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Starogard Gdanski vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-79
15-23 9-21 22-16 25-19
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Poznan 🏆
Poland
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.6
Poland1 LigaRound 6· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2023-24
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Poznan
20 Mar 2027
STAR v POZN
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
STAR93
POZN84
19 Oct 2024
STAR81
POZN69
18 Oct 2023
STAR71
POZN79
11 Mar 2023
STAR100
POZN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#4
W
88-69
88
69
+19
no box
H23/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A29/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A30/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
H06/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
H13/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A17/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
73-66
73
66
+7
66avg 61
A23/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
61-50
61
50
+11
60avg 61
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 61
A07/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
65avg 61
H11/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-11
27-19
18-18
16-18
19-18
11-28
23-24
21-22
20-26
17-28
19-16
22-23
22-26
18-22
23-21
29-26
24-18
34-13
23-22
14-30
7-27
24-18
15-14
14-13
24-19
15-18
20-16
9-16
26-12
13-9
13-13
11-23
13-17
15-10
21-18
16-21
26-18
19-18
17-19
153.0Avg total
76.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.065.0133.0+3.075%
Season at home (2)69.563.0132.5+6.5100%
Season away (2)66.567.0133.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.176.9153.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)66.469.8136.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.287.8164.0-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.677.8159.4+3.758%
vs Weaker (6)89.880.8170.7+9.083%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#5
L
82-100
82
100
-18
no box
A11/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
61-71
61
71
-10
no box
H19/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#12
L
62-87
62
87
-25
no box
A26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
72avg 79
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
97-98
97
98
-1
93avg 79
A30/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 79
H07/10
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
58avg 79
A11/10
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
98avg 79
H15/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
13-21
22-18
25-32
12-13
11-18
27-21
11-19
10-31
14-21
19-17
19-18
12-22
18-14
25-16
23-23
28-24
16-16
29-26
16-20
20-24
23-32
9-22
26-18
26-19
13-23
28-29
30-27
12-18
21-16
25-12
20-22
18-19
19-20
15-11
11-16
23-23
30-21
29-17
19-19
161.6Avg total
78.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.481.6165.0+1.840%
Season at home (3)85.781.3167.0+4.367%
Season away (2)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)78.982.7161.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)83.481.6165.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.879.5156.4-2.737%
vs Weaker (7)91.080.1171.1+10.986%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Starogard GdanskiPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H13/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
21-57
21
57
-36
A17/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A23/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A07/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/10
1 Liga
78.1Avg total
37.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.280.0-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.681.3+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.778.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.578.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.271.2-7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.643.282.8-3.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.939.478.4-0.542%-
vs Weaker (6)43.040.083.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A11/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H19/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#12
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/10
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/10
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/10
1 Liga
78.5Avg total
36.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.477.6-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.937.476.3+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.441.578.9-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.478.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.546.586.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.337.272.5-1.842%-
vs Weaker (7)45.041.686.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.814.2
43.5%
51.8%28.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.0
29.8%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.513.7
56.1%
69.4%13.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.420.4
87.2%
69.4%20.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WLWWLWLLLW
Poznan
WLWLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#10
+7.1
Net rating
+1.8
93.7
Offensive rating
108.8
86.6
Defensive rating
106.9
44.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
41.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.8%
3-point %
35.0%
67.7%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 108.8Defence86.6 · 106.9Shooting44.0% · 52.7%3-point %29.8% · 35.0%Ball care16.0% · 20.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
0
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Starogard Gdanski v Poznan100-82
03/12/22Poznan v Starogard Gdanski80-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HPolonia Warszawa78-76
07/10/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg60-68
30/09/23HPoli. Opolska61-50
23/09/23AHydroTruck Radom73-66
17/05/23AHydroTruck Radom60-89
13/05/23HHydroTruck Radom110-79
06/05/23HGornik Walbrzych85-92
30/04/23AGornik Walbrzych77-92
29/04/23AGornik Walbrzych69-88
23/04/23HGKS Tychy88-69
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HAWF Katowice101-80
11/10/23AGornik Walbrzych63-66
07/10/23HKrosno78-68
30/09/23AGKS Tychy97-98
23/09/23HPelplin78-96
05/04/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg89-86
02/04/23HSlask Wroclaw II78-75
26/03/23AKrosno62-87
19/03/23HPelplin61-71
11/03/23AStarogard Gdanski82-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game68.069.566.5
Allowed / game65.063.067.0
Point differential+3.0+6.5-0.5
Avg total133.0132.5133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game83.485.780.0
Allowed / game81.681.382.0
Point differential+1.8+4.3-2.0
Avg total165.0167.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II220100%100.577.5+23.0
2 Krosno65183%86.575.2+11.3
3 Bydgoszcz54180%84.675.6+9.0
4 Gornik Walbrzych54180%73.068.0+5.0
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg43175%75.871.8+4.0
6 Starogard Gdanski43175%68.065.0+3.0
7 Poli. Opolska53260%81.273.8+7.4
8 WKK Wroclaw53260%82.877.0+5.8
9 GKS Tychy53260%80.882.4-1.6
10 Pelplin63350%84.375.5+8.8
11 MKKS Koszalin42250%75.581.8-6.2
12 Poznan52340%83.481.6+1.8
13 HydroTruck Radom52340%73.084.2-11.2
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl41325%73.079.2-6.2
15 Alstom Krakow51420%75.883.8-8.0
16 AWF Katowice51420%77.686.4-8.8
17 Polonia Warszawa4040%69.580.0-10.5
18 Sokol Miedzychod5050%72.692.6-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski159222571
Poznan2321161979
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