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Portland vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-75
34-38 35-37
Position#253
Record10-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.3
Portland
USA
vs
St. Marys (CA) 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record18-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portland v St. Marys (CA)
24 Jan 2026
PORT69
ST. 75
04 Jan 2025
PORT58
ST. 81
10 Feb 2024
PORT51
ST. 76
11 Feb 2023
PORT64
ST. 81
03 Feb 2022
PORT54
ST. 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H31/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A03/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-51
28-43
23-36
38-43
23-32
39-35
44-40
41-52
27-42
30-36
34-27
34-46
45-34
27-38
39-38
43-38
32-32
31-35
39-21
32-37
148.1Avg total
70.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.179.3157.4-1.248%
Season at home (13)86.479.2165.5+7.269%
Season away (8)64.679.5144.1-14.912%
Last 10 (10)70.877.3148.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)74.872.6147.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.879.3154.2-4.545%
vs Similar (8)76.675.8152.4+0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
50-45
28-27
35-31
33-33
45-40
34-25
38-20
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
42-28
40-40
25-32
29-30
36-25
45-26
142.4Avg total
77.7Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.864.3143.0+14.586%
Season at home (13)83.862.5146.3+21.4100%
Season away (8)70.567.2137.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)77.764.7142.4+13.090%
Last 5 (5)79.667.8147.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.562.5125.0+0.050%
vs Similar (4)68.874.0142.8-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.063.0139.9+14.096%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +7.2+7.2
PortlandSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H28/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A15/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A18/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
34.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.975.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.237.077.2+3.267%-
Last 30 away (12)35.236.771.9-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.370.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.468.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.236.072.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (8)38.235.673.9+2.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A14/01
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.7Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.666.6+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.229.767.9+8.584%-
Last 30 away (11)32.232.164.3+0.155%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.967.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (4)30.837.568.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.729.466.2+7.383%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portland wins
9
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26St. Marys (CA) v Portland78-57
20/02/25St. Marys (CA) v Portland79-66
05/01/25Portland v St. Marys (CA)58-81
11/02/24Portland v St. Marys (CA)51-76
12/01/24St. Marys (CA) v Portland95-52
11/02/23Portland v St. Marys (CA)64-81
08/01/23St. Marys (CA) v Portland85-43
04/02/22Portland v St. Marys (CA)54-75
31/01/20St. Marys (CA) v Portland86-64
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ALoyola Marymount71-58
15/01/26APepperdine63-67
11/01/26HOregon State82-76
09/01/26HPacific90-89 OT
05/01/26ASan Francisco68-73
03/01/26ASt. Marys (CA)57-78
31/12/25HSanta Clara85-92
28/12/25HWashington State62-67
22/12/25AUC Santa Barbara61-79
18/12/25AOregon69-94
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HOregon State81-51
18/01/26ASanta Clara54-62
14/01/26ASan Francisco82-68
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
29/12/25ALoyola Marymount78-73
23/12/25HNorthern Iowa63-58
20/12/25HFlorida Atlantic88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %48%69%12%
Points / game78.186.464.6
Allowed / game79.379.279.5
Point differential-1.2+7.2-14.9
Avg total157.4165.5144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%15%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %86%100%62%
Points / game78.883.870.5
Allowed / game64.362.567.2
Point differential+14.5+21.4+3.2
Avg total143.0146.3137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%85%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga2120195%89.966.5+23.3
2 St. Marys (CA)2118386%78.864.3+14.5
3 Santa Clara2116576%82.370.5+11.8
4 Seattle2214864%74.267.2+7.0
5 Pacific2214864%74.968.5+6.3
6 San Francisco2113862%75.869.8+6.0
7 Loyola Marymount22111150%74.971.3+3.5
8 Portland21101148%78.179.3-1.2
9 Oregon State22101245%70.074.7-4.7
10 San Diego Toreros2191243%76.277.3-1.0
11 Washington State2291341%76.677.9-1.3
12 Pepperdine2261627%69.576.8-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland343569
St. Marys (CA)383775
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