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Poitiers vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 103-88
31-24 26-26 23-20 23-18
Position#9
Record8-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#17
Record3-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game84.8
FrancePro BRound 15· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poitiers v Nantes
09 Oct 2026
POI90
NANT73
09 Jun 2026
POI85
NANT75
03 Jun 2026
POI80
NANT83
21 Apr 2026
POI80
NANT74
06 Dec 2024
POI103
NANT88
26 Mar 2024
POI81
NANT74
16 Jan 2021
POI66
NANT64
18 Mar 2020
POI v NANT
upcoming
19 Apr 2019
POI76
NANT65
08 May 2018
POI85
NANT106
14 Jan 2017
POI68
NANT56
08 May 2016
POI80
NANT83
24 Apr 2015
POI80
NANT90
05 Apr 2014
POI81
NANT80
12 Nov 2013
POI69
NANT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Stade Toulousain
#33
W
91-52
91
52
+39
96avg 90
A15/10
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
102avg 90
A18/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H25/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
112avg 90
A29/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
100avg 90
H01/11
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 90
A05/11
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
77-59
77
59
+18
101avg 90
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 90
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
93-87
93
87
+6
105avg 90
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
83avg 90
A30/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
25-13
19-21
26-4
16-12
24-23
23-15
23-29
17-15
27-28
16-21
16-22
20-21
27-24
14-23
25-18
23-18
19-16
26-17
21-25
15-26
31-20
14-21
22-34
20-19
20-10
17-16
20-14
13-29
25-23
29-15
30-17
22-16
33-20
25-23
13-28
24-13
11-23
19-18
24-17
167.0Avg total
86.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.181.8165.9+2.457%
Season at home (6)83.078.5161.5+4.567%
Season away (8)85.084.2169.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)86.880.2167.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)85.480.4165.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.781.7155.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.283.9170.1+2.250%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.0162.6+10.671%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
96avg 92
H01/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
75-108
75
108
-33
84avg 92
A04/10
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
92avg 92
H11/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
69-73
69
73
-4
85avg 92
H18/10
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
80avg 92
A25/10
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
77-89
77
89
-12
85avg 92
A29/10
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
95avg 92
H01/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
100-70
100
70
+30
119avg 92
H08/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
74avg 92
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
103-78
103
78
+25
102avg 92
H29/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
29-21
15-28
20-22
20-23
19-22
22-29
14-34
19-26
22-26
21-20
23-25
22-17
14-24
11-17
22-15
22-17
15-19
13-22
16-23
23-23
15-23
15-16
24-27
16-23
23-16
19-21
21-22
23-15
23-15
28-16
26-24
10-26
16-14
17-32
23-29
28-25
25-15
32-12
18-26
167.2Avg total
80.4Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.184.8164.8-4.723%
Season at home (7)84.982.3167.1+2.629%
Season away (6)74.587.7162.2-13.217%
Last 10 (10)80.486.8167.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)85.084.0169.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.788.9164.6-13.29%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.188.3171.4-5.320%
vs Weaker (3)99.767.7167.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
PoitiersNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stade Toulousain
#33
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A15/10
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A29/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/11
Pro B
Roanne
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/11
Pro B
81.6Avg total
43.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.680.3+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.237.279.5+5.058%-
Last 30 away (18)39.841.180.9-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.381.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.882.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.042.078.0-6.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.440.581.9+0.938%-
vs Weaker (7)42.136.078.1+6.171%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H01/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/10
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H11/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/10
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/10
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/10
Pro B
Antibes
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/11
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/11
Pro B
81.2Avg total
40.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.483.4-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.143.486.5-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.480.2-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.042.578.5-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.044.785.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker (3)50.737.087.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.1
56.4%
52.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.5
32.3%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
73.2%18.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
73.2%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
WWWWLWLLWW
Nantes
WLWLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#17
+11.2
Net rating
-8.0
112.0
Offensive rating
106.3
100.8
Defensive rating
114.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
36.9%
62.2%
Assist %
70.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 106.3Defence100.8 · 114.3Shooting53.1% · 53.4%3-point %32.3% · 36.9%Ball care18.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Poitiers   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Poitiers wins
4
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
26/03/24Poitiers v Nantes81-74
27/10/23Nantes v Poitiers73-67
23/04/21Nantes v Poitiers86-69
16/01/21Poitiers v Nantes66-64
23/12/19Nantes v Poitiers83-67
19/04/19Poitiers v Nantes76-65
27/12/18Nantes v Poitiers79-89
08/05/18Poitiers v Nantes85-106
26/01/18Nantes v Poitiers75-83
07/03/17Nantes v Poitiers75-78
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AAda Blois78-71
15/11/24HSt. Chamond93-87
11/11/24AAix Maurienne97-84
08/11/24AAntibes77-59
05/11/24ARoanne82-101
01/11/24HRouen89-76
29/10/24AAix Maurienne99-107 OT
25/10/24HBoulazac76-86
18/10/24ADenain-Voltaire86-79
15/10/24AStade Toulousain91-52
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HEvreux103-78
15/11/24ARouen66-101
08/11/24HFos-sur-Mer100-70
01/11/24HAntibes79-82
29/10/24ACaen77-89
25/10/24AVichy66-81
18/10/24HHyeres-Toulon69-73
11/10/24HASA85-97
04/10/24AAda Blois75-108
01/10/24HPau-Orthez84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game84.183.085.0
Allowed / game81.878.584.2
Point differential+2.4+4.5+0.8
Avg total165.9161.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW23%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game80.184.974.5
Allowed / game84.882.387.7
Point differential-4.7+2.6-13.2
Avg total164.8167.1162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac1411379%82.474.1+8.4
2 Roanne1310377%90.582.5+7.9
3 Orleans1310377%83.578.8+4.6
4 Aix Maurienne1410471%88.681.6+6.9
5 Ada Blois139469%88.778.0+10.7
6 Antibes149564%78.678.3+0.3
7 Caen149564%77.779.7-2.0
8 Poitiers148657%84.181.8+2.4
9 ASA147750%86.383.6+2.7
10 Pau-Orthez147750%80.481.4-1.0
11 Rouen146843%82.579.4+3.1
12 Denain-Voltaire146843%79.779.8-0.1
13 St. Chamond146843%85.886.0-0.2
14 Vichy145936%77.477.8-0.4
15 Evreux145936%79.684.6-5.0
16 Fos-sur-Mer145936%74.280.4-6.1
17 Hyeres-Toulon145936%74.981.2-6.4
18 Chalons-Reims1441029%79.986.9-7.0
19 Nantes1331023%80.184.8-4.7
20 Chartres1431121%79.492.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poitiers31262323103
Nantes2426201888
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