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Poland W vs Slovakia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 63-55
21-17 11-9 15-14 16-15
Position#7
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game49.3
vs
Position#22
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game59.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Hala Widowiskowa Sportowa
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovakia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
73-75 OT
73
75
-2
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
105-51
105
51
+54
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
88-34
88
34
+54
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
86-41
86
41
+45
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-13
16-16
22-15
19-14
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
28-15
14-17
10-20
14-14
32-16
32-15
20-10
21-10
17-17
24-15
16-24
20-24
22-18
13-22
15-16
19-16
18-2
21-13
32-11
17-8
18-13
17-7
12-11
15-24
26-8
13-7
24-10
23-16
22-11
25-18
21-8
28-15
136.8Avg total
78.8Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.349.3130.7+32.0100%
Season at home (2)91.046.5137.5+44.5100%
Season away (1)62.055.0117.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.858.0136.8+20.870%
Last 5 (5)80.250.8131.0+29.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.271.7133.8-9.533%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.154.5138.6+29.569%
This opponent (Slovakia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovakia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A20/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
40-75
40
75
-35
A09/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A12/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A07/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H10/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
90-52
90
52
+38
H06/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H09/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H12/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A15/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-23
12-17
21-18
8-19
12-24
6-10
14-22
25-23
24-21
23-12
21-21
16-24
24-11
15-18
23-17
9-19
9-13
20-19
12-14
24-4
16-21
30-7
20-20
10-23
25-9
17-8
26-15
13-18
7-17
11-12
24-15
12-19
27-13
11-17
20-10
17-19
21-10
18-10
32-17
136.1Avg total
71.1Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.059.0130.0+12.067%
Season at home (1)55.062.0117.0-7.00%
Season away (2)79.057.5136.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)71.165.0136.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)76.256.8133.0+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)58.673.5132.2-14.915%
vs Similar (3)71.364.3135.7+7.067%
vs Weaker (10)83.158.5141.6+24.6100%
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
Poland WSlovakia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia W
#24
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
39-15
39
15
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H15/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/11
European Championship Women
66.9Avg total
40.2Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.627.768.3+12.868%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.230.174.3+14.180%-
Last 30 away (9)36.625.161.7+11.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.226.766.9+13.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.023.862.8+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.764.8-0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.525.569.9+19.077%-
This opponent (Slovakia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovakia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A09/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H10/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H06/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H12/11
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#29
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/11
European Championship Women
68.6Avg total
33.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.334.768.0-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.533.567.1+0.045%-
Last 30 away (15)33.235.568.7-2.353%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.168.6-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.665.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.136.864.9-8.815%-
vs Similar (3)33.736.069.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (10)40.131.471.5+8.7100%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.2
62.9%
-12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slovakia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovakia W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.016.7
40.7%
-33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
-22.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
73.9%
-14.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland W
WWWWLLWLWW
Slovakia W
WWLWWLWWLL
#7
League position
#22
+23.3
Net rating
+7.6
103.5
Offensive rating
97.2
80.2
Defensive rating
89.6
50.0%
Effective FG%
43.6%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
22.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
32.6%
81.7%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Poland W   ■ Slovakia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland W wins
0
Slovakia W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Slovakia W v Poland W55-62
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HCyprus W96-52
15/11/25HRomania W86-41
12/11/25ASlovakia W62-55
09/02/25AAzerbaijan W88-34
06/02/25ALithuania W69-72
10/11/24HBelgium W77-80
07/11/24HAzerbaijan W105-51
12/11/23HLithuania W73-75 OT
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62
12/02/23ASlovenia W65-58
Slovakia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ARomania W88-56
15/11/25ACyprus W70-59
12/11/25HPoland W55-62
09/02/25HIceland W78-55
06/02/25HRomania W90-52
10/11/24HTurkey W50-65
07/11/24AIceland W78-70
12/11/23ARomania W93-77
09/11/23ATurkey W40-75
20/06/23AGermany W69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.391.062.0
Allowed / game49.346.555.0
Point differential+32.0+44.5+7.0
Avg total130.7137.5117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovakia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game71.055.079.0
Allowed / game59.062.057.5
Point differential+12.0-7.0+21.5
Avg total130.0117.0136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W330100%95.756.7+39.0
2 Poland W330100%81.349.3+32.0
3 Serbia W220100%80.555.0+25.5
4 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
5 Austria W330100%81.769.0+12.7
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Great Britain W32167%85.765.7+20.0
8 Latvia W32167%81.362.0+19.3
9 Ukraine W32167%76.359.7+16.7
10 Luxembourg W32167%69.756.3+13.3
11 Slovakia W32167%71.059.0+12.0
12 Greece W32167%90.381.0+9.3
13 Slovenia W32167%80.072.3+7.7
14 Netherlands W32167%80.073.0+7.0
15 Croatia W32167%78.772.3+6.3
16 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
17 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
18 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
19 Montenegro W31233%77.066.3+10.7
20 Ireland W31233%77.776.3+1.3
21 Switzerland W31233%71.071.7-0.7
22 Denmark W31233%83.384.3-1.0
23 North Macedonia W31233%72.787.3-14.7
24 Romania W31233%57.378.7-21.3
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W3030%57.780.3-22.7
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W2020%64.592.0-27.5
29 Norway W3030%43.075.0-32.0
30 Estonia W3030%55.389.3-34.0
31 Azerbaijan W3030%48.0114.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland W2111151663
Slovakia W179141555
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