PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Presbyterian faces Mercer on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Presbyterian at 68% to 32% for the away side, projecting a 80-75 win and 155.6 total points. Presbyterian's season record is 0-3, averaging 71.7 points and conceding 90.7, while Mercer sits 2-3 with 78.2 points for and 80.6 against. At home Presbyterian has gone 0-1, scoring 78.0 and allowing 87.0, and has lost its last five games, including a 60-94 loss to NC State, a 77-91 loss to Georgia, and a 78-87 loss to St. Thomas (Minn.). Mercer's road record is 1-3, with 75.2 points scored and 87.5 allowed, and its last five games include a 61-75 loss to West Virginia, a 97-91 win over Georgia Southern, and a 76-88 loss to Davidson. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. The projected score of 80-75 suggests a close contest, and the 5% overtime probability hints at a tight finish. Presbyterian's 68% chance to win reflects the model's assessment of the current form and scoring trends.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 71.7 | 90.7 | 162.3 | -19.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 78.0 | 87.0 | 165.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 68.5 | 92.5 | 161.0 | -24.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.4 | 78.1 | 150.5 | -5.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 86.0 | 161.4 | -10.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 71.6 | 81.4 | 153.0 | -9.8 | 18% |
| vs Similar (8) | 68.4 | 71.4 | 139.8 | -3.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 76.5 | 60.2 | 136.8 | +16.2 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.2 | 80.6 | 158.8 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Season at home (1) | 90.0 | 53.0 | 143.0 | +37.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 75.2 | 87.5 | 162.8 | -12.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.9 | 81.4 | 161.3 | -1.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 80.6 | 158.8 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 68.0 | 86.3 | 154.3 | -18.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 74.0 | 75.9 | 149.9 | -1.9 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 84.1 | 77.9 | 162.0 | +6.1 | 56% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.2 | 36.2 | 68.4 | -4.0 | 23% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 34.6 | 34.2 | 68.8 | +0.4 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 30.3 | 37.7 | 68.0 | -7.4 | 6% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.7 | 39.6 | 69.3 | -9.9 | 0% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.8 | 39.6 | 68.4 | -10.8 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 31.2 | 38.1 | 69.3 | -6.8 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 30.8 | 36.5 | 67.2 | -5.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 34.2 | 30.5 | 64.8 | +3.8 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.2 | 34.6 | 73.8 | +4.6 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.6 | 33.2 | 78.9 | +12.4 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 33.6 | 35.8 | 69.4 | -2.2 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 36.8 | 73.0 | -0.6 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.6 | 35.8 | 68.4 | -3.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 28.3 | 37.3 | 65.7 | -9.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 36.5 | 36.8 | 73.2 | -0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 40.1 | 35.4 | 75.6 | +4.7 | 56% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | NC State | 60-94 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Georgia | 77-91 |
| 03/11/26 | H | St. Thomas (Minn.) | 78-87 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Winthrop | 71-73 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Radford | 91-85 OT |
| 28/02/26 | A | Winthrop | 70-74 |
| 27/02/26 | H | High Point | 73-79 |
| 21/02/26 | A | USC Upstate | 74-76 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Longwood | 72-65 |
| 14/02/26 | A | UNC Asheville | 58-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | West Virginia | 61-75 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Georgia Southern | 97-91 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Davidson | 76-88 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Virginia Tech | 67-96 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Reinhardt | 90-53 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Western Carolina | 73-77 |
| 28/02/26 | H | East Tennessee St | 82-76 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Western Carolina | 74-78 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Samford | 89-86 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Chattanooga Mocs | 90-94 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 71.7 | 78.0 | 68.5 |
| Allowed / game | 90.7 | 87.0 | 92.5 |
| Point differential | -19.0 | -9.0 | -24.0 |
| Avg total | 162.3 | 165.0 | 161.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 40% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 78.2 | 90.0 | 75.2 |
| Allowed / game | 80.6 | 53.0 | 87.5 |
| Point differential | -2.4 | +37.0 | -12.2 |
| Avg total | 158.8 | 143.0 | 162.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  High Point | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 76.5 | 59.0 | +17.5 |
| 2 |  Longwood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.2 | 67.2 | +27.0 |
| 3 |  UNC Asheville | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.5 | 81.8 | -0.2 |
| 4 |  Charleston Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 76.3 | -2.7 |
| 5 |  Gardner Webb | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.3 | 83.3 | -22.0 |
| 6 |  USC Upstate | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75.0 | 68.8 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Winthrop | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 89.0 | 94.7 | -5.7 |
| 8 |  Radford | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 59.7 | 76.7 | -17.0 |
| 9 | Presbyterian | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 71.7 | 90.7 | -19.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Furman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.5 | 68.0 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Citadel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.3 | 61.3 | +33.0 |
| 3 |  Western Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 74.3 | +22.7 |
| 4 |  NC Greensboro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 70.8 | +10.2 |
| 5 |  Samford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 73.0 | +10.0 |
| 6 |  VMI | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.5 | 74.8 | +4.8 |
| 7 |  Wofford | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 78.2 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Mercer | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 80.6 | -2.4 |
| 9 |  Chattanooga Mocs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.7 | 82.7 | +4.0 |
| 10 |  East Tennessee St | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.3 | 68.3 | -3.0 |
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