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Primorje vs Tivat Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.2
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 12· Sport center Igalo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Primorje v Tivat
16 Jan 2027
PRIM v TIVA
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
PRIM111
TIVA90
13 Oct 2024
PRIM67
TIVA74
15 Apr 2024
PRIM67
TIVA77
02 Feb 2023
PRIM61
TIVA70
31 Oct 2021
PRIM101
TIVA85
31 Mar 2021
PRIM85
TIVA83
21 Mar 2020
PRIM v TIVA
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
PRIM69
TIVA83
31 Mar 2018
PRIM70
TIVA87
21 Jan 2017
PRIM83
TIVA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrimorjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrimorje
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 83
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
111avg 83
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
102avg 83
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
50avg 83
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
80avg 83
A11/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
98-100
98
100
-2
98avg 83
H18/04
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#12
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 83
H14/10
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
94avg 83
A28/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#7
W
99-89
99
89
+10
no box
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A07/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-32
14-18
27-22
28-23
23-20
35-24
25-18
27-18
19-21
22-25
24-28
15-23
21-28
12-21
17-19
23-20
29-28
15-23
20-28
23-30
26-31
29-18
20-21
19-23
25-24
26-17
21-17
23-16
19-27
20-20
15-14
15-20
32-23
31-20
21-26
26-20
17-22
18-19
24-17
184.3Avg total
92.5Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.083.5175.5+8.5100%
Season at home (1)99.089.0188.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.591.8184.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)94.289.8184.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.091.7177.7-5.714%
vs Similar (2)90.585.5176.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.483.9174.3+6.571%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 86
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
118-95
118
95
+23
113avg 86
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 86
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 86
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 86
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 86
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
31-26
26-25
38-17
23-27
12-24
35-32
27-24
25-28
29-15
21-16
16-20
25-27
21-11
13-31
16-17
22-21
24-22
18-22
19-14
22-25
19-22
18-22
21-24
14-26
21-19
25-26
17-14
23-17
24-29
20-20
18-18
27-24
22-24
24-20
16-20
11-20
174.9Avg total
86.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.086.2166.2-6.225%
Season at home (2)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
Season away (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.1174.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.493.4176.9-10.025%
vs Similar (12)91.891.9183.8-0.142%
vs Weaker (2)103.591.5195.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
PrimorjeTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrimorjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A11/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H18/04
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/10
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A28/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/11
Prva A Liga
92.0Avg total
45.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.687.6+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.643.989.4+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.686.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.346.792.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.292.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.946.189.0-3.329%-
vs Similar (2)41.545.587.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.041.287.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/11
Prva A Liga
89.7Avg total
44.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.191.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.790.3+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.049.592.5-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.389.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.948.689.4-7.719%-
vs Similar (12)47.644.592.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker (2)52.051.5103.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Primorje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Primorjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Primorje: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.925.8
63.1%
58.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
31.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
69.7%14.7
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.4
58.9%
58.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
31.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
69.7%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Primorje
WWLWLLLWWL
Tivat
LLWLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#11
+0.0
Net rating
+1.3
114.9
Offensive rating
116.9
114.9
Defensive rating
115.6
57.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
3.7%
Turnover %
1.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
34.6%
59.2%
Assist %
52.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 116.9Defence114.9 · 115.6Shooting57.7% · 56.5%3-point %33.1% · 34.6%Ball care3.7% · 1.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Primorje   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Primorje wins
5
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Tivat v Primorje95-103
11/10/25Primorje v Tivat111-90
27/01/25Tivat v Primorje100-95
13/10/24Primorje v Tivat67-74
15/04/24Primorje v Tivat67-77
20/01/24Tivat v Primorje83-87
02/02/23Primorje v Tivat61-70
22/10/22Tivat v Primorje92-71
29/01/22Tivat v Primorje82-87
31/10/21Primorje v Tivat101-85
Primorjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AKotor85-78
01/11/26HPodgorica99-89
28/10/26AZlatibor98-101 OT
14/10/26HCedevita Junior91-81
18/04/26HMornar Bar98-100
11/04/26AMornar Bar87-99
04/04/26HVukovi Zeta65-91
29/03/26AIbar Rozaje107-104 OT
21/03/26HUlcinj111-85
15/03/26APodgorica84-90
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSutjeska73-84
06/11/26AMornar Bar89-91
03/11/26HStudentski Centar86-76
26/10/26AKotor72-94
02/04/26AStudentski Centar95-93 OT
29/03/26HDanilovgrad72-80
23/03/26HVukovi Zeta91-78
16/03/26AIbar Rozaje99-108
10/03/26HUlcinj118-95
07/03/26APodgorica73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.099.085.0
Allowed / game83.589.078.0
Point differential+8.5+10.0+7.0
Avg total175.5188.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.079.580.5
Allowed / game86.280.092.5
Point differential-6.2-0.5-12.0
Avg total166.2159.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Lovcen Cetinje41325%83.886.0-2.2
11 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
12 Decic4040%67.588.8-21.2
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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