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Portimonense vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-80
14-21 14-16 20-24 26-19
Position#7
Record16-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.9
Portimonense
Portugal
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game70.6
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2024-25
Meetings · Portimonense v Braga
09 Jan 2027
PORT v BRAG
upcoming
03 May 2025
PORT74
BRAG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 71
H22/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
88avg 71
A25/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
67avg 71
H02/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 71
A08/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
66avg 71
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 71
H22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
58avg 71
A29/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
89-97
89
97
-8
84avg 71
A19/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
71-56
71
56
+15
72avg 71
H22/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
75avg 71
A26/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-17
13-23
23-23
24-11
19-16
24-16
19-17
14-21
20-15
30-21
15-17
14-14
18-15
15-16
20-26
8-19
35-23
21-20
14-10
15-10
23-19
17-28
23-18
21-17
14-21
20-17
15-25
21-22
15-15
17-30
36-30
19-14
18-14
16-24
18-4
21-21
14-28
22-19
31-26
153.6Avg total
77.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.973.9150.8+2.959%
Season at home (13)75.571.6147.2+3.969%
Season away (14)78.176.1154.1+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.676.0153.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.280.4159.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.084.7151.7-17.70%
vs Similar (18)78.877.1155.9+1.761%
vs Weaker (8)73.867.1140.9+6.662%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
68avg 79
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
71-54
71
54
+17
68avg 79
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 79
A01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
52avg 79
H08/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 79
A16/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
90avg 79
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 79
A29/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 79
H05/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
107-72
107
72
+35
105avg 79
A19/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 79
H26/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-15
20-19
11-9
20-19
18-19
15-5
18-11
15-20
21-20
15-22
23-22
14-14
15-18
16-15
26-20
19-19
22-21
16-26
16-11
13-16
21-14
23-14
22-25
23-12
13-20
19-20
27-17
12-28
22-21
23-19
19-14
20-15
34-22
31-12
22-23
22-18
16-20
20-16
22-24
149.9Avg total
78.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.470.6154.0+12.878%
Season at home (14)83.669.1152.7+14.486%
Season away (13)83.272.2155.5+11.069%
Last 10 (10)78.671.3149.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)84.874.0158.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.375.3148.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.470.6154.0+12.878%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
PortimonenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A08/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A19/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A26/04
Proliga
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.475.1+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.574.9-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.275.3+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.071.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.272.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.739.074.7-3.367%-
vs Similar (18)37.837.875.6+0.161%-
vs Weaker (8)39.234.473.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H08/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H05/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
Proliga
75.1Avg total
38.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.876.0+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.535.875.2+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.135.876.9+5.371%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.975.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.034.068.0+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.936.076.9+5.067%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
49.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.8
29.2%
30.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.316.8
66.4%
68.4%16.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.3
50.6%
49.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.1
27.2%
30.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
68.4%13.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LWLLWWLWWL
Braga
WWLWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+9.5
97.2
Offensive rating
99.7
95.7
Defensive rating
90.2
47.2%
Effective FG%
46.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.7%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
27.2%
60.4%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 99.7Defence95.7 · 90.2Shooting47.2% · 46.8%3-point %29.2% · 27.2%Ball care21.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Portimonense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portimonense wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Braga v Portimonense71-67
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ACAB Madeira88-94
22/04/25HImortal B71-56
19/04/25AVasco Da Gama89-97
29/03/25AIlliabum70-80
22/03/25HSangalhos78-75
15/03/25ACB Queluz78-72
08/03/25ABraga67-71
02/03/25HCAB Madeira79-74
25/02/25AImortal B86-60
22/02/25HVasco Da Gama70-81
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HVasco Da Gama80-78
19/04/25AImortal B107-72
05/04/25HIlliabum76-82
29/03/25ASangalhos82-69
22/03/25HCB Queluz79-69
16/03/25ACAB Madeira73-77
08/03/25HPortimonense71-67
01/03/25AVasco Da Gama74-84
22/02/25HImortal B71-54
15/02/25AIlliabum73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game76.975.578.1
Allowed / game73.971.676.1
Point differential+2.9+3.9+2.0
Avg total150.8147.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game83.483.683.2
Allowed / game70.669.172.2
Point differential+12.8+14.4+11.0
Avg total154.0152.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%57%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2721678%83.470.6+12.8
2 Vasco Da Gama2719870%83.078.3+4.7
3 CAB Madeira2718967%76.670.2+6.3
4 CB Queluz27171063%77.874.0+3.8
5 Illiabum27161159%75.069.6+5.4
6 Portimonense27161159%76.973.9+2.9
7 Lusitania27151256%79.676.8+2.8
8 Maia27151256%76.379.4-3.0
9 Santo Andre27141352%72.069.7+2.2
10 Sangalhos27101737%76.677.4-0.9
11 Barreirense27101737%72.375.5-3.2
12 Sampaense27101737%80.384.9-4.6
13 Ginasio27101737%80.385.7-5.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B27101737%69.075.6-6.6
15 Imortal B27101737%66.975.1-8.2
16 Galitos Aveiro2752219%69.178.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portimonense1414202674
Braga2116241980
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