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Tivat vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 118-95
31-26 26-25 38-17 23-27
Position#12
Record7-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game94.4
Tivat 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Position#15
Record5-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game85.9
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 22· Sportski centar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tivat v Ulcinj
10 Mar 2026
TIVA118
ULCI95
24 Apr 2018
TIVA70
ULCI65
03 Mar 2018
TIVA73
ULCI83
10 Dec 2016
TIVA76
ULCI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulcinj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#13
L
94-105
94
105
-11
87avg 81
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 81
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
95-103
95
103
-8
80avg 81
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 81
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 81
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 81
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
101-89
101
89
+12
98avg 81
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
79avg 81
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 81
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
16-28
24-29
27-22
35-22
18-25
27-29
16-25
30-22
18-32
25-21
22-28
26-20
22-19
17-26
17-17
32-24
25-32
23-22
27-24
23-32
18-24
23-15
21-19
27-25
7-27
22-20
28-22
34-23
22-17
20-34
25-15
20-18
17-29
24-26
22-20
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
185.9Avg total
90.7Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.094.4182.4-6.333%
Season at home (10)92.592.6185.1-0.150%
Season away (11)84.096.0180.0-12.018%
Last 10 (10)90.795.2185.9-4.520%
Last 5 (5)85.289.6174.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.695.8180.4-11.225%
vs Similar (12)88.289.8177.9-1.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.078.3174.3+17.7100%
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlcinj
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 66
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 66
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 66
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-128
75
128
-53
55avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
64-86
64
86
-22
50avg 66
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
60avg 66
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 66
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
76-109
76
109
-33
58avg 66
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
23-27
22-21
23-15
32-22
18-26
19-19
26-22
13-21
24-26
21-21
24-19
13-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
24-22
21-12
15-30
12-21
16-30
20-34
19-33
20-31
16-38
14-21
17-6
17-21
21-25
25-25
9-15
16-12
17-26
16-16
22-23
26-24
27-29
19-29
9-29
21-22
170.1Avg total
78.2Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.185.9163.0-8.824%
Season at home (11)75.584.4159.8-8.918%
Season away (10)78.987.5166.4-8.630%
Last 10 (10)78.291.9170.1-13.720%
Last 5 (5)73.497.8171.2-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.187.7164.9-10.619%
vs Similar (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (2)97.576.5174.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Tivat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
TivatUlcinj
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#13
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
95.0Avg total
45.8Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.790.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.144.990.0+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.748.491.1-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)45.849.295.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.149.689.7-9.58%-
vs Similar (12)45.445.691.0-0.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.343.091.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H07/03
Prva A Liga
88.8Avg total
40.2Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.984.3-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.944.985.8-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.945.082.9-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.248.688.8-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.254.692.8-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.945.784.6-6.930%-
vs Similar (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (2)51.037.588.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
58.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.4
26.9%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.014.4
65.5%
69.7%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulcinj: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.4
51.9%
58.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.8
26.6%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws27.219.8
72.8%
69.7%19.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LLWLLWLLLL
Ulcinj
LLLLLLLLWW
#12
League position
#15
-11.9
Net rating
-25.0
98.9
Offensive rating
102.2
110.8
Defensive rating
127.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
9.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.43
26.9%
3-point %
26.6%
56.5%
Assist %
51.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 102.2Defence110.8 · 127.2Shooting46.7% · 47.8%3-point %26.9% · 26.6%Ball care9.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Tivat   ■ Ulcinj
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tivat wins
2
Ulcinj wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Ulcinj v Tivat88-89
09/05/18Ulcinj v Tivat74-77
24/04/18Tivat v Ulcinj70-65
03/03/18Tivat v Ulcinj73-83
25/11/17Ulcinj v Tivat81-80
11/03/17Ulcinj v Tivat65-72
10/12/16Tivat v Ulcinj76-67
15/10/16Ulcinj v Tivat58-73
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26APodgorica73-82
14/02/26HSutjeska83-93
11/02/26AKotor101-89
07/02/26HLovcen Cetinje84-94
02/02/26AMornar Bar85-90
25/01/26HJedinstvo107-102
17/01/26ADecic89-93 OT
11/01/26HPrimorje95-103
03/01/26HStudentski Centar96-101
27/12/25ADanilovgrad94-105
Ulcinjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HVukovi Zeta76-109
14/02/26AIbar Rozaje81-89
11/02/26HDanilovgrad71-77
07/02/26HPodgorica64-86
31/01/26ASutjeska75-128
24/01/26HKotor72-85
17/01/26ALovcen Cetinje75-81
10/01/26HMornar Bar82-87
05/01/26HJedinstvo95-89
27/12/25ADecic91-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game88.092.584.0
Allowed / game94.492.696.0
Point differential-6.3-0.1-12.0
Avg total182.4185.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Ulcinj
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%18%30%
Points / game77.175.578.9
Allowed / game85.984.487.5
Point differential-8.8-8.9-8.6
Avg total163.0159.8166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2117481%97.279.2+18.0
2 Primorje2117481%90.980.8+10.1
3 Mornar Bar2115671%86.481.4+5.0
4 Lovcen Cetinje2114767%79.076.4+2.6
5 Jedinstvo2113862%88.085.4+2.7
6 Podgorica21111052%79.777.5+2.2
7 Kotor21101148%78.180.4-2.2
8 Studentski Centar2191243%80.983.0-2.1
9 Ibar Rozaje2181338%75.580.9-5.4
10 Danilovgrad2181338%80.386.4-6.1
11 Decic2171433%84.689.3-4.8
12 Tivat2171433%88.094.4-6.3
13 Vukovi Zeta2161529%82.787.6-4.9
14 Ulcinj2151624%77.185.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tivat31263823118
Ulcinj2625172795
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