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Poland vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 94-78
31-18 21-23 21-24 21-13
Position#19
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.7
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game68.3
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
82-101
82
101
-19
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
8-25
14-18
16-19
20-12
28-14
26-19
16-17
14-12
18-20
12-24
13-8
17-14
8-22
22-17
14-26
30-23
27-11
23-25
23-11
27-16
19-23
20-19
18-18
22-24
17-20
11-18
18-26
25-25
27-29
13-19
17-28
21-21
10-15
23-22
25-16
27-18
26-19
26-24
26-17
155.1Avg total
78.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.073.7151.7+4.356%
Season at home (4)75.068.8143.8+6.275%
Season away (5)80.477.6158.0+2.840%
Last 10 (10)78.476.7155.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.683.4167.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.683.5154.1-12.910%
vs Similar (3)89.377.3166.7+12.067%
vs Weaker (7)80.069.0149.0+11.086%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#52
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
101-50
101
50
+51
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-9
25-15
20-17
26-13
19-21
18-14
17-14
35-12
12-13
29-11
25-14
24-21
15-20
13-24
20-13
15-19
15-19
19-20
17-23
15-23
25-25
15-17
25-22
16-26
20-8
24-17
11-11
25-25
29-27
19-13
28-17
20-14
19-14
13-23
17-12
20-24
22-11
11-18
17-12
148.4Avg total
79.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.368.3147.7+11.078%
Season at home (5)79.671.4151.0+8.280%
Season away (4)79.064.5143.5+14.575%
Last 10 (10)79.069.4148.4+9.670%
Last 5 (5)78.271.8150.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.076.0146.0-6.050%
vs Similar (4)72.074.5146.5-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)78.565.4143.9+13.181%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.2+4.2
PolandItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A29/11
World Cup
78.4Avg total
40.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.137.874.9-0.730%-
Last 30 at home (8)33.434.267.6-0.938%-
Last 30 away (12)39.640.279.8-0.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.678.4+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.442.377.7-6.910%-
vs Similar (3)43.036.379.3+6.767%-
vs Weaker (7)37.032.069.0+5.043%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#52
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A26/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
World Cup
77.4Avg total
40.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.735.473.1+2.254%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.137.777.8+2.455%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.569.1+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.777.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.481.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.037.570.5-4.525%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.075.5-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.934.273.1+4.669%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
14/09/18Italy v Poland101-82
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/18ANetherlands105-78
17/09/18HCroatia79-74
14/09/18AItaly82-101
08/09/18ARussia68-88
07/09/18AIsrael84-76
01/07/18AKosovo103-70
28/06/18HLithuania61-79
26/02/18AHungary57-64
23/02/18HKosovo90-62
26/11/17ALithuania55-75
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/18HLithuania70-65
17/09/18AHungary69-63
14/09/18HPoland101-82
08/09/18HGermany71-62
07/09/18HCzech Republic80-87
01/07/18ANetherlands66-81
28/06/18HCroatia72-78
26/02/18ARomania101-50
23/02/18HNetherlands80-62
26/11/17ACroatia80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game78.075.080.4
Allowed / game73.768.877.6
Point differential+4.3+6.2+2.8
Avg total151.7143.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
World Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.379.679.0
Allowed / game68.371.464.5
Point differential+11.0+8.2+14.5
Avg total147.7151.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria990100%99.165.6+33.6
2 Greece990100%84.673.8+10.8
3 New Zealand109190%94.170.8+23.3
4 Lithuania109190%83.566.0+17.5
5 Australia98189%87.858.1+29.7
6 Germany98189%87.871.9+15.9
7 France98189%78.864.8+14.0
8 Venezuela98189%76.366.1+10.2
9 Argentina87188%87.968.6+19.2
10 Tunisia1210283%77.855.8+22.0
11 South Korea108280%89.178.1+11.0
12 Spain108280%78.672.8+5.8
13 Canada97278%93.473.9+19.6
14 Brazil97278%75.161.1+14.0
15 Italy97278%79.368.3+11.0
16 Czech Republic97278%77.173.6+3.6
17 Senegal97278%73.671.0+2.6
18 Angola129375%69.162.3+6.8
19 Uruguay86275%69.970.5-0.6
20 Puerto Rico75271%84.479.1+5.3
21 Turkey107370%73.967.3+6.6
22 Iran96367%70.963.3+7.6
23 Bulgaria138562%79.875.2+4.6
24 China106460%85.268.9+16.3
25 Lebanon106460%80.670.5+10.1
26 Latvia106460%80.177.3+2.8
27 Montenegro106460%76.874.7+2.1
28 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
29 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
30 Serbia95456%82.474.1+8.3
31 Japan95456%78.870.8+8.0
32 Dominican Republic95456%85.679.8+5.8
33 Poland95456%78.073.7+4.3
34 Russia95456%76.772.9+3.8
35 Philippines95456%80.381.8-1.4
36 Jordan105550%86.580.9+5.6
37 Ukraine105550%75.073.1+1.9
38 Hungary105550%71.170.9+0.2
39 Panama84450%73.174.0-0.9
40 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
41 Ivory Coast94544%64.262.8+1.4
42 Finland94544%75.676.7-1.1
43 Georgia94544%78.981.6-2.7
44 Israel94544%77.781.0-3.3
45 Central African Republic94544%67.271.8-4.6
46 Kazakhstan94544%69.278.1-8.9
47 Netherlands146843%78.774.6+4.1
48 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
49 Croatia104640%72.473.0-0.6
50 Bosnia & Herzegovina156940%76.380.3-4.0
51 Estonia135838%68.875.5-6.7
52 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Mali93633%69.378.1-8.8
58 Rwanda93633%70.883.6-12.8
59 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
60 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
61 Mexico72529%72.174.1-2.0
62 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
63 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
64 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
65 Chile92722%63.074.9-11.9
66 United States Virgin Islands92722%71.786.2-14.6
67 Qatar92722%64.381.9-17.6
68 Slovenia102820%76.682.7-6.1
69 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
70 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
71 Syria102820%66.091.1-25.1
72 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
73 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
74 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
75 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
76 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
77 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
78 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland3121212194
Italy1823241378
← all games of the day
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