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Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-119
12-40 27-30 32-31 18-18
Position#11
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pogradeci
Albania
vs
Skenderbeu 🏆
Albania
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati I Sportit
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pogradeci v Skenderbeu
13 Oct 2026
POGR89
SKEN119
01 Nov 2025
POGR66
SKEN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Skenderbeu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
77-116
77
116
-39
62avg 71
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 71
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
64avg 71
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
86-105
86
105
-19
86avg 71
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
72-98
72
98
-26
69avg 71
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
87avg 71
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
105avg 71
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
66avg 71
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
80avg 71
H04/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
71-114
71
114
-43
66avg 71
H10/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
21-26
19-32
15-31
20-24
13-20
25-33
34-25
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
15-28
27-25
21-29
23-23
10-28
13-25
18-24
31-21
18-23
22-26
16-22
32-23
28-11
18-16
25-22
24-27
11-19
28-10
14-18
12-21
16-28
28-16
20-25
18-20
16-11
22-30
13-41
20-32
181.4Avg total
80.7Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.7100.7181.4-20.010%
Last 5 (5)80.288.2168.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.2104.4179.6-29.20%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (4)85.581.2166.8+4.250%
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
105-86
105
86
+19
99avg 79
H15/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
102-81
102
81
+21
100avg 79
A08/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
82avg 79
H21/03
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
no box
A28/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
101-98
101
98
+3
95avg 79
H04/04
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-141
74
141
-67
34avg 79
H08/04
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
78-57
78
57
+21
73avg 79
A11/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
72-151
72
151
-79
64avg 79
H13/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
62avg 79
A15/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
65avg 79
H18/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
25-27
29-21
23-23
29-23
16-22
28-14
29-22
24-19
18-25
25-12
15-13
24-16
16-17
29-17
28-34
23-24
31-27
20-23
27-24
17-31
22-43
18-32
17-35
24-16
22-11
15-14
17-16
10-40
14-35
24-37
24-39
10-24
24-20
14-21
28-19
14-24
16-21
23-28
23-17
180.4Avg total
86.3Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.394.1180.4-7.860%
Last 5 (5)75.2104.6179.8-29.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.398.9171.2-26.618%
vs Similar (2)91.091.5182.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.772.9168.6+22.891%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -9.2-9.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -9.2-9.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
PogradeciSkenderbeu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
23-53
23
53
-30
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/04
Superliga
85.5Avg total
38.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.047.284.2-10.218%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.147.583.6-11.527%-
Last 30 away (11)37.946.984.8-9.09%-
Last 10 (10)38.247.385.5-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.079.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.651.186.6-15.56%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)43.834.278.0+9.550%-
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H15/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/03
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A28/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H04/04
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
39-74
39
74
-35
H08/04
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A11/04
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
24-75
24
75
-51
H13/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H18/04
Superliga
88.7Avg total
40.7Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.043.985.9-1.941%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.846.590.4-2.746%-
Last 30 away (14)40.341.481.6-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.748.088.7-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.653.087.6-18.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.350.685.9-15.37%-
vs Similar (2)50.550.5101.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.034.183.1+14.982%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.1 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
56.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.2
35.8%
34.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws9.46.1
64.9%
67.6%6.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.124.6
54.5%
56.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.1
39.1%
34.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.2
69.1%
67.6%11.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pogradeci
LLLWLLLLLL
Skenderbeu
LLLWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#6
-23.7
Net rating
-6.5
95.5
Offensive rating
99.5
119.2
Defensive rating
106.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
60.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.8%
3-point %
39.1%
72.6%
Assist %
43.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 99.5Defence119.2 · 106.0Shooting54.9% · 55.9%3-point %35.8% · 39.1%Ball care11.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.14 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Pogradeci   ■ Skenderbeu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pogradeci wins
2
Skenderbeu wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Skenderbeu v Pogradeci105-86
01/11/25Pogradeci v Skenderbeu66-111
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HTirana71-114
04/04/26HPartizani Tirana82-89
29/03/26HApolonia Fier65-68
21/03/26HPBC Flamurtari95-76
14/03/26ATeuta Durres88-94
07/03/26HVllaznia72-98
15/02/26ASkenderbeu86-105
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145
31/01/26AFieri92-102
24/01/26AKamza Basket77-116
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HApolonia Fier76-90
15/04/26AApolonia Fier76-84
13/04/26HTirana72-151
11/04/26APBC Flamurtari78-57
08/04/26HBeselidhja74-141
04/04/26HTeuta Durres101-98
28/03/26AVllaznia97-84
21/03/26HKamza Basket82-69
08/03/26AFieri102-81
15/02/26HPogradeci105-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Skenderbeu
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja110100%112.052.0+60.0
2 Vllaznia110100%97.080.0+17.0
3 Kamza Basket110100%79.065.0+14.0
4 Teuta Durres110100%96.082.0+14.0
5 PBC Flamurtari1010%82.096.0-14.0
6 Tirana1010%65.079.0-14.0
7 Elbasani1010%80.097.0-17.0
8 Partizani Tirana1010%52.0112.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pogradeci1227321889
Skenderbeu40303118119
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