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Poznan vs Alstom Krakow Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-78
26-21 25-16 19-20 15-21
Position#10
Record10-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.3
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#16
Record6-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.4
Poland1 LigaRound 25· Cityzen hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poznan v Alstom Krakow
10 Feb 2024
POZN85
ALST78
04 Feb 2023
POZN90
ALST85
08 Dec 2018
POZN77
ALST67
18 Mar 2017
POZN68
ALST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alstom Krakow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 78
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
92avg 78
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
89avg 78
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 78
A30/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 78
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
80avg 78
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 78
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 78
H20/01
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 78
A26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
95-98
95
98
-3
80avg 78
A07/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
21-23
18-31
26-21
20-21
24-17
26-23
25-13
25-20
19-20
22-11
23-26
28-23
14-28
18-18
22-16
14-18
21-22
18-20
25-22
23-19
15-20
24-19
19-31
20-21
16-20
18-18
15-21
21-20
16-20
31-21
24-27
22-24
21-15
18-14
27-14
22-21
26-30
25-28
22-19
169.9Avg total
85.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.281.3165.4+2.943%
Season at home (11)82.880.8163.6+2.045%
Season away (12)85.481.7167.1+3.842%
Last 10 (10)85.884.1169.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.084.4169.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
vs Similar (16)82.482.8165.2-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.379.8163.2+3.550%
This opponent (Alstom Krakow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alstom KrakowPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrakow
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 65
A16/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
63-86
63
86
-23
33avg 65
A22/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 65
A29/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
66-97
66
97
-31
52avg 65
A07/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 65
A13/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 65
H17/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 65
A21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
71avg 65
H27/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
83-108
83
108
-25
65avg 65
A31/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 65
H04/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
21-25
15-14
18-19
17-17
17-28
19-19
10-22
27-22
14-22
22-25
17-18
18-22
20-22
17-19
11-34
23-19
17-12
25-21
26-34
27-14
26-30
15-22
13-20
19-22
18-25
19-22
22-20
17-16
16-20
21-18
29-18
12-34
18-31
20-21
33-22
31-19
23-27
13-24
26-15
165.7Avg total
78.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.786.4164.1-8.725%
Season at home (12)80.585.1165.6-4.633%
Season away (12)74.987.8162.7-12.817%
Last 10 (10)78.387.4165.7-9.130%
Last 5 (5)83.688.0171.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.186.2164.3-8.023%
vs Similar (3)79.379.3158.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (1)106.064.0170.0+42.0100%
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
PoznanAlstom Krakow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/01
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/02
1 Liga
84.0Avg total
41.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.679.8-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.477.5-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.781.8-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.884.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.082.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.039.576.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (16)38.539.477.9-0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.442.482.8-2.042%-
This opponent (Alstom Krakow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alstom KrakowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A29/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A07/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H27/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
30-65
30
65
-35
A31/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
1 Liga
83.9Avg total
39.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.682.8-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.144.286.3-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.079.8-6.219%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.783.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.689.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.243.781.8-5.527%-
vs Similar (3)45.044.389.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker (1)51.039.090.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
51.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.4
33.0%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.617.8
75.4%
69.4%17.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alstom Krakowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alstom Krakow: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.2
50.8%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.3
31.0%
32.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws25.415.6
61.4%
69.4%15.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWWLLLLWWL
Alstom Krakow
WLWLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#16
+1.0
Net rating
-12.3
111.4
Offensive rating
99.7
110.3
Defensive rating
112.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.0%
3-point %
31.0%
57.9%
Assist %
52.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 99.7Defence110.3 · 112.1Shooting50.8% · 49.4%3-point %33.0% · 31.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Poznan   ■ Alstom Krakow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
3
Alstom Krakow wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Alstom Krakow v Poznan79-92
04/02/23Poznan v Alstom Krakow90-85
29/10/22Alstom Krakow v Poznan86-82
16/03/19Alstom Krakow v Poznan83-73
08/12/18Poznan v Alstom Krakow77-67
18/03/17Poznan v Alstom Krakow68-58
03/12/16Alstom Krakow v Poznan81-77 OT
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ASlask Wroclaw II95-98
26/01/24AAWF Katowice88-67
20/01/24HGornik Walbrzych92-88
17/01/24AKrosno69-80
13/01/24HGKS Tychy81-89
07/01/24APelplin78-82
30/12/23ASokol Miedzychod82-85
23/12/23HWKK Wroclaw89-77
17/12/23HBydgoszcz95-74
09/12/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl89-101
Alstom Krakowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl93-85
31/01/24APolonia Warszawa83-108
27/01/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg83-72
21/01/24APoli. Opolska78-89
17/01/24HHydroTruck Radom81-86
13/01/24AMKKS Koszalin91-86
07/01/24ABydgoszcz66-97
29/12/23ASlask Wroclaw II80-87
22/12/23AStarogard Gdanski63-86
16/12/23AAWF Katowice65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%45%42%
Points / game84.282.885.4
Allowed / game81.380.881.7
Point differential+2.9+2.0+3.8
Avg total165.4163.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)25% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Alstom Krakow
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game77.780.574.9
Allowed / game86.485.187.8
Point differential-8.7-4.6-12.8
Avg total164.1165.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych2419579%81.268.2+13.0
2 Slask Wroclaw II2318578%90.087.7+2.3
3 Krosno2418675%85.078.0+7.1
4 Bydgoszcz2417771%81.371.3+10.0
5 Poli. Opolska2415962%85.182.0+3.1
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg2415962%83.580.8+2.7
7 Starogard Gdanski2314961%79.473.8+5.7
8 Pelplin24141058%80.078.3+1.7
9 GKS Tychy24131154%81.482.0-0.5
10 HydroTruck Radom24131154%80.283.5-3.3
11 MKKS Koszalin24121250%81.982.9-1.0
12 Poznan23101343%84.281.3+2.9
13 Polonia Warszawa2481633%78.681.8-3.1
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl2371630%80.985.9-5.0
15 WKK Wroclaw2471729%78.783.9-5.2
16 Alstom Krakow2461825%77.786.4-8.7
17 AWF Katowice2442017%77.286.5-9.3
18 Sokol Miedzychod2442017%77.789.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan2625191585
Alstom Krakow2116202178
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