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Portugal vs Ukraine Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-88
17-24 15-17 18-30 10-17
Position#14
Record7-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Ukraine 🏆
Position#36
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Matosinhos Sports and Events Center
Other2023
Meetings · Portugal v Ukraine
26 Nov 2026
PORT v UKRA
upcoming
24 Feb 2025
PORT60
UKRA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukraine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 67
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 67
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 67
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 67
A21/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
158.5Avg total
83.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.374.0156.3+8.364%
Season at home (5)86.871.0157.8+15.880%
Season away (6)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.075.5158.5+7.560%
Last 5 (5)78.278.0156.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.176.0140.1-11.925%
vs Similar (9)79.380.4159.8-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.467.0147.4+13.485%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Poland
#18
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H11/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#77
W
96-77
96
77
+19
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
77avg 70
H25/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 70
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
71avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 70
H21/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-18
22-27
19-25
28-21
31-14
19-21
18-21
14-18
21-15
16-20
28-19
21-23
22-20
14-15
18-27
18-17
16-14
23-8
15-17
22-21
18-18
13-25
20-23
16-26
16-21
27-15
18-17
19-16
18-20
18-29
18-21
16-11
24-18
17-27
18-32
22-24
14-21
19-21
16-18
158.5Avg total
77.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.884.8158.6-11.00%
Season at home (3)73.783.0156.7-9.30%
Season away (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)77.780.8158.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)73.884.8158.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.184.1158.3-10.00%
vs Similar (11)80.482.7163.1-2.436%
vs Weaker (12)80.770.0150.7+10.775%
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
PortugalUkraine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
84.3Avg total
44.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.977.2+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.776.7+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.684.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.034.668.6-0.650%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.482.3-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.534.878.4+8.777%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#18
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H11/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#77
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A11/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H25/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/02
EuroBasket
78.1Avg total
40.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.771.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.780.7+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.078.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.140.176.3-4.043%-
vs Similar (11)39.538.978.5+0.655%-
vs Weaker (12)40.333.974.2+6.475%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.0
51.2%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.5%
71.4%15.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
50.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.4
33.3%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.813.6
65.4%
71.4%13.6
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
LLWWLLWWWW
Ukraine
LLLLLWLWWL
#14
League position
#36
+9.6
Net rating
-14.9
110.7
Offensive rating
102.4
101.1
Defensive rating
117.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
39.3%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
33.3%
66.8%
Assist %
79.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 102.4Defence101.1 · 117.3Shooting51.1% · 51.7%3-point %34.0% · 33.3%Ball care19.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds39.3% · 26.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Portugal   ■ Ukraine
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Portugal wins
0
Ukraine wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Ukraine v Portugal77-79
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HSlovenia71-84
25/11/24AIsrael75-88
23/11/24HIsrael73-86
25/02/24HPortugal77-79
22/02/24ASlovenia73-87
26/02/23HNetherlands72-56
23/02/23AItaly75-85
14/11/22HIceland79-72
11/11/22ANetherlands96-77
11/09/22HPoland86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game82.386.878.5
Allowed / game74.071.076.5
Point differential+8.3+15.8+2.0
Avg total156.3157.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukraine
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.873.774.0
Allowed / game84.883.087.5
Point differential-11.0-9.3-13.5
Avg total158.6156.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France550100%78.066.8+11.2
3 Latvia660100%79.269.3+9.8
4 Lithuania65183%80.365.2+15.2
5 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
6 Israel54180%81.876.8+5.0
7 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
8 Croatia1612475%85.871.1+14.7
9 Germany64267%81.370.5+10.8
10 Italy64267%81.072.0+9.0
11 Estonia64267%77.773.5+4.2
12 Portugal117464%82.374.0+8.3
13 Bulgaria1610662%79.275.8+3.4
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%91.476.2+15.2
15 Georgia53260%73.071.6+1.4
16 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
17 North Macedonia127558%74.471.2+3.2
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 Belgium63350%72.265.8+6.3
20 Montenegro63350%81.780.7+1.0
21 Turkey63350%77.877.8+0.0
22 Spain63350%68.869.2-0.3
23 Slovakia168850%72.072.9-0.9
24 Poland126650%76.377.4-1.1
25 Iceland63350%76.378.0-1.7
26 Sweden63350%75.280.2-5.0
27 Denmark1991047%73.673.0+0.6
28 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
29 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Hungary62433%71.278.5-7.3
35 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
36 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus181176%63.783.6-19.9
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal1715181060
Ukraine2417301788
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