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Poitiers vs Fos-sur-Mer Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-64
22-14 23-14 18-20 17-16
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#20
Record3-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.0
FrancePro BRound 6· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer
02 Apr 2027
POI v FSM
upcoming
11 Oct 2024
POI80
FSM64
03 Nov 2023
POI72
FSM78
19 Dec 2020
POI79
FSM110
25 Jan 2020
POI79
FSM84
13 Apr 2018
POI66
FSM65
25 Apr 2017
POI64
FSM52
12 Apr 2016
POI86
FSM90
11 Oct 2014
POI84
FSM80
13 May 2014
POI90
FSM76
04 Oct 2013
POI94
FSM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Antibes
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
94avg 87
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
85avg 87
A26/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
85avg 87
H03/05
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
65avg 87
A10/05
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
99avg 87
A13/09
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
86-74
86
74
+12
99avg 87
H20/09
Pro B
Fougeres
#54
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 87
A24/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
106avg 87
A27/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
74-84
74
84
-10
87avg 87
H01/10
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
82avg 87
A04/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
15-24
23-8
26-15
21-16
17-29
14-25
22-19
16-18
16-19
18-23
28-20
12-21
20-21
21-13
11-21
22-23
17-12
21-29
24-20
26-15
24-22
21-13
15-24
27-14
22-21
13-13
20-15
18-25
20-14
21-9
28-31
19-14
20-20
19-23
16-27
27-24
22-25
16-19
15-15
158.8Avg total
79.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.683.0166.6+0.640%
Season at home (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season away (3)86.085.7171.7+0.333%
Last 10 (10)79.679.2158.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.876.6158.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.782.0158.7-5.343%
vs Similar (17)81.680.8162.4+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.881.6166.4+3.260%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
89avg 86
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
69-57
69
57
+12
86avg 86
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
113avg 86
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
89avg 86
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
104avg 86
A13/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
64-78
64
78
-14
75avg 86
H20/09
Pro B
Lyonso
#25
L
88-96
88
96
-8
83avg 86
A24/09
French Cup
Chartres
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
97avg 86
A27/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
80avg 86
A01/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
96avg 86
H05/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-28
17-23
20-18
15-10
15-24
24-16
15-7
32-15
20-17
21-19
23-25
20-11
19-19
20-22
16-20
17-16
23-15
14-21
31-23
8-22
11-23
22-11
23-22
22-27
19-24
24-20
23-25
14-16
19-21
20-15
22-17
19-20
6-22
21-16
20-28
19-21
12-11
21-18
23-17
152.7Avg total
76.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.075.0148.0-2.060%
Season at home (2)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
Season away (3)75.376.7152.0-1.367%
Last 10 (10)76.476.3152.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)73.679.2152.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.677.4150.0-4.933%
vs Similar (19)79.777.7157.5+2.042%
vs Weaker (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
PoitiersFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/05
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A10/05
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/09
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H20/09
Pro B
Fougeres
#54
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A24/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H01/10
Pro B
ASA
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A04/10
Pro B
79.6Avg total
39.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.238.379.5+2.946%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.177.2-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.979.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.941.377.1-5.414%-
vs Similar (17)38.639.878.4-1.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.435.878.2+6.680%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
19-45
19
45
-26
H20/09
Pro B
Lyonso
#25
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A24/09
French Cup
Chartres
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A27/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A01/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H05/10
Pro B
72.4Avg total
34.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.976.8-1.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.076.1+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)37.739.877.4-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.072.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.841.471.2-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.942.277.1-7.311%-
vs Similar (19)39.137.276.3+1.837%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
52.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
73.2%18.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.1
47.2%
52.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.8
35.6%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.8
68.3%
73.2%13.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
LLWWWLLLLW
Fos-sur-Mer
WLWLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#20
+0.5
Net rating
-0.1
103.9
Offensive rating
99.9
103.4
Defensive rating
100.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.7%
Turnover %
21.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
35.6%
70.0%
Assist %
75.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 99.9Defence103.4 · 100.0Shooting50.0% · 49.4%3-point %32.9% · 35.6%Ball care19.7% · 21.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Poitiers   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Poitiers wins
7
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
22/03/24Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers96-98 OT
03/11/23Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer72-78
19/03/21Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers90-89 OT
19/12/20Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer79-110
25/01/20Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer79-84
13/04/18Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer66-65
27/12/17Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers83-69
25/04/17Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer64-52
20/01/17Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers81-63
12/04/16Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer86-90
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24AASA80-83
01/10/24HChalons-Reims74-84
27/09/24AHyeres-Toulon87-79
24/09/24AFougeres82-63
20/09/24HEvreux86-74
13/09/24ACaen91-95 OT
10/05/24AEvreux64-76
03/05/24HPau-Orthez78-80
26/04/24AVichy74-89
12/04/24HAntibes80-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HRouen75-67
01/10/24AAix Maurienne66-86
27/09/24AChartres75-69
24/09/24ALyonso88-96
20/09/24HPau-Orthez64-78
13/09/24AEvreux85-75
10/05/24HAngers75-72
03/05/24AAix Maurienne96-76
28/04/24HLa Rochelle69-57
19/04/24APau-Orthez71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.680.086.0
Allowed / game83.079.085.7
Point differential+0.6+1.0+0.3
Avg total166.6159.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game73.069.575.3
Allowed / game75.072.576.7
Point differential-2.0-3.0-1.3
Avg total148.0142.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois440100%89.871.2+18.5
2 Roanne440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 Boulazac54180%76.067.8+8.2
4 Pau-Orthez54180%81.277.4+3.8
5 Orleans43175%84.083.5+0.5
6 St. Chamond53260%92.682.0+10.6
7 Aix Maurienne53260%84.879.2+5.6
8 ASA53260%84.081.4+2.6
9 Denain-Voltaire53260%77.075.8+1.2
10 Antibes53260%79.079.0+0.0
11 Caen53260%74.676.6-2.0
12 Fos-sur-Mer53260%73.075.0-2.0
13 Poitiers52340%83.683.0+0.6
14 Chalons-Reims52340%78.281.4-3.2
15 Evreux41325%77.583.2-5.8
16 Rouen51420%75.878.6-2.8
17 Vichy51420%73.678.6-5.0
18 Nantes51420%79.286.2-7.0
19 Hyeres-Toulon5050%73.087.2-14.2
20 Chartres5050%73.893.4-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poitiers2223181780
Fos-sur-Mer1414201664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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