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Portland vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 58-81
19-28 39-53
Position#309
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#14
Record12-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Portland v St. Marys (CA)
24 Jan 2026
PORT69
ST. 75
04 Jan 2025
PORT58
ST. 81
10 Feb 2024
PORT51
ST. 76
11 Feb 2023
PORT64
ST. 81
03 Feb 2022
PORT54
ST. 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#99
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A24/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H11/12
NCAA
Willamette
#484
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H17/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H19/12
NCAA
Lafayette
#290
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-52
38-42
39-30
31-40
28-31
29-45
30-44
34-25
56-32
44-37
35-46
29-35
31-22
43-42
30-51
43-38
39-46
40-43
17-35
33-46
153.1Avg total
72.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.279.1150.3-7.931%
Season at home (10)75.378.5153.8-3.240%
Season away (6)64.380.2144.5-15.817%
Last 10 (10)72.980.2153.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)68.080.8148.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.180.8147.9-13.722%
vs Similar (4)77.876.8154.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (1)65.060.0125.0+5.0100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
71-36
71
36
+35
A29/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H30/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A08/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
65-67 OT
65
67
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H20/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H23/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
71-41
71
41
+30
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-31
33-35
32-21
39-15
34-32
30-36
39-25
28-42
39-22
33-41
26-32
33-27
32-26
41-42
27-39
41-36
34-17
36-43
35-20
36-21
133.4Avg total
71.6Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.762.7137.4+11.980%
Season at home (11)75.963.7139.6+12.282%
Season away (4)71.260.0131.2+11.275%
Last 10 (10)71.661.8133.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)69.462.2131.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)69.267.0136.2+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.159.0137.1+19.295%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.5-5.51st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
PortlandSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#99
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A24/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H11/12
NCAA
Willamette
#484
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H17/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/12
NCAA
Lafayette
#290
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
17-35
17
35
-18
A03/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
33.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.938.171.0-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.738.373.1-3.633%-
Last 30 away (12)30.237.767.8-7.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.972.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.070.4-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.139.971.0-8.822%-
vs Similar (4)37.532.570.0+5.075%-
vs Weaker (1)30.024.054.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H24/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H30/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A15/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H20/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H03/01
NCAA
61.0Avg total
34.5Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.327.163.4+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (21)35.626.762.3+8.986%-
Last 30 away (9)37.928.166.0+9.878%-
Last 10 (10)34.526.561.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)30.826.857.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)31.031.962.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.525.163.6+13.4100%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portland wins
6
St. Marys (CA) wins
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AGonzaga50-81
31/12/24AOregon State79-89
29/12/24HWashington State73-89
21/12/24HLafayette74-64
19/12/24HCSU Bakersfield64-81
17/12/24HWillamette100-69
11/12/24HUMKC64-69
07/12/24AKent State57-76
01/12/24HDenver101-90 OT
24/11/24APrinceton67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HPepperdine71-41
29/12/24HPacific70-60
23/12/24HUtah State68-75
20/12/24HMerrimack Warriors73-68
15/12/24ABoise State65-67 OT
08/12/24AUtah Utes72-63
04/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners82-74 OT
30/11/24HArizona State64-68
29/11/24AUSC71-36
24/11/24HCal Poly80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%40%17%
Points / game71.275.364.3
Allowed / game79.178.580.2
Point differential-7.9-3.2-15.8
Avg total150.3153.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%10%17%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %80%82%75%
Points / game74.775.971.2
Allowed / game62.763.760.0
Point differential+11.9+12.2+11.2
Avg total137.4139.6131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %13%9%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington State1613381%81.674.0+7.6
2 St. Marys (CA)1512380%74.762.7+11.9
3 San Francisco1713476%77.866.8+10.9
4 Gonzaga1612475%87.468.6+18.8
5 Oregon State1612475%76.162.6+13.6
6 Santa Clara1610662%81.175.2+5.9
7 Loyola Marymount169756%71.270.7+0.6
8 Pepperdine1771041%74.372.5+1.8
9 Seattle1551033%74.170.7+3.3
10 Portland1651131%71.279.1-7.9
11 Pacific1851328%71.174.1-3.0
12 San Diego Toreros1641225%66.773.3-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland193958
St. Marys (CA)285381
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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