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Portimonense vs Braga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2026-27
Meetings · Portimonense v Braga
09 Jan 2027
PORT v BRAG
upcoming
03 May 2025
PORT74
BRAG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Braga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 71
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 71
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 71
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 71
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 71
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 71
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 71
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 71
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
19-16
19-27
16-14
18-29
15-19
14-19
15-23
30-23
41-21
13-25
15-14
18-27
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.789.0167.7-10.314%
Season at home (4)83.590.0173.5-6.525%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.283.1159.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)73.874.7148.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)82.177.9160.0+4.258%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 80
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 80
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 80
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 80
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 80
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-72
91
72
+19
98avg 80
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 80
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
102avg 80
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
20-12
23-18
26-22
22-20
20-22
23-14
19-14
18-21
24-23
22-19
20-21
32-23
21-20
29-29
13-15
13-17
18-21
20-20
25-24
21-26
166.1Avg total
84.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.181.1169.3+7.057%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.575%
Season away (3)79.782.7162.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.281.9166.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (10)84.485.1169.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.476.0167.4+15.488%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
PortimonenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/11
LPB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.577.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.680.0-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.476.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.343.080.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)36.538.575.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (12)38.138.977.0-0.842%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.4-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.935.979.8+8.075%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.914.1
61.6%
71.1%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
Braga
LLWWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#6
-10.0
Net rating
+5.9
79.5
Offensive rating
92.2
89.5
Defensive rating
86.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.5%
3-point %
34.9%
76.6%
Assist %
72.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence79.5 · 92.2Defence89.5 · 86.3Shooting47.0% · 50.9%3-point %28.5% · 34.9%Ball care20.1% · 18.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Portimonense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portimonense wins
3
Braga wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Braga v Portimonense105-71
03/05/25Portimonense v Braga74-80
08/03/25Braga v Portimonense71-67
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEsgueira97-96 OT
07/11/26ACD Povoa74-84
31/10/26HBenfica72-86
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOliveirense84-91
08/11/26AFC Porto76-81
01/11/26HSporting CP98-86
25/10/26ACD Povoa80-71
18/10/26HVitoria91-72
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game78.783.572.3
Allowed / game89.090.087.7
Point differential-10.3-6.5-15.3
Avg total167.7173.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.194.579.7
Allowed / game81.180.082.7
Point differential+7.0+14.5-3.0
Avg total169.3174.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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