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Tivat vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 61-86
18-23 12-23 19-24 12-16
Position#3
Record20-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#7
Record17-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaPrva A Liga - Quarter-finals· Sportski centar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tivat v Podgorica
08 Dec 2025
TIVA101
PODG99
03 May 2025
TIVA61
PODG86
11 Dec 2024
TIVA84
PODG87
28 Dec 2023
TIVA78
PODG73
08 Oct 2022
TIVA76
PODG71
24 Oct 2021
TIVA77
PODG73
19 Dec 2020
TIVA87
PODG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
70avg 77
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 77
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
121avg 77
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
109-72
109
72
+37
113avg 77
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 77
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 77
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
86-68
86
68
+18
88avg 77
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
69avg 77
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
13-20
15-18
17-9
18-26
22-23
12-30
23-16
24-28
28-21
25-19
21-20
30-24
28-22
29-17
28-21
26-14
26-24
31-5
26-29
26-26
16-27
15-11
26-13
12-23
20-24
25-14
22-11
20-20
22-19
27-23
25-19
27-17
22-13
19-17
18-21
17-22
16-22
22-22
20-21
167.3Avg total
88.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.375.5162.8+11.880%
Season at home (12)88.273.5161.8+14.883%
Season away (13)86.477.3163.7+9.177%
Last 10 (10)88.778.6167.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)83.477.0160.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.781.4150.1-12.729%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.280.4160.7-0.256%
vs Weaker (13)93.974.0167.9+19.9100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 76
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 76
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
101avg 76
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
117-63
117
63
+54
122avg 76
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
84avg 76
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 76
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
60avg 76
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
54avg 76
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 76
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 76
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
15-20
16-17
19-24
23-24
20-24
16-22
23-20
20-15
25-14
28-18
26-24
28-18
23-19
29-12
37-14
20-22
21-18
12-23
27-17
23-12
24-20
14-25
11-22
20-17
23-23
23-27
16-21
23-14
17-20
16-17
10-21
18-19
22-20
17-21
29-25
22-17
22-16
22-22
21-20
164.4Avg total
85.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.573.7159.2+11.868%
Season at home (13)86.574.8161.3+11.677%
Season away (12)84.472.4156.8+12.058%
Last 10 (10)85.279.2164.4+6.040%
Last 5 (5)78.679.8158.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.878.3155.1-1.531%
vs Weaker (15)84.968.6153.5+16.380%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
TivatPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A26/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A30/04
Prva A Liga
87.1Avg total
44.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.483.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.584.2+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.483.6-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.087.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.682.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.645.680.1-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.943.883.7-3.933%-
vs Weaker (13)48.037.285.2+10.885%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/03
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/03
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/04
Prva A Liga
79.9Avg total
43.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.936.578.3+5.472%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.533.977.4+9.686%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.979.2+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.879.9+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.678.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.936.275.2+2.769%-
vs Weaker (14)45.235.981.1+9.486%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 61.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.713.0
43.8%
58.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.86.5
22.5%
31.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.7
65.3%
69.7%15.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.8
53.4%
58.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.8
30.1%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
69.7%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LWWWWWWWLW
Podgorica
WWLLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#7
-16.7
Net rating
-3.3
85.0
Offensive rating
101.0
101.6
Defensive rating
104.3
38.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
22.5%
3-point %
30.1%
57.3%
Assist %
49.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.0 · 101.0Defence101.6 · 104.3Shooting38.9% · 50.8%3-point %22.5% · 30.1%Ball care17.0% · 18.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Tivat   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tivat wins
6
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
30/04/25Podgorica v Tivat87-75
07/04/25Podgorica v Tivat72-79
11/12/24Tivat v Podgorica84-87
27/03/24Podgorica v Tivat81-69
28/12/23Tivat v Podgorica78-73
14/01/23Podgorica v Tivat93-73
08/10/22Tivat v Podgorica76-71
22/01/22Podgorica v Tivat65-55
24/10/21Tivat v Podgorica77-73
14/04/21Podgorica v Tivat87-79
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25APodgorica75-87
25/04/25HKotor86-68
19/04/25ADecic94-81
07/04/25APodgorica79-72
29/03/25HVukovi Zeta83-77
22/03/25HSusanj109-72
15/03/25AIbar Rozaje115-84
09/03/25HJedinstvo98-88
26/02/25AStudentski Centar75-95
20/02/25HStudentski Centar73-62
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HTivat87-75
28/04/25HDecic86-85
21/04/25HStudentski Centar66-72
12/04/25AVukovi Zeta82-88
07/04/25HTivat72-79
02/04/25AHelios Domzale89-92 OT
28/03/25ASusanj117-63
23/03/25HIbar Rozaje99-71
20/03/25AZlatibor82-90
17/03/25AJedinstvo72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game87.388.286.4
Allowed / game75.573.577.3
Point differential+11.8+14.8+9.1
Avg total162.8161.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW68%
HomeWLLWW77%
AwayLLLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%77%58%
Points / game85.586.584.4
Allowed / game73.774.872.4
Point differential+11.8+11.6+12.0
Avg total159.2161.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2521484%92.373.8+18.5
2 Studentski Centar2521484%86.474.0+12.4
3 Tivat2520580%87.375.5+11.8
4 Podgorica2517868%85.573.7+11.8
5 Primorje2517868%92.081.3+10.8
6 Jedinstvo2517868%82.274.5+7.7
7 Decic25121348%89.891.3-1.6
8 Kotor2591636%77.277.8-0.5
9 Lovcen Cetinje2581732%70.079.3-9.4
10 Danilovgrad2571828%69.485.1-15.7
11 Ibar Rozaje2461825%74.682.8-8.2
12 Vukovi Zeta2461825%76.285.1-8.9
13 Milenijum81712%75.998.6-22.8
14 Susanj2432112%79.2102.2-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tivat1812191261
Podgorica2323241686
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