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Poitiers vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-78 (OT)
18-20 13-21 24-12 17-19 2-6
Position#9
Record11-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game82.1
Poitiers
France
vs
Caen 🏆
France
Position#15
Record11-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.9
FrancePro BRound 20· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poitiers v Caen
27 Dec 2025
POI90
CAEN65
17 Jan 2025
POI74
CAEN78
15 Mar 2019
POI92
CAEN80
31 Mar 2018
POI77
CAEN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Antibes
#10
W
77-59
77
59
+18
101avg 91
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 91
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
93-87
93
87
+6
105avg 91
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
83avg 91
A30/11
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
118avg 91
H06/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
98avg 91
A13/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
91avg 91
H20/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
81avg 91
A27/12
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H09/01
French Cup
Chartres
#21
W
99-77
99
77
+22
114avg 91
H12/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-10
17-16
20-14
13-29
25-23
29-15
30-17
22-16
33-20
25-23
13-28
24-13
11-23
19-18
24-17
31-24
26-26
23-20
23-18
18-26
22-19
21-24
26-22
21-23
23-22
18-16
15-11
18-20
11-24
25-18
18-24
21-25
19-25
25-24
24-20
26-17
23-15
22-29
28-16
168.1Avg total
87.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.182.1167.1+3.058%
Season at home (9)86.378.7165.0+7.778%
Season away (10)83.985.1169.0-1.240%
Last 10 (10)87.280.9168.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)84.884.0168.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.283.6156.8-10.420%
vs Similar (15)83.983.3167.2+0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.278.1166.3+10.167%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
104avg 88
H01/11
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
97avg 88
A05/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
81avg 88
H08/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
70-65
70
65
+5
87avg 88
A15/11
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 88
H29/11
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
83-63
83
63
+20
103avg 88
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
94avg 88
A14/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
76-84
76
84
-8
92avg 88
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
93avg 88
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
72avg 88
H10/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-25
21-21
17-11
18-20
22-20
20-18
25-18
20-28
19-24
17-17
17-21
18-14
17-9
17-17
18-25
19-18
19-18
18-19
23-18
24-9
26-22
16-12
17-20
25-24
21-22
24-14
7-29
18-16
15-25
20-26
23-17
20-16
18-18
16-17
25-22
22-19
17-16
21-13
9-27
154.9Avg total
77.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.578.9156.4-1.558%
Season at home (10)78.678.6157.2+0.060%
Season away (9)76.279.3155.6-3.156%
Last 10 (10)77.877.1154.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)76.876.8153.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.684.1161.7-6.633%
vs Similar (4)75.872.0147.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (2)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
PoitiersCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/11
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/12
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H20/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/12
Pro B
JL Bourg
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H09/01
French Cup
Chartres
#21
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/01
Pro B
84.6Avg total
42.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.481.6+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.439.582.9+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)39.541.180.6-1.535%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.984.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.643.680.2-7.020%-
vs Similar (15)41.341.783.0-0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.737.179.8+5.667%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/11
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A15/11
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H29/11
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Pro B
77.2Avg total
39.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.575.5-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.577.2+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.838.474.2-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.977.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.441.378.7-3.939%-
vs Similar (4)37.231.268.5+6.075%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.3
53.4%
52.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.7
34.3%
33.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws26.820.5
76.5%
73.2%20.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.0
48.4%
52.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.5
30.1%
33.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
73.2%15.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
WLLWLWWWWW
Caen
LWLLWWWLWW
#9
League position
#15
+6.3
Net rating
+0.8
111.6
Offensive rating
100.5
105.2
Defensive rating
99.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.3%
3-point %
30.1%
68.6%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 100.5Defence105.2 · 99.7Shooting52.5% · 47.3%3-point %34.3% · 30.1%Ball care18.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 32.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Poitiers   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poitiers wins
3
Caen wins
DateGameScore
13/09/24Caen v Poitiers95-91 OT
15/03/19Poitiers v Caen92-80
07/12/18Caen v Poitiers86-85
31/03/18Poitiers v Caen77-89
19/12/17Caen v Poitiers83-86
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HChartres99-77
09/01/25HJL Bourg89-94
27/12/24AOrleans72-86
20/12/24HPau-Orthez77-72
13/12/24AVichy87-91
06/12/24HNantes103-88
30/11/24AAda Blois78-71
15/11/24HSt. Chamond93-87
11/11/24AAix Maurienne97-84
08/11/24AAntibes77-59
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HASA69-75
27/12/24AFos-sur-Mer79-73
21/12/24HChalons-Reims76-84
14/12/24AOrleans77-89
06/12/24AChartres83-63
29/11/24HVichy79-73
15/11/24AEvreux70-65
08/11/24HRouen73-90
05/11/24APau-Orthez85-76
01/11/24HBoulazac87-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game85.186.383.9
Allowed / game82.178.785.1
Point differential+3.0+7.7-1.2
Avg total167.1165.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Caen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game77.578.676.2
Allowed / game78.978.679.3
Point differential-1.5+0.0-3.1
Avg total156.4157.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac1915479%81.773.9+7.8
2 Orleans1915479%85.779.7+6.0
3 Roanne1914574%88.682.0+6.6
4 Ada Blois1913668%88.980.8+8.1
5 Aix Maurienne1912763%90.685.9+4.7
6 Poitiers1911858%85.182.1+3.0
7 Caen1911858%77.578.9-1.5
8 Rouen1910953%85.378.8+6.5
9 ASA1910953%87.482.7+4.7
10 St. Chamond1910953%85.784.1+1.6
11 Pau-Orthez1910953%81.181.1+0.1
12 Antibes1910953%78.678.8-0.2
13 Denain-Voltaire1981142%80.981.0-0.1
14 Chalons-Reims2081240%81.586.5-5.0
15 Vichy1971237%77.379.6-2.4
16 Hyeres-Toulon1971237%75.181.7-6.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer1961332%74.480.5-6.2
18 Evreux2061430%78.585.2-6.7
19 Nantes1951426%82.086.8-4.8
20 Chartres1931616%77.492.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Poitiers18132417274
Caen20211219678
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