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Poitiers vs Lille Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-96 (OT)
14-20 22-22 22-19 22-19 11-16
Position#11
Record15-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.2
Poitiers
France
vs
Lille 🏆
France
Position#10
Record13-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.3
FrancePro BRound 28· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poitiers v Lille
05 Apr 2024
POI91
LILL96
30 Apr 2021
POI80
LILL75
11 Feb 2020
POI61
LILL81
13 Oct 2018
POI85
LILL91
10 Feb 2018
POI75
LILL69
24 Jan 2017
POI70
LILL71
04 Dec 2015
POI88
LILL82
07 Feb 2015
POI83
LILL73
15 Oct 2013
POI71
LILL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lille winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
96avg 87
A03/02
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 87
H06/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
72-70
72
70
+2
84avg 87
A09/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
88avg 87
H01/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A05/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 87
A08/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
108-77
108
77
+31
127avg 87
H15/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
A22/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
92avg 87
H26/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
83avg 87
A30/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-24
14-29
25-18
14-13
32-21
14-16
26-26
21-7
14-18
19-24
18-21
15-14
18-20
21-17
22-21
16-27
25-14
19-19
23-23
13-20
24-21
19-17
22-28
24-10
35-21
24-17
25-29
14-23
21-26
25-22
26-15
23-20
18-25
18-17
22-12
15-22
18-20
17-14
19-13
167.3Avg total
85.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.681.2162.9+0.454%
Season at home (14)83.179.8162.9+3.464%
Season away (14)80.182.7162.8-2.643%
Last 10 (10)85.382.0167.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.883.2171.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.781.5161.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.080.5162.6+1.555%
vs Weaker (3)75.781.3157.0-5.733%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
69avg 82
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
no box
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
64-80
64
80
-16
78avg 82
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
84avg 82
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
64-52
64
52
+12
61avg 82
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
65avg 82
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
100avg 82
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
84avg 82
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
87-66
87
66
+21
103avg 82
H26/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
63-65
63
65
-2
72avg 82
A29/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
13-15
11-13
10-22
17-23
14-19
35-17
12-19
14-18
19-20
21-26
10-16
18-16
17-12
18-20
17-20
19-15
12-16
16-10
17-11
30-35
13-13
23-18
11-19
30-28
18-21
18-20
21-15
21-17
24-24
11-12
21-21
31-10
23-17
15-15
18-24
20-18
11-13
14-17
18-17
144.9Avg total
72.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.274.3148.5-0.148%
Season at home (13)72.272.8145.0-0.746%
Season away (14)76.175.6151.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.672.3144.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.274.8153.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.572.0135.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.975.2150.1-0.343%
vs Weaker (3)82.074.3156.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
PoitiersLille
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/02
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A09/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H15/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A30/03
Pro B
79.0Avg total
40.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.638.981.5+3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)34.839.274.0-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.479.0+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.540.277.7-2.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.138.877.9+0.440%-
vs Weaker (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vichy
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A08/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A22/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H26/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/03
Pro B
75.1Avg total
38.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.374.7+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.579.8+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.675.1+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.837.271.0-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.438.077.4+1.452%-
vs Weaker (3)43.039.082.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.4
51.9%
51.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.6
35.6%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
72.2%14.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.715.4
43.1%
51.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.0
38.3%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.610.5
63.3%
72.2%10.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
LWWWLLWWWL
Lille
LWWWLWWLLL
#11
League position
#10
+3.4
Net rating
+0.1
105.5
Offensive rating
99.7
102.1
Defensive rating
99.5
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.6%
3-point %
38.3%
72.5%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 99.7Defence102.1 · 99.5Shooting52.6% · 49.2%3-point %35.6% · 38.3%Ball care18.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poitiers   ■ Lille
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Poitiers wins
7
Lille wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Lille v Poitiers56-68
30/04/21Poitiers v Lille80-75
12/03/21Lille v Poitiers92-66
11/02/20Poitiers v Lille61-81
15/11/19Lille v Poitiers66-55
27/04/19Lille v Poitiers80-58
13/10/18Poitiers v Lille85-91 OT
10/02/18Poitiers v Lille75-69
27/10/17Lille v Poitiers78-68
09/05/17Lille v Poitiers73-68
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ABoulazac74-83 OT
26/03/24HNantes81-74
22/03/24AFos-sur-Mer98-96 OT
15/03/24HSt. Chamond108-77
08/03/24AASA78-86
05/03/24ARouen95-97 OT
01/03/24HChalons-Reims76-72
09/02/24ADenain-Voltaire72-70
06/02/24HAngers86-76
03/02/24AOrleans85-89
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24ALa Rochelle63-65
26/03/24HDenain-Voltaire87-66
22/03/24AAngers77-74
15/03/24HAntibes87-84
08/03/24ANantes77-85
01/03/24HBoulazac64-52
09/02/24AChalons-Reims70-68
06/02/24HASA64-80
02/02/24HFos-sur-Mer82-83 OT
30/01/24AVichy55-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game81.683.180.1
Allowed / game81.279.882.7
Point differential+0.4+3.4-2.6
Avg total162.9162.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %11%0%21%
Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%46%50%
Points / game74.272.276.1
Allowed / game74.372.875.6
Point differential-0.1-0.7+0.5
Avg total148.5145.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle2723485%79.670.2+9.3
2 Vichy2620677%84.977.6+7.3
3 Boulazac2719870%78.974.9+4.0
4 Rouen28181064%84.381.6+2.7
5 Orleans27171063%80.479.7+0.8
6 Poitiers28151354%81.681.2+0.4
7 Chalons-Reims27131448%79.478.0+1.3
8 Pau-Orthez27131448%79.778.6+1.0
9 Lille27131448%74.274.3-0.1
10 ASA27131448%77.178.1-1.0
11 St. Chamond27121544%82.782.6+0.1
12 Nantes28121643%80.582.2-1.7
13 Antibes27111641%80.383.3-3.0
14 Aix Maurienne27111641%80.784.5-3.8
15 Denain-Voltaire27101737%76.080.6-4.6
16 Evreux2791833%79.283.2-4.0
17 Fos-sur-Mer2781930%77.980.3-2.5
18 Angers2772026%79.785.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Poitiers142222221191
Lille202219191696
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