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Zlatibor vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-82
24-23 24-20 22-16 20-23
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game61.1
EuropeABA League 2Round 5· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2024
Meetings · Zlatibor v Podgorica
20 Mar 2025
ZLA90
PODG82
16 Apr 2024
ZLA93
PODG100
31 Jan 2024
ZLA90
PODG68
20 Oct 2022
ZLA91
PODG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Sloga
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 79
A26/01
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 79
H31/01
First League
KK Bosna
#1
W
94-89
94
89
+5
86avg 79
H04/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 79
A08/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
W
107-74
107
74
+33
110avg 79
H22/02
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 79
A01/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 79
A05/03
ABA League 2
Joker
#6
L
94-103
94
103
-9
87avg 79
H08/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 79
H11/03
ABA League 2
OKK Novi Pazar
#16
W
97-66
97
66
+31
94avg 79
A15/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
15-13
16-19
20-23
21-17
19-15
24-21
17-31
26-29
20-24
29-20
19-16
21-15
21-26
29-17
16-17
35-20
27-14
23-11
22-29
19-19
19-22
22-17
24-23
19-18
21-12
16-15
16-20
23-21
31-29
25-32
15-21
23-16
23-23
28-29
24-20
24-11
28-22
14-17
31-16
169.0Avg total
88.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.079.0162.0+4.080%
Season at home (5)92.886.6179.4+6.280%
Season away (5)73.271.4144.6+1.880%
Last 10 (10)88.980.1169.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)89.080.6169.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.580.0161.5+1.575%
vs Similar (11)86.882.5169.3+4.455%
vs Weaker (15)87.176.1163.2+10.980%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#4
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/01
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
80avg 77
H26/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#6
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
80avg 77
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
L
59-83
59
83
-24
51avg 77
H04/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#11
W
115-69
115
69
+46
111avg 77
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 77
A12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 77
A28/02
Prva A Liga
KK Bosna
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 77
A05/03
ABA League 2
KK Bosna
#1
W
91-78
91
78
+13
91avg 77
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 77
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
12-19
18-15
16-14
27-16
17-19
20-24
24-28
19-21
15-26
24-20
24-15
12-19
23-11
19-27
5-26
33-16
27-16
31-19
24-18
22-16
17-28
21-16
21-22
15-23
21-18
24-24
18-18
20-21
9-16
20-17
20-17
26-18
23-19
20-21
22-20
22-16
15-20
16-17
19-24
161.0Avg total
81.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.861.1126.9+4.760%
Season at home (6)63.863.2127.0+0.750%
Season away (4)68.858.0126.8+10.875%
Last 10 (10)81.579.5161.0+2.030%
Last 5 (5)78.278.2156.4+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
vs Similar (11)78.278.9157.1-0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)78.861.5140.3+17.381%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
ZlatiborPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/01
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H31/01
First League
KK Bosna
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H04/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H22/02
First League
Radnicki
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A05/03
ABA League 2
Joker
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/03
ABA League 2
OKK Novi Pazar
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A15/03
First League
84.6Avg total
45.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.183.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.841.087.8+5.880%-
Last 30 away (15)41.237.378.5+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.784.6+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.684.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.242.082.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (11)43.840.484.2+3.573%-
vs Weaker (15)45.137.582.6+7.780%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/01
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H26/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H04/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#11
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/02
Montenegrin Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/02
Prva A Liga
KK Bosna
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A05/03
ABA League 2
KK Bosna
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/03
Prva A Liga
78.1Avg total
39.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.036.277.2+4.764%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.435.978.3+6.464%-
Last 30 away (14)39.636.676.1+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.278.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.077.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)37.437.574.9-0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.634.178.8+10.586%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.8
54.1%
52.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
31.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
72.5%18.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
52.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.0
29.4%
31.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
72.5%14.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
WWLWWWWWLL
Podgorica
LWLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#8
+11.3
Net rating
-7.3
113.2
Offensive rating
97.3
101.9
Defensive rating
104.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
29.4%
60.3%
Assist %
49.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 97.3Defence101.9 · 104.7Shooting54.3% · 49.6%3-point %36.4% · 29.4%Ball care17.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zlatibor wins
3
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Podgorica v Zlatibor70-72
16/04/24Zlatibor v Podgorica93-100
09/04/24Podgorica v Zlatibor113-89
31/01/24Zlatibor v Podgorica90-68
12/04/23Podgorica v Zlatibor89-64
20/10/22Zlatibor v Podgorica91-72
10/11/21Podgorica v Zlatibor66-73
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AOKK Novi Pazar97-66
11/03/25HHelios Domzale98-88
08/03/25HJoker94-103
05/03/25AHelios Domzale72-65
01/03/25ARadnicki84-81
22/02/25HVrsac107-74
08/02/25AVojvodina Novi Sad87-75
04/02/25HKK Bosna94-89
31/01/25HBKK Radnicki81-84
26/01/25ASloga75-76
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25AJedinstvo72-77
13/03/25HKK Bosna91-78
05/03/25AKK Bosna69-71
28/02/25ASutjeska78-83
12/02/25AMornar Bar81-82
08/02/25HDanilovgrad115-69
04/02/25HHelios Domzale59-83
02/02/25APrimorje92-93 OT
26/01/25HLovcen Cetinje88-87
22/01/25HZlatibor70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game83.092.873.2
Allowed / game79.086.671.4
Point differential+4.0+6.2+1.8
Avg total162.0179.4144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game65.863.868.8
Allowed / game61.163.258.0
Point differential+4.7+0.7+10.8
Avg total126.9127.0126.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad119282%82.671.8+10.8
2 Zlatibor108280%83.079.0+4.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija117464%81.075.5+5.5
4 KK Bosna117464%77.774.3+3.5
5 Podgorica106460%65.861.1+4.7
6 Siroki Brijeg116555%65.660.6+5.0
7 MZT Skopje63350%72.869.0+3.8
8 Sutjeska63350%82.078.3+3.7
9 Borac Banja Luka63350%78.578.8-0.3
10 Pelister63350%56.758.0-1.3
11 Helios Domzale115645%73.573.2+0.3
12 Cedevita Junior115645%78.579.4-0.8
13 Tivat61517%62.274.2-12.0
14 GKK Sibenka61517%66.079.0-13.0
15 Rabotnicki6060%66.285.8-19.7
16 Joker6060%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlatibor2424222090
Podgorica2320162382
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