0+12.8
4 Primorje2517868%92.081.3+10.8
5 Jedinstvo2517868%82.274.5+7.7
6 Podgorica2416867%85.473.6+11.8
7 Decic25121348%89.891.3-1.6
8 Kotor2591636%77.277.8-0.5
9 Lovcen Cetinje2581732%70.079.3-9.4
10 Danilovgrad2571828%69.485.1-15.7
11 Ibar Rozaje2461825%74.682.8-8.2
12 Vukovi Zeta2461825%76.285.1-8.9
13 Milenijum81712%75.998.6-22.8
14 Susanj2432112%79.2102.2-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica2222222187
Tivat1716222075
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